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Falcons’ odds to trade up, trade back, or stand pat in Round 1 of the NFL Draft

What will the Falcons do on draft night? Here’s what the odds say.

NFL: Combine Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

We’re just hours away from finding out whether or not the Falcons will make any moves on draft night. It’s impossible to guess, but we can take a look at what Vegas thinks.

According to, the Falcons’ draft night odds are as follows:

Trade up: 7/3
Trade down: 6/1
Stand pat: 4/5

So what does that mean, exactly? The Falcons have much better odds to stay at No. 14 than they do to trade up for a higher pick or back to stock up on more picks to fill needs.

“With the likes of the Lions and Jets vigorously trying to move down and the Falcons in search of an impact player to add to the NFL’s 31st most efficient defense, the opportunity will be there for Thomas Dimitroff to move up,” Alexander P., one of the oddsmakers at, told The Falcoholic. “But the price will be high, and this draft class is generally considered deep rather than top-heavy. MTS oddsmakers believe it’s more likely that the Falcons stand pat at No. 14 instead of sacrificing picks in later rounds to move into the top 10.”

So if you’re holding your breath in hopes that the Falcons will move up to snag the likes or Ed Oliver, or slide back to gather some more pick ammunition, you probably shouldn’t. The odds favor the Falcons addressing needs by using the No. 14 pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.