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Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds: Atlanta’s the favorite at home in Week 6

Vegas thinks the Falcons can win, probably in a shootout

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta’s on quite a run, and not the good kind. It says a lot about the perception of both the Falcons and the Buccaneers that they’re still favored to win this week, by however small a margin.

The Falcons are a field goal favorite against Tampa Bay, a 2-2 team with one impressive win (48-40 over the Saints in Week 1), one increasingly less impressive win (27-21 against the Eagles in Week 2), one narrow loss (30-27 against the Steelers in Week 3) and one absolute beatdown (48-10 by the Bears in Week 4). They’re fresh off a bye, but they remain one of the NFL’s true enigmas, even in this weird year.

Is this a Bucs team that has turned the corner but still has major problems on defense, or are they a pretender who rode two hot weeks from Ryan Fitzpatrick into a solid start to the season? We don’t know the answer to that—though I’d guess the latter—but this game against Atlanta ought to help clarify things.

One thing is evident: The way Jameis Winston has played against this team before, and Tampa Bay’s defensive weakness, means that this turning into anything but a shootout or an Atlanta blowout means big trouble for the Falcons. We’ll see if they can finally start to right the ship now that they’re 1-4.