Falcons Over/Under: How many yards will Mohamed Sanu get in 2017?

Playing next to the greatest receiver in the NFL can be intimidating for some, but Mohamed Sanu has carved out a nice role for himself in the Falcons offense. It’s clear that QB Matt Ryan trusts Sanu, and he figures to have another solid season with Atlanta. How many yards might he rack up in 2017? Let’s have a look.

The Average

Obviously, with only one season with Atlanta, the averages may not apply as well here. Here are some of Sanu’s recent seasons:

2016 - 15 games, 653 yards

2015 - 16 games, 394 yards

2014 - 16 games, 790 yards

2013 - 16 games, 455 yards

That’s averaging out to roughly 573 yards per season.

Our target number

Given his production last year - on a new team and one with tons of weapons - we’re going to set the target at 600 yards.

Why he’ll go under

From the most simplistic standpoint, Sanu’s career average is less than 600 yards per season. Playing next to dynamic weapons in Julio Jones and Taylor Gabriel could also cut into his targets and yards. Additionally, guys like Austin Hooper and Tevin Coleman could also be featured more heavily in the passing game, meaning there are fewer yards to go around.

Why he’ll go over

Sanu managed to get his 653 yards on an offense that he was brand new to. A second year in the system should only help him become more productive. While teams focus on weapons like Jones and Gabriel, Sanu will likely see some favorable match-ups. Additionally, the team has made a concerted effort to use Sanu more in downfield routes in training camp, which could increase his YPC average and lift his overall yardage total.

Your take