Okay, I lied a little in the headline, it’s not science. It is math.
Pro Football Focus posted an interesting little graphic last night that illustrates the drop rate in every NFL division. One of the most striking things we learned from that is that the AFC appears to either have worse or at least more drop-prone receiving options, or else a much worse collection of quarterbacks like the Jets, Browns, and Chie....oh, I see.
It also illustrates that the NFC South, with its remarkable collection of receiving talent, has the lowest drop rate in football. That’s not surprising—Mohamed Sanu led the NFL with the lowest drop rate each of the last three years, you’ll recall—but it does reinforce what a bear this division is for defensive backs.
The good news is that the Falcons still have all those receiving options, sans Jacob Tamme and Aldrick Robinson, and the Saints traded away Brandin Cooks. The bad news is that Kelvin Benjamin is now the size of two wide receivers and has hands that could cradle a large deep dish from Pizza Hut, and the Buccaneers added the gifted DeSean Jackson and O.J. Howard to their receiving group. It’s very possible this chart will have a similar leader in 2017.