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With only Jacob Tamme and Levine Toilolo playing tight end for the Falcons in 2015, it was clear that the team needed to find another long-term option for the 2016 season. By grabbing Austin Hooper with their 3rd round pick, the Falcons filled a need and also got a player with tremendous potential for the future. The fact that Hooper played in a pro-style offense in college should help his transition to the pros, but fans should temper expectations for year one regardless.
College
Austin Hooper proved to be a valuable option in the passing game at Stanford. His athleticism and size made him a great red zone option, while his body control and good hands brought it to fruition. Here's how Hooper did in the last two years at Stanford.
Year | Receptions | Yards | Avg | TDs |
2014 | 40 | 499 | 12.5 | 2 |
2015 | 34 | 438 | 12.9 | 6 |
Other NFL TE rookie seasons
Knowing that the NFL is a far different animal from the college game, I thought it may be easier to see how other tight ends have faired in recent years during their rookie seasons. I'm feeling pretty optimistic about Hooper, so I thought it'd be interesting to look at 3 of the better tight ends in the league, while also avoiding the Gronkowski comparison.
Player | Year | Games | Receptions | Yards | Avg | TDs |
Travis Kelce | 2014 | 16 | 67 | 862 | 12.9 | 5 |
Jimmy Graham | 2010 | 15 | 31 | 356 | 11.5 | 5 |
Jordan Reed | 2013 | 9 | 45 | 499 | 11.1 | 3 |
Projection
The last thing I want to do is heap out-of-whack expectations on a rookie. Given the presence of Jacob Tamme, I don't think Hooper will have a season like Kelce, but the seasons that Reed and Graham had make my projection seem somewhat reasonable. I do think Hooper will contribute as a red zone option immediately, with his role expanding far more in 2017 and beyond.
Year | Games | Receptions | Yards | Avg | TDs |
2016 | 16 | 32 | 384 | 12.0 | 2 |
What do you think of this projection for Hooper in his rookie year?