Falcons vs. Vikings odds: Atlanta's somehow favored again, I don't even know why

The Falcons are very narrowly favored against their opponent this week, which is a sentence that should be familiar to you by now.

The line opened up with Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites, or just under a field goal. Considering the Falcons have been winning or losing most of their games by narrow margins, this seems fair enough, but then you remember that the Vikings have looked like the vastly more physical, superior team for weeks now, even after their dismantling at the hands of the Packers. This is not a gimme, or anything close to it, even if Atlanta is home.

The Falcons' best chances lie in forcing the Vikings to pass more than they'd like to, because even against a terrific run defense, Adrian Peterson is going to eat. Get a couple of turnovers, actually get the offense moving, and you're in business. It's obviously going to take better play than we've seen in weeks to get there, but we'll cover the blueprint in a little more detail. Suffice to say I don't think the Falcons ought to be favored in this one.

How about you?