Which Way Is The Arrow Pointing For NFC South Teams?

We're back on the discussion train tonight.

While there's still off-season moves to be made—Drew Brees is still unsigned!—we have a decent idea of how the rosters for the four NFC South teams are going to look. Knowing what you know about these teams, about regression to the mean and about the effects of coaches both new and old, what's the long-term outlook for each team?

Take into account who these teams have locked up in the future and what their team success is likely to look like over the next three seasons, which is about as far as one can reasonably project without looking like a total fool. Heck, three years is pushing it, but let's take a look.

Personally, I think Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Carolina all have arrows pointing up, in various degrees, and the Saints are roughly sideways. Any team with Brees (and they will sign him) and a good core of players and coaches will fare well down the line, but this year looks like a potentially dark one.

Give me your opinion.