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Apr 18, 2008 Dec 03, 2008 116 666

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Stampede Blue Prediction Contest Week 14

All-day work meetings take away from my Stampede Blue distraction time. I'll have full results up tonight, but wanted to get the new link up for this week.

comment about 6 hours ago Mgrex03_avatar_tiny mgrex03 comment 1 comments 0 recs

Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts, Week 13

Due to time constraints, I'll give my predictions with little explanation, and fill them in during the first round of games.  I'll also give the results from last week.

Welcome to Week 13 of the Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts.  Everyone should be getting fairly close to the playoffs, so I'll try to give you some last minute advice before the games begin.  Here goes:

Sleepers:

Busts:

The Colts are #1 in Fantasy points allowed to QB this season, and guess who's back under center?  Let's bury them early.

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Predictor Picks for Week 13

Last week, the Predictor was 10-6, including the Raiders winning!  I'm really going to find out what is up with it picking them every week.  That puts me at 110-66 on the season, which is 62.5%. Same percentage as last week.

Here are the picks for Week 13:

Win % Away Home Win %
60.8% Tennessee Detroit 39.2%
13.9% Seattle Dallas 86.1%
57.8% Arizona Philadelphia 42.2%
57.6% Indianapolis Cleveland 42.4%
98.8% Baltimore Cincinnati 1.2%
63.0% Miami St. Louis 37.0%
35.8% San Francisco Buffalo 64.2%
54.1% Carolina Green Bay 45.9%
13.3% New Orleans Tampa Bay 86.7%
29.0% N.Y. Giants Washington 71.0%
99.0% Atlanta San Diego 1.0%
23.8% Pittsburgh New England 76.2%
35.5% Denver N.Y. Jets 64.5%
17.0% Kansas City Oakland 83.0%
29.2% Chicago Minnesota 70.8%
52.5% Jacksonville Houston 47.5%

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Stampede Blue Prediction Contest, Results Week 12, Link for Week 13

An overall good week in the Prediction Contest this week.  We did have 1 overall winner from Week 12, and it was KrouseingTiger, with 12 correct.  We also had 1 person get 11 correct, and that was ctnyc.  Rounding out the double digit picks this week, we had a whole mess of people with 10.

  • jedye
  • The Lawn Wrangler
  • JakeTheSnake
  • DaveT
  • tim55

The Predictor got semi-back-on-track, getting 9 correct.  I'd like to keep my head above .500 each week, just like this one.

Overall, the Stampede Blue Leaders are as follows after 12 weeks:

Name Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Total
TouchdownMonkey 9 8 9 12 9 102
Road Teams 6 10 11 11 10 98
ColtsFanNChiTown 6 6 11 8 9 96
jedye 8 8 9 7 10 96
shake'n'bake 5 9 10 7 6 96
The Lawn Wrangler 7 8 6 7 10 94
scottishcoltsfan 4 9 8 9 8 92

TouchdownMonkey lengthens his lead this week, being the first to hit the century mark.  You can also see that Road Teams are all by themselves in 2nd.  I'm thinking home field advantage isn't what it used to be.  It is pretty common for a Home Team to get 3 points in a spread, for just being at home.  I'm wondering if this shouldn't come down to 2, or even 1 instead.  That would be an interesting experiment, to see if giving 2 points back to the home team, if that number comes down significantly.

The results below are (originally) sorted by Total score.  Feel free to click on a column and sort them yourself.  I've again separated out the "experts" who just picking straight up winners, to make it easier to read. 

Please remember there are 3 games on Thursday (TEN @ DET, SEA @ DAL, ARI @ PHI).  I will keep it open until Sunday at 1:00 ET, but if it is after kickoff on Thursday, you'll just miss those games.  If you want, put your picks for Thursday in the Comments here.

Stampede Blue Prediction Contest Picks Week 12

Stampede Blue Prediction Contest Week 13

Continue reading this post »

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Stampede Blue Fantasy Football Standings, Week 12

Ffl12_medium

We've got 1 week to go in the Stampede Blue Fantasy Football league, and only 3 of the 6 playoff spots have been accounted for.  Here's where we stand so far:

  • #1 seed - Statistical Anomaly (That's my team).  I'm up a full 2 games on entire league.  Hope to keep steam rolling through the playoffs.
  • #4 seed - King's Colts (KingRichard).  He has the second best record in the league, but in the wrong division.  His fantasy season has paralleled the Colts this year.  Struggling early, winning a lot lately, could end up with 2nd best record in league, as well as division.
  • Division Winner - Speed Blue Militia (metal_militia).  A win gives him a first round bye, a loss may still do it, but I'm not sure. (More on that later).

Now for the fun part.  As you can see, the Peyton Division has all 4 teams at 6-6.  I'm going to attempt to run through different scenarios to find the playoff teams.  Wish me luck...

  • True_Blue wins division if:
    • Win and either:
      • Blue Balled wins or
      • Score within 23 points of The Addai-Less Agenda
  • The Addai-Less Agenda wins division if:
    • Win and either:
      • Lincoln Brigade wins or
      • Score 23 points more than True_Blue
  • Lincoln Brigade wins division if:
    • Win and
    • Blue Balled wins and
    • Score within 58.5 points of Blue Balled
  • Blue Balled wins division if:
    • Win and
    • Lincoln Brigade wins and
    • Score 58.5 points more than Lincoln Brigade

Update: I was looking at it a little closer.  Here are a couple other things:

  • In the Peyton Division, it is win and you are in the Playoffs.  Not necessarily a division winner, but you are in the playoffs.
  • MexicanBlue is also Win and you are in. 
  • If MexicanBlue loses, the 5-7 teams have a chance, including BBS.  All of them should be fans of the King this week.

I'm not going to attempt to predict any other scenarios, as there are too many.  We'll just wait and see how it shakes out.  Good luck to everyone in the final week of the regular season.  Get Well Brandon Jacobs!

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Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts: Week 12

Editor's Note:  Be sure to get your picks in for the Stampede Blue Prediction Contest.  You have until 1:00 ET SundayGet your picks in sooner rather than later.

Welcome to Week 11 of your Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts.  I'll review last week before going into this week's studs and duds.

Sleepers:

  • Matt Ryan:  250 passing, 0 TD/1 INT, 18 rush yds = 9 pts.  The Broncos actually shut him down, although the same couldn't be said about Michael Turner.  No TDs mean a bad week for fantasy QBs.
  • Pierre Thomas:  88 yds rush, 1 TD, 55 yds rec = 19 pts.  Big week for the Saints backup RB, as they finally won a road game.  He could have another decent week this week against GB on Monday night.
  • Bobby Engram:  30 yards = 3 pts.  I'm done taking Seahawk players.  They aren't worth anything, especially WR.

Busts:

  • Tony Romo: 198 yds passing, 1 TD/2 INT = 9 pts.  Romo struggled in his first game back, but did get the win, thanks to his battering-ram RB Marion Barber.  I'll take it.
  • LaDainian Tomlinson: 57 yds rushing, 1 TD, 45 receiving = 15 pts. Tomlinson played much better this week against a very good Steeler defense.  Hopefully it doesn't carry over to this week.
  • T.J. Houshmandzadeh: 149 yards, 1 TD = 20 pts.  I picked the wrong Bengal WR.  T.J. had a huge week.

My bonus pick of Jake Delhomme was not a good one.  Only 98 yds passing, 1 TD = 9 pts.  I can't believe I played him over Shaun Hill last week.  At least I still won.

So I was 2 / 7 last week, and 40/75 for the season. I need to do a better job this week.  I've been struggling.  Here are you fantasy nuggets for Week 12:

Sleepers:

  • Jason Campbell vs. SEA:  Jim Zorn returns to where he was coaching last year.  I'm sure he is very familiar with what the Seahawks do, and will help his QB have a big week.  The Redskins desparately need a win, and Campbell should help them do just that.
  • Justin Fargas vs. DEN: Darren McFadden is back healthy, so he probably won't get as many carries as he has been getting.  However, the Broncos are bad against the run, and Fargas wants to keep his job.  Expect good things from him this week.
  • Donnie Avery vs. CHI:  The Bears have been torched through the air the past 2 weeks by the Titans and Packers.  I know the Rams are awful, but they have shown, at times, to be able to throw the ball with some consistency.  The Bears are 31st against WR this season, so there is a chance the Rams could find their passing game again this week.

Busts:

  • Brett Favre vs. TEN: Favre hasn't thrown an INT in 3 weeks.  I think that ends this week.  As much as I want the Jets to win, I just can't see it happening.  Favre is going to take some ill-advised risks, and it will cost him.
  • Brian Westbrook vs. BAL:  Andy Reid all but decided he didn't want to run the ball last week, as McNabb threw 58 times against a bad Bengals time.  Now they play a legitimate defense in Baltimore.  Don't expect Westbrook to do much.
  • Roddy White vs. CAR: The Falcons got stomped by the Panthers the first time around, and I'm thinking the same will happen again.  Matt Ryan struggled, meaning White struggled.  Expect more of the same this week.

Bonus pick:  Jeff Garcia vs. DET. Garcia is playing one of his former teams this week, and should shred up that defense.  We're just 1 week away from 11-0 vs. 0-11.  I can't wait.

Weekly Derek Anderson "bust" pick:  Quinn got his first win on Monday night, thanks to the big leg of Phil Dawson, and Trent Edwards pulling a Peyton in the first quarter, throwing 3 INTs.  This week, he's playing with a broken finger in his throwing hand.  Let's see how this works out against the team the Colts beat last week, the Texans.

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Predictor Picks for Week 12

Last week, the Predictor was an awful 5-11.  I guess I was due for a bad week.  That puts me at 100-60 on the season, which is 62.5%. Still a good percentage, but want it to go up.

Here are the picks for Week 12:

Win % Away Home Win %
24.0% Cincinnati Pittsburgh 76.0%
20.7% Philadelphia Baltimore 79.3%
21.4% Houston Cleveland 78.6%
13.9% San Francisco Dallas 86.1%
75.0% Tampa Bay Detroit 25.0%
30.3% Minnesota Jacksonville 69.7%
13.4% Buffalo Kansas City 86.6%
55.8% New England Miami 44.2%
62.8% Chicago St. Louis 37.2%
46.4% N.Y. Jets Tennessee 53.6%
55.8% Oakland Denver 44.2%
49.1% Carolina Atlanta 50.9%
99.6% N.Y. Giants Arizona 0.4%
97.7% Washington Seattle 2.3%
37.8% Indianapolis San Diego 62.2%
59.3% Green Bay New Orleans 40.7%

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Stampede Blue Prediction Contest, Results Week 11, Link for Week 12

We have a changing of the guard at the top of the Prediction Contest this week.  Big Kudos go to TouchdownMonkey, as he got 12 game correct this week, taking a 3 game overall.  Coming in 2nd this week are Road Teams.  I've added both them and Underdogs in this week as well.  We have two others that hit double digits with 10, and they are:

  • zkmavz
  • Memphis Red Dogs

My predictor hit a low for the season, only getting 5 correct.  Hopefully it can bounce back this week.  I won't pull down anyone else who only got 5, who is a "funny guy" on this site...

Overall, the Stampede Blue Leaders are as follows after 10 weeks:

Name Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Total
TouchdownMonkey 6 9 8 9 12 93
shake'n'bake 6 5 9 10 7 90
Road Teams 6 6 10 11 11 88
ColtsFanNChiTown 4 6 6 11 8 87
jedye 6 8 8 9 7 86
scottishcoltsfan 6 4 9 8 9 84
The Lawn Wrangler 9 7 8 6 7 84

As I said above, TouchdownMonkey has taken the lead after an outstanding week this week.  But check out the Road Teams.  They are doing quite well this year.

The results below are (originally) sorted by Total score.  Feel free to click on a column and sort them yourself.  I've again separated out the "experts" who just picking straight up winners, to make it easier to read. 

Please remember there is a game Thursday night (CIN vs. PIT).  I will keep it open until Sunday at 1:00 ET, but if it is after kickoff on Thursday, you'll just miss that game.  If you want, put your pick for Thursday in the Comments here.

Stampede Blue Prediction Contest Picks Week 11

Stampede Blue Prediction Contest Week 12

Continue reading this post »

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A MNF Guide: The Brady Quinn Drinking Game

We are all in a pretty good mood after yesterday's 33-27 win over the Texans.  The offense finally showed their true self, and we are back atop the wild card standings.  Tonight, a 5-4 Buffalo team will host the 3-6 Browns, in a game we should all be rooting for the team employing my 2nd favorite quarterback, Brady Quinn

We all know how obnoxious ESPN is, especially on MNF.  I, along with Brian G. over at Buffalo Rumblings, expect them to be especially so tonight, as Quinn will be the focal point of their broadcast.  I thought I'd come up with a game for all of you to play, based on what topics or names come up.  I'll categorize them from Multiple Times to Very Obscure, along with the requisite drinks of sweet nectar that go along with it.  Here goes:

Take one drink for each time they say the following, as they'll happen multiple times:

  • Derek Anderson
  • Notre Dame
  • Charlie Weis
  • "Hometown QB"

Take two drinks for each time they say the following, as they may happen multiple times, but at least once:

  • 2007 Draft
  • Lack of Arm Strength
  • Showing Derek Anderson spinning a ball on the sidelines
  • Quinn's record against Trent Edwards in college (3-0)

Take three drinks for each time they say the following, as these are starting to get obscure, but they (ESPN) will be obnoxious

  • Tyrone Willingham
  • A.J. Hawk
  • Actual video of the 2007 draft, complete with his reaction when the Dolphins selected the Ginn Family.
  • Tom Brady speaking to him on the phone while in college

Take four drinks for each time they say the following, as these have nothing to do with the game, but ESPN doesn't care:

  • Jeff Samardzija
  • Jimmy Clausen
  • Notre Dame's bowl record over the past 15 years
  • John McCain

Take an entire bottle of Irish Whiskey, and chug the whole thing:

  • Show any of the pictures found in this collage (courtesy of Deadspin).  Especially the last one, as it is the most famous.  

I'm going to keep track of all of these things, and hope everything gets said at least once, other than the last thing, as I don't think my liver could take that much obnoxiousness.  Here's to enjoying the game a little more, and Lee Evans/Braylon Edwards combining for less than 9 fantasy points.  Go Browns!

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Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts: Week 11

Editor's Note:  Be sure to get your picks in for the Stampede Blue Prediction Contest.  You have until 1:00 ET SundayGet your picks in sooner rather than later.

Welcome to Week 10 of your Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts.  I'll review last week before going into this week's studs and duds.

Sleepers:

  • Chad Pennington:  209 passing, 1 TD/1 INT = 12 pts.  Although his 1 touchdown pass was pretty neat (flea flicker), not a good day overall for Pennington.  They did win at least.
  • Leon Washington:  54 yds rush, 14 yds rec = 6 pts.  I was one week early on this pick.  The Jets put up 47 on the Rams, but none were by Washington.  And I lost by 5 points.
  • Matt Jones:  62 yards = 6 pts.  Another 0-3 for my sleeper picks.  I figured I was playing it safe going against the Lions.  Porter and Williamson got the TDs though.

Busts:

  • Peyton Manning: 240 yds passing, 3 TD = 27 pts.  Aww shucks, I got this wrong too.  I'm so disappointed.  Thanks Peyton for proving me wrong.  I'm sure he read this, and wanted to prove me wrong.
  • Brian Westbrook: 26 yds rushing, 33 receiving = 5 pts. I got one!  Westbrook was shut down by the Giants defense.  I don't expect Westbrook to have similar numbers vs. Cincinnati this week.
  • Andre Johnson: 66 yards = 6 pts.  Can we keep Johnson at these numbers this week too, please?.

My bonus pick of David Garrard was spot on.  238 yds passing, 2 TD, 10 yds rush = 22 pts.  Jacksonville doesn't lose to 2 winless teams in a row.  I'm not looking forward to Thanksgiving, watching the Lions get slaughtered by the Titans.

So I was 3 / 7 last week, and 38/68 for the season. All the teams have finished their byes, so your fantasy teams are fully stocked from now on.  Here are you fantasy nuggets for Week 11:

Sleepers:

  • Matt Ryan vs. DEN:  Cpt. Intangibles has been playing quite well this year, and should continue that at home against the Broncos, who rank 26th against Fantasy QBs this season.
  • Pierre Thomas vs. KC: The Chiefs are dead last against RB this season, and Brees has struggled as of late.  Expect the Saints to run more than normal, and Thomas to pick up those carries and yards.
  • Bobby Engram vs. ARI:  Hasselbeck is back from injury, and Arizona is dead last against WR.  I'm looking for a nice game from Engram this week.

Busts:

  • Tony Romo vs. WAS: Romo is also back from injury this week, playing a divisional game, on the road, against a defense ranked 5th against QBs.  Terry's not gonna like it, but Romo's gonna struggle.
  • LaDainian Tomlinson vs. PIT:  This hasn't been the greatest year of LT to begin with, and the Steelers are #3 against RB this season.  No big week for LT.
  • T.J. Houshmandzadeh vs. PHI: The Eagles have pounded their lousy opponents this season, and it should be the same Sunday afternoon against the Bengals.  They are also 6th best against WR this season.  Plus I have the Eagles D this week, and I need lots of points from them without my man Portis.

Bonus pick:  Jake Delhomme vs. DET. Delhomme was awful last week against the Raiders, but get the lowly Lions this week at home.  I'll go out on a limb and say he has a better week than 4 picks last week.

Weekly Derek Anderson "bust" pick:  I'm glad this is over.  The Browns play Monday Night in Buffalo.  Quinn should have another nice game, with it being blown at the end by his incompetent head coach.

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