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Mistake Free Football Will Help The Falcons Win

Duh, you say.

Still, it's an integral piece of what the Falcons are going to be trying to do against the Giants. It's relevant enough that Mike Smith himself talked to D. Orlando Ledbetter about it, citing the team's seven (!) turnovers in two playoff games under his coachhood.

"The common theme [was] you can’t turn the football over," Smith said. "One happened right before halftime last season, and in Arizona I think it was the first or second play of the second half. We came out and turned the ball over and it was returned for a touchdown, as well. It’s no different than regular-season football, but we’ve got to make sure that we have ball security. We cannot turn the football over in the postseason."

The Giants are not a great defensive football team. As more than one Big Blue Viewer has noted—thanks for your contributions, guys—the Giants depend on that lethal pass rush to cover up very real issues in coverage. Getting into the backfield constantly means forced throws and potentially fumbles. That masks those very real weaknesses in the secondary and allows the Giants' potent passing attack to get on the field and put up points, which I'm not a fan of.

More importantly, this Falcons team has shown itself hard-pressed to recover from those mistakes in both big games and playoff games. Because these Giants can hang points in bunches without any help from fumbles, interceptions and even penalties, the Falcons must limit or eliminate all three. They've been there twice already, so jitters aren't really legitimate at this point.

In essence, this is exactly what the Falcons saw against the Cardinals and Packers. In both cases, turnovers led to points, and in the case of Green Bay, an insurmountable lead. If the Falcons don't turn the ball over, chances are good they'll at least be hanging field goals on most drives against the Giants' D, and that will keep them in the game at minimum. If they win the turnover battle by forcing a couple of their own, they have a great shot at winning the game.

They can't afford to repeat those past mistakes. Ball security is priority number one on Sunday.

Comment 73 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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their pass rush

is the primary reason that can potentially lead to turnovers. take away their pass rush – and we limit possibilities for turning it over. on paper it looks straight-forward – use screen passes, playaction and draws a lot. but with our team its easier said than done.

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Jan 4, 2012 9:09 AM EST reply actions  

A screen in Atlanta is

something on a door.

"Everybody has a plan until they get hit" Iron Mike Tyson.
"Screw 2nd." Lugs Harvey.
"In Grimes we trust, all others get gashed"- Me.

by CaptJackSparrow on Jan 4, 2012 9:52 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Well, they put them on windows too...

and opposing teams use them in the Dome…

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 9:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Rec'd

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Jan 4, 2012 10:06 AM EST up reply actions  

Damn...I glossed over that opportunity...Good one!!

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

MM has been calling screens

But for whatever reason they ALWAYS fail, much like the end arounds used too but now JJ makes them work.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Jan 4, 2012 11:14 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Put Sam Baker back at LT

Then throw screens to the left all day. They will be getting so much pressure on that side normally, that they will never know for certain if Baker’s whiffing again or it’s a screen.

by jcaustic on Jan 4, 2012 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

I like this.

"Everybody has a plan until they get hit" Iron Mike Tyson.
"Screw 2nd." Lugs Harvey.
"In Grimes we trust, all others get gashed"- Me.

by CaptJackSparrow on Jan 4, 2012 6:06 PM EST up reply actions  

with the 40 or 60% chance to rain

short passes including screens might actually be the best weapon

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Jan 4, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

that's what I;m saying

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Jan 4, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

our D can be exploited by a good screen team.

Perry Fewell Stinks!

by GMen56-11 on Jan 4, 2012 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed.

Both the games went out of reach by turnovers. In Arizona play off game, the fumble in the back field was caused by Arizona D jumping on the count. I hope they mix up the snap count this time. Its important that we get the Run game going( if Turner can’t get yards on first down use Snelling or Quizz) to setup play action pass.If we can’t setup play action pass, not sure if the OL can hold up. I am not sure if Falcons can run the screens effectively with the Personnel, the average for screens we ran in the regular season was 3.4 Yards per attempt.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Jan 4, 2012 9:17 AM EST reply actions  

too small of a sample size
the average for screens we ran in the regular season was 3.4 Yards per attempt

you have to run those plays a lot more in order for the learning curve to kick in. even a possibility that we can run a screen play (even for a 3.4 yds) could somehow limit their pass rush or at least keep someone spying at the LOS.

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Jan 4, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

suddenly, a chance for some hope

against their pass rush -

The Falcons allowed 26 sacks during the regular season, which was the sixth lowest in the league. Only Cincinnati (25), Oakland (25), New Orleans (24), Tennessee (24) and Buffalo (23) allowed fewer sacks.

(from DOL)

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Jan 4, 2012 9:26 AM EST reply actions  

Better

Ya it got better but Ryan was still hurried too many times.

by Sbaron55 on Jan 4, 2012 9:33 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Indeed

Ryan is still among the top in QB Hits

by KMarch on Jan 4, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Tony Gonzalez is going to have a field day on our D

regardless of whether undrafted rookie Jacquian Williams is covering him, (who happens to be our best rookie this year) or whether former Falcon Michael Boley is covering him. Both of those two guys have played well the past 2 weeks, but we struggle in the middle of the field defending passes, especially to big tight ends. Jason Witten owns us and I predict Tony Gonzalez to do the same in this game.

I think if we hope to have a good defensive showing, it is indeed going to be by wrecking havoc on Matt Ryan with our pass rush. I feel the exact same way with the Falcons getting pressure on Eli. I’m not sure how Matt does against pressure so maybe you guys can give me some insight into that, but historically Eli handles pressure well. Believe it or not, he actually throws more picks when he has all day to throw and to think about it. When he is rushed into making decisions, for whatever reason, it usually winds up being a good one. This would also explain why he is successful in the 2 minute drill. (and i till cant figure out why we do not run a no huddle like big bro) Of course if you can hit him, well than it doesnt really matter how good he is in the face of heavy pressure.

I agree completely with this post as well. Turnovers are key. If either team can win the turnover battle I think that team wins decisively. If neither team can win the battle and it winds up being even, I look for this game to come down to the wire. Matty Ice vs. Eli. Personally, I would take Eli in a situation like that over Matt, but don’t get me wrong I definitely think Matt has the skills to stick it to Eli with a final drive to seal the deal.

Here’s to a good game with no injuries.

by The Blood of Eli on Jan 4, 2012 9:50 AM EST reply actions  

Agree completely

Ryan is much better against added pressure than when a lot of men are in coverage. Which is why he struggles when a team can bring pressure with 4. Which the Giants will probably do.

by Mosugo on Jan 4, 2012 9:57 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Man, our OL...

needs to step up!!

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 9:58 AM EST up reply actions  

What? You didn't hear? They do already!!

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

So...Eli is worse without pressure??? We've got them right where we want them everybody!!

Cuz we don’t pressure anybody!!! Tremble at the perfect passing pocket surrounding Eli!!! Cringe at our patented no pressure blitz!!! Stare in horror at Eli’s squeaky clean uniform!!

by aces666high on Jan 4, 2012 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

im tellin u man

when eli scrambles out of the pocket he makes some of the most brilliant throws…. when he stands there with all day soemtimes he tries some ridiculous passes bone headed throws.

by The Blood of Eli on Jan 4, 2012 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't agree

Tony Gonzalez is going to have a field day on our D

Boley been effective the last few weeks helping neutralize Whitten.

Perry Fewell Stinks!

by GMen56-11 on Jan 4, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

We need Bobo in "this" game

He would call a first and bomb to a JJ or Roddy
then Turner up the middle.
with a shot to TG on third downs.
But Spoon needs to “bump” into him at practice so he doesn’t do it in any kind of predictable order.

And even if it didn’t work He wouldn’t be at Georgia anymore and Mularkey would be gone.

"Everybody has a plan until they get hit" Iron Mike Tyson.
"Screw 2nd." Lugs Harvey.
"In Grimes we trust, all others get gashed"- Me.

by CaptJackSparrow on Jan 4, 2012 10:00 AM EST reply actions  

Seems obvious enough

but it’s one big difference this year to last year – especially in penalties. Ryan has taken great care of the ball in recent weeks, with a 10-0 TD-INT ratio through the past 4 games, so hopefully the streak continues. Penalties are going to be the real killer – I’ve heard some people say that Metlife isn’t that loud by comparison to some stadiums, but I doubt it’ll be quiet and friendly come playoffs. Penalties are going to be killer to either side, but for the Falcons (especially the O-line) they could decide the game, or at least the 3rd down distance, which may as well be the game.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Jan 4, 2012 10:08 AM EST reply actions  

its true metlife gets quiet

but that is because its all the old timers and rich people who just go as tourists due to the high prices… however, all those people sell their tickets when big games like this come around, its almost like an unwritten rule. all the young, roudy, loudmouths buy the tickets from all the old timers who yell when you stand up, always, for every big game. last week against the cowboys that crowd was not your typical MetLife crowd, and this week against you guys will be the same. ive been to about 40-50 games in my life at all different times and for all different levels of meaningfuleness and i promise you, that is factual information. I will also be there on Sunday ensuring that the entire population of section 319 is on their feet cheering lol.

by The Blood of Eli on Jan 4, 2012 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Pass around towels Eli

we seem to do well when we wave towels around…last Sunday, the Vikings playoff game, etc.

Yes, I am a Giants fan. Now that we got that out of the way....
IMPEACH DOLAN!!!!
The Big Boy Cometh....Team Jacobs
Marines say Oorah; BBVer's say SUAMBP! say it with me - Suuaahmbp!!!!

by wilddre22 on Jan 4, 2012 11:22 PM EST up reply actions  

its a fact

ill be upset if we dont get towels

by The Blood of Eli on Jan 5, 2012 8:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Are Rutgers still the Best Team in NY/NJ?

They did win the vaulted Pinstripe bowl, one upping the Giants again!

by Falcons1133 on Jan 4, 2012 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

Heh...I think you made a friend...lol

Seriously though, is this stated just to start an argument? Or are you just playing around?

So far all the NYG fans have come here and had good discussion…I think we should be civil…but that’s just me…

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Cool...lol

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Jan 4, 2012 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

meh that's a longshot at best to start a war with us

we deal with Eagles fans all year round….a meaningless Rutgers comment is tame.

also, we win Bowls, so that comment only affects young Jet fans.

Yes, I am a Giants fan. Now that we got that out of the way....
IMPEACH DOLAN!!!!
The Big Boy Cometh....Team Jacobs
Marines say Oorah; BBVer's say SUAMBP! say it with me - Suuaahmbp!!!!

by wilddre22 on Jan 4, 2012 11:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I hate Rutgers

I support the Giants like bras support Kim Kardashian's boobs. It can be a struggle, we've had some jiggles, but we're still firm.

by BigBlueIntervention on Jan 4, 2012 8:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Mighty Rutgers

Represented the Big East. With Coach Schiano, they are developing their football team into something special.

by Green Bull on Jan 5, 2012 9:19 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

Excellent post and comments so far. I had forgotten about the turnover that did us in against the Cardinals. Turnovers will be key, for sure. The Falcons will need to focus on the run early, as much as I want to see them throw it all over the place, so that the defensive line isn’t pinning their ears back. If we can do this, Matt Ryan will have a field day.

Also, the Giants fans at Big Blue View have been excellent as they’ve come over to our blog the past few days. I hope things don’t take a turn for the worse as the week progresses, because I’ve enjoyed reading their comments about the matchup.

This is my corn. You people are guests in my corn.

by gilley on Jan 4, 2012 1:36 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, that’s that the part I haven’t been able to forget, no matter how hard I try. But it’s still true that without the turnover, we wouldn’t have been in that position.

This is my corn. You people are guests in my corn.

by gilley on Jan 4, 2012 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Turnovers and penalties will happen

We have to minimize them, but it’s the playoffs and opponents will force mistakes, we have to go in at a higher level and I believe create enough cushion to stand a mistake or two, and maybe ca call or two for the home team. The top five have enough in the tank to deal with some adversity, we should expect that and manage to that level or risk. We have one game playoffs, not seven game series. Go Falcons! BTW I was on the 50 in Arizona.

by Craig Guinn on Jan 4, 2012 8:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I've been impressed with the back-and-forth

Things are rarely so friendly around here.

Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!

by Dave Choate on Jan 4, 2012 2:25 PM EST up reply actions  

u wanna be even more impressed

next time its giants cowboys week, read big blue view and blogging the boys. you would think its all blood lust and vulgarities, however, its nothing like that at all. giants eagles week should have a mature censory rating on it, but not giants cowboys. all the guys over at blogging the boys are great and so are all of us at big blue view.

and ill be leaving this blog come sunday afternoon with pleasant thoughts about you guys as well.

by The Blood of Eli on Jan 4, 2012 2:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Dave Halprin at BTB was the guy who got me into SBN

He’s an extremely classy dude. Like someone set at BBV, I think the tone starts at the top.

Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!

by Dave Choate on Jan 4, 2012 3:21 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed

If you actually enforce policy you get the environment you foster. Be good to people and expect the same, foster it by booting off idiots, VOILA good discussion. Seriously though NY folks have been class so far and kudos to the Falcoholic folks for providing a good place to feel safe with our favorite team neurosis.

by dr3dd1ne on Jan 4, 2012 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah i've been around here before

Dave you run this site well, kinda like our own Ed Valentine. well written informative stuff, and expectations for respect when it comes to commenting.

Yes, I am a Giants fan. Now that we got that out of the way....
IMPEACH DOLAN!!!!
The Big Boy Cometh....Team Jacobs
Marines say Oorah; BBVer's say SUAMBP! say it with me - Suuaahmbp!!!!

by wilddre22 on Jan 4, 2012 11:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Well if that's the case

it won’t be long before blood and banhammers start running a rampant masochism scheme here.

Ticking time bomb, Dave. I knew those frequent twitches meant something. I’m onto you.

Follow me on Twitter! twitter.com/FalcoholicZippo

If you're a fan of the Falcons, or if you want to chat it up with some Falcons fans, sign up here, share your opinion, and get to know some great fans of the Falcons!

by Caleb Rutherford on Jan 5, 2012 3:00 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

in a large part because fans of both teams realize and understand their team has flaws. Too many fans are blinded by their allegiance to their team.

Perry Fewell Stinks!

by GMen56-11 on Jan 4, 2012 5:06 PM EST up reply actions  

the 2008 arizona playoff game

The Falcons lead 17-14 at the half (after a 14-3 deficit) and seemed destined to take control of the game
(like the Hawks did to the Bulls last night)

But that Micheal Turner-Matt Ryan Fumble for a Touchdown turned it around

by brotherbrown on Jan 4, 2012 2:34 PM EST reply actions  

Time to nut up or shut up

I like this team, and I will defend these guys win or lose. But there was a lot of potential risk going for JJ this year. I think the payoff is at least this win. After that they’ll be playing with house money. A win over a good team in the Giants means they are growing as a group. I hope they can do it. I’m realistic, anything positive that happens after Sunday is gravy. But get the first win, dang it!

by Lou7676 on Jan 4, 2012 2:47 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah this is too close to call really

From what I’ve looked at it boils down to this. If we can run the ball effectively with Turner we win. Everything else is too close to call. I don’t buy the home field “outside” team advantage. We can actually run the ball and Matt doesn’t throw deep a lot (so no wind / rain as much a factor).

These teams are eerily similar but I give the edge to our Birds. I think we’re tired of the “can’t win a playoff game” crap, we’re focused on this game, and we’re coming out to prove something. I think NY had their emotional moment last weekend and will be looking past the Falcons.

Now excuse me as I run to the store to stock up on antacids.

by dr3dd1ne on Jan 4, 2012 3:12 PM EST reply actions  

by the by has anyone noticed

That Turner seems to be more healthy over the last month and running with more authority?

by dr3dd1ne on Jan 4, 2012 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Agree

Seems to be missing the pile a bit more often too.

by Craig Guinn on Jan 4, 2012 8:10 PM EST up reply actions  

It's going to be a close game, barring a huge surprise

I think these two teams match up as evenly as anyone else in the playoffs.

Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!

by Dave Choate on Jan 4, 2012 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

the only avantage we haven't

HOME FIELD advantage isn’t even an advantage. We were 4-4 at home this season. Since 2006 we’re an average home team. We’re 26-23 at home including a playoff loss.

Perry Fewell Stinks!

by GMen56-11 on Jan 4, 2012 5:09 PM EST up reply actions  

The issue

The Giants are not a great defensive football team. As more than one Big Blue Viewer has noted—thanks for your contributions, guys—the Giants depend on that lethal pass rush to cover up very real issues in coverage

our issue is with the scheme our DC asks our DBs to play. He prefers a soft cover 2 zone. Our DBs have proven they excel in man to man with press coverage. It’s not a surprise our success the last two games in a large part is due to PF changing his scheme. He’s playing more to the players strength.

Perry Fewell Stinks!

by GMen56-11 on Jan 4, 2012 4:55 PM EST reply actions  

IT'S TIME ATLANTA

Don’t really wanna go into much depth on this because I sum up every single Falcon fan’s thoughts….it’s just time.

by DirtyBirdzUp on Jan 5, 2012 4:26 AM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

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