FanPost

2010 Falcons Defense Pass Coverage by Numbers: 3rd Down Conversions.

 

The biggest knock against Falcons pass defense last year was third down conversions in addition to the insane amount of yards allowed. The Falcons Defense 3rd down pct was 39 %(79 out of 201 Attempts) good for 22nd rank in the league, however the pass defense accounted for 68%(54/79) of total 3rd down conversions allowed. Depending on whom you listen to, the blame for this falls on Stephen Nicholas, Thomas DeCoud, Dunta Robinson,Brent Grimes and Chris Owens etc.  With out blaming anyone, lets dive in to the Pass coverage stats (except the NB which will be a separate post) focused on 3rd down conversions, 3rd down stops and total 1st downs from 2010. These numbers are from the notes I took from last year on pass coverage.  Though this post is focused on 1st downs and 3rd down conversion, I have included other numbers like YPA, Yards, % complete as a reference for discussion.  Please feel free to use the stats and come up with your own conclusions and discuss.

 All stats are for 2010 Regular Season Falcons Pass Coverage only.

Top CB Tandem (BG & DR):

No

Name

Snaps

TA

Rec

% Ct

Yds

YPA

3rd Stops

3rd Converted

3rd Stop %

1st Downs

1st Downs/TA

1st Downs in Scoring Drives.

20

 Brent Grimes

987

120

61

50.8

722

6.01

9

14

39.30%

39

32.50%

17

23

 Dunta Robinson

849

81

50

61.7

546

6.7

8

4

66.70%

27

33%

12

 

Total

 

201

111

55%

1268

6.3

17

18

48.90%

66

32%

29

Third Down Stop %(Higher the Better): The credit for 3rd down stops is given only if the player had a direct contribution (PD, Interception, Tackle and FF) to the stop.

1.     Dunta Robinson comes out on top with a 3rd down stop rate of 66.7%(allowed only 4 conversions out of 12 Attempts). DR 23 accounted for just 7%(4/54) of the total Falcons pass defense 3rd down conversions. These are solid numbers considering he was matched up against the number 1 receiver most of the times.

2.     Brent Grimes has a stop rate of 39.3%; this is not surprising considering he is aggressively going after the ball. His interceptions and role as a playmaker compensates for his poor 3rd down stop rate. BG accounted for 25% (14/54) of the total Falcons passing 3rd down conversions.

3.     DR and BG combined account for 1/3rd of Total Falcons 3rd down conversions (18/54).  This is not bad considering that the top two Corner Backs are covering the top receivers.

1st Downs /Total Attempts (TA)%(Lower the Better):

1.     Considering the 1st downs to the TA, only 33%(27/81) of Passes thrown at DR's receivers' went for 1st downs.  He accounted for 14% (27/183) of the total Falcons 1st downs compared to 7% of total Falcons 3rd down conversions. The Quarterbacks are willing to take a chance with him on the early downs than the 3rd down.

2.     Brent Grimes comes out on top considering 1st downs /TA, only 32% of the passes thrown his way went for 1st down. He accounted for 21%(39/183) of the total Falcons 1st downs compared to 25 %(14/54) of total falcons 3rd down conversions. BG is more effective on early downs than the 3rd down situations.

3.     DR and BG together allowed 1st downs on only 32% of the TA. They allowed 36%(66/183) of the total Falcons first downs.

Safeties:

No

Name

Snaps

TA

Rec

% Ct

Yds

YPA

3rd Stops

3rd Converted

3rd Stop %

1st Downs

1st Downs/TA

1st Downs in Scoring DR

28

 Thomas DeCoud

920

36

25

69.4

280

7.7

2

0

100%

7

19.40%

3

 

 Erik Coleman

149

4

4

100

57

14.25

0

3

0%

3

75%

1

25

 William Moore

913

45

30

66.7

363

8.06

4

7

36.30%

13

28.80%

7

Total

85

59

700

8.23

6

10

37%

23

11

Third Down Stop %(Higher the Better): The credit for 3rd down stops is given only if the player had a direct contribution (PD, Interception, Tackle and FF) to the stop.

1.     Thomas DeCoud actually improved on the Pass coverage last year though he wasn't explosive playmaker by creating turnovers.  He had 3rd down stop rate of 100%(2 stops/2 Attempts). Thomas DeCoud was definitely not the reason for allowing 3rd down conversions.

2.     William Moore had a stop rate of 36.3%(4 Stops/11 Attempts) on 3rd downs. William Moore 3rd down stop rate takes a hit because of his aggressive style similar to Brent Grimes. He accounted for 12% (7/54) of the total Falcons Passing 3rd down conversions.

3.     Thomas DeCoud and William Moore both combined for only 12 % of the total Falcons Passing Defense 3rd down conversion. The Solid coverage by TD 28 combined with aggressive style of WM25 gives falcons a nice balance in the backfield.

1st Downs /Total Attempts (TA)%(Lower the Better):

1.     Considering the 1st downs to the TA, only 19.4%(7/36) of Passes thrown at receiver covered by TD28 went for 1st downs. TD28 gave up a meager 3% (7/183) of the total Falcons 1st downs.  TD 28 was pretty solid in coverage except for the 83 Yard TD against PHI in week 6.

2.     William Moore accounted for only 7%(13/183) of total Falcons 1st downs. Similar to Grimes he is better on early downs than the 3rd downs. It would be interesting to see if Sanders plays SS in 3rd down coverage situations.

3.     Both Safeties accounted for 10.9% of the total falcons first downs.

Line Backers:

No

Name

Snaps

TA

Rec

% Ct

Yds

YPA

3rd Stops

3rd Converted

3rd Stop %

1st Downs

1st Downs/TA

1st Downs in Scoring DR

54

 Stephen Nicholas

674

43

35

81.4

265

6.16

9

4

69.20%

10

23.20%

3

53

 Mike Peterson

484

29

24

82.8

223

7.6

0

4

0

10

34%

5

56

 Sean Weatherspoon

429

35

31

88.6

365

10.4

3

4

42%

18

51%

7

50

 Curtis Lofton

958

45

39

86.7

366

8.13

4

4

50%

19

42.20%

10

152

129

1219

7.96

16

16

50%

57

37.25%

25

Third Down Stop %(Higher the Better): The credit for 3rd down stops is given only if the player had a direct contribution (PD, Interception, Tackle and FF) to the stop.

1.     Stephen Nicholas was by far the best LB in 3rd down stops. Stephen Nicholas had a 3rd down stop rate of 69.2%(9 stops /13 Attempts)

2.     Mike Peterson with stop rate of 0% and Sean Weatherspoon with 42% stop rate finished as bottom 2 Linebackers in the 3rd down coverage. Curtis Lofton had a stop rate of 50% on 3rd downs; Lofton was burned by running backs like Ray Rice on third down situations.

3.     All the LB combined for 29%(16/54) of the third downs. The middle of the field is a definite problem for the Falcons. Hopefully with Healthy Spoon and Lofton will make these numbers better.

1st Downs /Total Attempts (TA)%(Lower the Better).

1.     Stephen Nicholas had the lowest YPA and the lowest 1st Downs/TA (23%) among Linebackers. Spoon had the highest YPA (10.4 YPA) and the highest 1st downs/TA %( 51%).

Stephen Nicholas was the best LB in the Pass coverage last year for the Falcons. The LB allowed almost the same Yardage as our top 2 CB's combined, this makes the defense vulnerable in the middle. Sean Weatherspoon was the worst in coverage last year, most likely because of the Injury.

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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