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Falcons Roster Evaluation by Group Positions


I make no claims to be an analyst, specialist or anything more than a hardcore football fanatic. I've been obsessing over the game for over 25 years and have been watching the Birds for almost that entire time. Yet, this roster has me more excited than any I've ever seen coming into the preseason. Here's my breakdown of each group position and how I think they rank.

Star-divide

Offense

Offensive Line: This may be the area with the most question marks for this team. Granted, this line allowed the 3rd fewest sacks in the league last year, but much of that was due to Ryan's ability to get rid of the ball quickly. Even though Turner had another 1000+ rushing season, he did it on more carries and a lower overall yard average. The departure of Harvey Dahl may not be missed too badly, as all indications are that his eventual replacements are showing great promise. The verdict on Sam Baker as LT is also still out, and if he doesn't make significant progress this year, it may be time to find a replacement for him. Grade: C

Running Back: Turner has been a work-horse since his arrival in 2008, and his punishing style of running continues to make him a nightmare for linebackers and DBs across the league. The Falcons want to take some of his 300+ carries and hand them off to a change-of-pace back, but last year's early injury to Norwood kept that from happening. That may change this year with the pick-up of Jaquizz Rodgers, a small but explosive back who is showing great signs in camp that he may be ready for that 3rd down role, as long as he can learn the necessary protections. I fully expect Turner to have another stellar season, and the addition of Jaquizz finally gives Ryan the option they wanted out of Norwood. If Snelling is retained, this is one dangerous backfield. Grade: B

Tight End: Yes, Gonzalez is the best TE to have played. And yes, he's still getting around like a 28 year old. But the Falcons have little to no depth here. Peele has shown little to make us think he's a suitable replacement and Michael Palmer spent most of his time on the practice squad last year. Tony still has incredible hands and blocks out the defense better than any receiver in the league. All indications are that he's still in amazing shape, but the Falcons need to start thinking about who the long-term replacement is going to be. Grade: B

Receivers: Roddy White is easily one of the best receivers in football. His amazing hands last year earned him another Pro-Bowl berth and another 1000 yard season. But this year's focus is undoubtedly on the rookie Julio Jones, and all indications are that the Falcons have another stud receiver to throw to. Anyone who has seen Julio so far has been amazed not only by his ability, but by his composure, maturity and understanding of the playbook. Typically, rookie WRs don't have an immediate impact, but this may be one of the few exceptions. At the very least, he'll relieve some of the double-teams that Roddy dealt with last year. Losing Jenkins as a possession receiver hurt, but if Kerry Meier can step up, he can serve as a suitable replacement. The early word is also that Harry Douglas is fully healed from his torn ACL from two years ago, and his explosive speed is back. If true, he could be extremely dangerous out of the slot. All in all, this could end up being one of the most dangerous receiving corps in the league. Grade: A

Quarterback: What else can be said about Ryan that hasn't already been said? Tied for most wins in his first 3 years with Dan Marino. Pro-Bowl in his 3rd year. Rookie of the Year. The unquestioned leader of this Falcons team. Look for yet another step forward in the progression of this amazing QB. I fully expect to see Ryan repeat, if not exceed, his amazing performance from last year. Ryan alone is reason enough to be excited about this team. Grade: A

 

Defense

Defensive Line: Considered one of our weaknesses last year, the D-Line may be undergoing the biggest change, and all of that with the addition of only one new player. The pickup of Ray Edwards at an amazing price has Atlanta fans singing Dimitroff's praises. Combined with the future HOF John Abraham, it's not unreasonable to expect somewhere around 20 or more sacks between our two starting DEs. If Bierrman continues to develop and the "potential" of Sidbury starts emerging, the ends may end up being one of our strengths, especially as game fatigue starts hitting opponents in the 4th quarter. The tackle situation may have also undergone an upgrade through health. Early indications out of camp are that Peria Jerry is looking like the beast the Falcons were hoping for when he was drafted two years ago. Jonathan Babineaux should repeat his pro-bowl caliber play and the emergence of Corey Peters last year gives us some depth. This line just might be one of the best Atlanta has fielded in a long, long time: Grade: B

Linebackers: It's all about the health, and the fact that two of our 3 linebackers played injured last year should give us some hope for this year. Lofton is a great general in the middle who sees the field very well. Weatherspoon is a freak that can explode to the ball and can provide some extra explosion as a blitzer. Nicholas is a solid, if not overly average linebacker. The only issue here is depth. Mike Peterson is a great backup vet, but after him, little else is known. Akeem Dent will probably see time on special teams and projects better as a middle linebacker than on the outside. This should be a solid group, and if they stay healthy, could prove to be a fairly dominant crew. Grade: B-

Safeties: Thomas DeCoud and William Moore don't have the marquee names, but these guys have shown some great moments. William Moore can hit like a freight truck and DeCoud seems to always be around the ball. If Moore can repeat and top his great year last year, the safeties will no longer be considered a weak point. DeCoud needs to tighten up his coverage and close gaps a bit quicker, but he's young and this is yet another year for him in the Smith/Van Gorder system. I'm not sure if either of these guys are pro-bowlers, but they should be solid - and to boot, they are both young. Grade: B-

Cornerbacks: Pro-Bowler Brent Grimes HAS returned, and the word is that this guy is in freakishly amazing shape. Considering he was the most targeted CB in the league last year, expect Grimes to have another great year. Dunta appeared to have an off year, but the truth is probably something different. Teams didn't throw at Dunta much, instead choosing to target Grimes. This season will probably be different and Dunta can expect to be tested more. Was he worth the hefty contract he was handed out of Houston? This is the year to prove it, as he now has a solid year under this new system under his belt. In the Nickel packages, we all remember how terrible Owens played at the end of last year and against Green Bay in particular. But if camp reports are true, it looks like Owens and Dominique Franks are having an impressive battle for that nickel spot. But camp is one thing, and without a proven track record here, the defensive backfield may still be a weakspot - especially against pass heavy teams like Green Bay. The potential for this group is huge, but at this point, much of it is unproven. Grade: C

Overall, this team doesn't have any glaring weaknesses. They appear to have made all the moves necessary to take another step forward. And for a team that won the NFC South and had the best record in the NFC last year at 13-3, it would have been easy to rest on their laurels. Thankfully, perfection is on the minds of this front office and they took yet another step towards their ultimate goal: bringing home the Lombardi trophy.

This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.

Comment 28 comments  |  8 recs  | 

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This is a really good post. Very in-depth, and a great read.

I’ve been a die hard Falcons fan for more than 20 years myself, so I totally understand your excitement. Over the past couple decades, there have been some pretty awful Falcons teams. Sure, there were a few successful years in the ’90s and ’00s, but there were many more years when the dome was filled with fair weathered Atlantans rooting on the opposition. It was tough being a Falcons fan for a loooong time.

That being said, maybe this is our year. :)

This roster has me more excited than any I’ve ever seen coming into the preseason.

You might be right. This roster is at least comparable to—if not better than—the ‘98 team. That’s the best Falcons team of the past 20 years, hands down. I guess we’ll find out if this year’s roster is even better than the ’98 squad.

One things for sure, though: this is going to be a very exciting team to watch!

by grg on Aug 4, 2011 6:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks!

I still remember going to games at Fulton County Stadium. The other exciting aspect of this team is how young they are. Our best players are still in the early years of their careers. If they can find success this year, it could well last for another decade.

by The DW on Aug 4, 2011 7:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Terrific write-up, DW

You get a Rec from me.

For the record, I think William Moore is a future Pro Bowler, but that might just be my bias.

Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!

by Dave Choate on Aug 4, 2011 8:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks for the rec

I think if Moore keeps progressing like he is, he has a great shot.

by The DW on Aug 4, 2011 8:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

About giving the Offensive Line a Grade C

Arty just spent a lot of money on Clabolaylock to only get a “C”

by ATLol on Aug 4, 2011 9:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I understand, but...

With Baker needing to prove he is a legit LT, and losing one of their starters in free agency, it is hard to say how they’ll do, especially now that the Birds want to go deep more. I was thinking maybe a B-, but I really think this is an important year for the OL, especially with McClure nearing retirement.

by The DW on Aug 4, 2011 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

not saying your wrong

just hoping your wrong. OL tying up a lot of money

by ATLol on Aug 4, 2011 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Grade is too low for the OL

Baker’s performance should not be weighed heavily enough to drop the grade to a “C”. Dahl was a good player but not great and he will be replaced nicely this year.

by mwalex on Aug 5, 2011 12:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

I hope you guys are right - I want to be wrong

The C grade is not based so much on performance, but on uncertainty. If Ryan is going to put the ball downfield more, he’s going to need a little more time in the pocket – and that is going to hinge on him being able to trust that his blind side is covered. If Baker can’t protect Matty, it will seriously hamper the “explosive” aspect of the game we all know the Falcons need. The rest of the line has done well at exceeding expectations, especially with their smaller-than-normal size.

by The DW on Aug 5, 2011 7:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Your point about Baker is spot on

but I have a question. Baker gave up 35% of the sacks last year or around nine sacks. Shouldn’t the OC have been able to see that and make adjustments?

I understand the uncertainty but it’s hard to give an accurate. grade for something that’s an unknown. We will know soon enough though.

by mwalex on Aug 5, 2011 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

They did make adjustments

But as with everything, they can plan out the adjustments, but Baker has to deliver. And it’s not just about the sacks, which are critical. It’s about the pressure – the knock downs – the disruptions – and when you factor that in, Baker did not have a good year. Ryan spent a good bit of time under pressure – which really says a lot about how good Ryan is to still have had the season he did.

My thinking – and obviously, everyone is welcome to disagree – is that uncertainty is the definition of a C grade. It could go either way.

by The DW on Aug 5, 2011 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I believe a C is appropriate

because you SHOULD weigh the strength of your O-Line based on your Center and your RT – if you are weak in one of those positions then your whole line is hurting.

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Aug 5, 2011 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

ATL's OL was ranked 3rd

in pass protection last year: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ol

That is not deserving of a C grade. The only uncertainty is who is going to be Dahl’s replacement.

by mwalex on Aug 5, 2011 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

WOW

The most amazing stat, percentage wise, we did not run it up the middle as much as many other teams.

by Whyte Bler 000 on Aug 5, 2011 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I call Mularkey!

That is absolute Mularkey!

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Aug 8, 2011 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great write up

but I think you really underrated our O-Line. Individually they could be Cs, but as a unit together, at worst an A-. Baker may not be the best LT, but he is far from the worst.

Matty attempted 571 passes last year, and was sacked 23 times. 1 sack for every 24.83 attempts. Out of the top 20 QBs in passing attempts going from 679 to 432, only two QBs took less sacks, the Brothers Manning. Payton 671, Eli 539, both sacked 16 times. Demi-God Aaron Rodgers, attempting 475 passes took 31 sacks, and a lot more abuse because of his scrambling. The last thing you want is your franchise QB getting 2 concussions in a year, might forget where he is or what play he is running.

I think TEs may be overrated. Tony G is a legend, and I am always praising him here, but he is not playing at the level he used to. And we have not seen any other presence of a TE threat on this team. If he gets hurt, we’re screwed at that position.

Lastly, William Moore WILL BE A PRO-BOWLER in his career. He makes things happen, eats RBs for lunch, and shits them out before dining on an INT. For what was essentially his first year, he really surprised me. I knew the coaches were high on him, but never expected that. With some fine tuning he could be one of the best in this league.

by Whyte Bler 000 on Aug 4, 2011 11:06 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Nice post

OL – as a unit hard to argue with their production
TEs – Is it me or did Palmer look like he’d put on weight and was actually slower. I thought he was a pass catcher type TE. Adequate but not much past Tony.
Moore – agreed…he’ll be fun to watch this year. DeCoud is no slouch either.

by dr3dd1ne on Aug 15, 2011 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

William Moore WILL BE A PRO-BOWLER

Agreed 100%. He’s a poor man’s version of Polamalu.

by grg on Aug 5, 2011 7:06 AM EDT reply actions  

Great Writeup! Recd..

I have to disagree with you on the Offensive Line grade. I would give the line a Solid B/B+. They played as per the scheme and can’t be penalized because Matt Ryan got rid of the ball quickly. Our philosophy last year was time consuming drives with a bruising run game. As for Sam Baker I don’t think he is as bad as it looks on the surface. Here are some Offensive Line Numbers for you from my game log last year including play offs especially around Pass Protection.

Sam Baker : 10 Qtr back Sacks
Justin Blalock: 7 sacks
Tyson Clabo:5 Sacks
Harvey Dahl:4 Sacks
Todd Mcclure:2 Sacks
Matt Ryan:3 Sacks(Coverage Sacks).

Note:The total might be more than 23 sacks, this is because I didn’t use half sack concept if a sack is because of two players.

As you can see Sam Baker accounted for 3 more sacks than Justin Blalock, Its not too bad if you consider that he is an LT.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Aug 5, 2011 12:28 PM EDT reply actions  

You know

I had started to sour on Baker a little but your points have changed my mind somewhat. I think one reason why Baker gets so much grief on the board is because he was a first round pick. Unrealistic expectations?

by mwalex on Aug 6, 2011 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is Adequate! Not Great!

As a first round pick you would expect him to be great but he is manageable! This season will be a crucial one as we start throwing more downfield.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Aug 7, 2011 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

vikes fan here. you scored with getting ray edwards. even more so at that price.

he is going to make your whole defense play better. he was underappreciated in minnesota, imo. and his solid play allowed our more reputable d-line stars to shine. i saw several plays where edwards would be double and even triple teamed. he’s going to be a stud. i hope you win it all this year, cuz i’m rooting for ray-ray.

warcraft, you are my guitar hero !!!

by danny lloyd on Aug 7, 2011 5:44 PM EDT reply actions  

thanx!

And I hope you speak nothing but truthful words about RAy Ray!!

Due to the lockout, I think this season will resemble last year a lot. I think the teams that were good last year will be good again this year. there will be a suprise team or 2, but I think this year kinda follows last years script, except of course the team that wins the SB will be different, since our Falcons will finally take that last final step and bring home the Lombardi trophy to the dirty dirty!!

by ATLsince1972 on Aug 7, 2011 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah the outside of our Secondary still worries me

I think Duntay is adequate and Grimes is good, but our CB depth scares me more than a little. Safties are fine. The more I see Owens the less I trust him. He may have had a good camp so far, but when he’s in games he gets beat or is out of position. (Hard to tell sometimes because he may be relying on help from another 2 that blew an assignment.) Franks…he brings extra value at kick returner…and he hits hard…don’t think I’ve seen him on the backend of a blown assignment or getting burned. (Feel free to correct me or give input on Franks performance.) At this point I guess we just need to see him with more live game experience to tell. I’m leaning toward Franks. Walls looked rally steady out there against the other teams 2s / 3s as well. Bush made a great pick but it was off someone else’s tip. Dunno…but I’m still queezy about our CB depth atm.

by dr3dd1ne on Aug 15, 2011 4:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Agreed

I think we have a bunch of guys with potential that need to live up to it. Franks is fast, and at 6’ tall, is a decent sized corner as well. Walls really impressed, though I’d love to see if his speed and instincts hold up against 1st teamers. Owens is sliding fast, and Bush may have some raw skills, but he’s got a ways to go.

by The DW on Aug 15, 2011 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

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