FanPost

Matt Ryan to Canton?

I saw an article recently on ESPN about how Aaron Rodgers compared to the last seven QB Hall Of Fame inductees and the likely next three (Brady, Manning and Favre) through their first 3 years of starting. So Favre's time with the Falcons is not included, nor is Steve Young's spot duty before he took over in '91 or his time with the Bucs. The conclusion essentially was that he compared very favourably to them. I thought I would try a similar exercise with Matt Ryan, just because we're in a 92 day lockout and it would be interesting. I'm not saying he's going to Canton, just a comparison of him to others that have or will

I decided to rank the QBs by QB rating as it encompasses all the other stats. The stats for Steve Young are for his first 3 years starting for the 49ers, by which time he was 30. That explains why he's so far out ahead. Montana has so few starts because of the strike shortened season. Numbers are for the regular season only.

 

 

Years

Starts

Comp.

Att.

%

Yards

TD

INT

Rat

W/L

SB Wins

Steve Young

91-93

42

762

1,143

66.7

10,005

71

31

103.5

29-13

0

Dan Marino

'83-85

41

871

1,427

61.0

11,431

98

44

96.4

33-8

0

Joe Montana

'80-82

32

700

1,107

63.2

7,973

51

32

88.1

18-14

1

Matt Ryan

08-10

46

885

1,456

60.8

10,061

66

34

86.9

33-13

0

Tom Brady

'01-03

46

954

1,541

61.9

10,227

69

38

86.0

34-12

1

Peyton Manning

'98-00

48

1,014

1,679

60.4

12,287

85

58

85.4

26-22

0

Brett Favre

'92-94

45

983

1,575

62.4

10,412

70

51

83.0

26-19

0

Jim

Kelly

      '86-88

44

804

1,351

59.5

9,771

56

45

81.7

22-22

0

            Troy Aikman

'89-91

38

618

1,055

58.6

7,082

31

46

70.5

14-26

0

Warren Moon

'84-86

45

715

1,315

54.4

9,536

40

59

69.1

12-33

0

              John Elway

'83-85

40

664

1,244

53.4

8.152

47

52

69.0

27-13

0

It looks good to be honest. Some highlights are that Ryan is 4th in Passer rating after 3 years behind only a 30 year old Young, Montana and Marino. Whilst he is just ahead of Brady, Manning and Favre (His closest contemporaries on the list). Some very good company to be in. And he completely blows guys like Elway, Warren Moon and Troy Aikman out of the water. He is also tied in 2nd for wins with Marino, behind only Brady. Additionally Ryan has the 3rd least interceptions despite having the 4th most attempts. His TD's, yards and completion % rank middle of the pack at 6/11, but considering the pack that's still a huge achievement. The fact that his yards rank 6th but his attempts rank 4th indicates that his YPA is slightly on the low side, but still about average. 

The lowlight however obviously are his lack of playoff, and specifically SB success. But considering that only 2 out of these 10 guys had a SB by this time in his career he has time to get there. 7 of the 10 would eventually get SBs, with several multiple winners (Elway x2, Aikman x3, Montana x4 and Brady x3). 2 of the other 3 appeared in a SB with Jim Kelly losing 4 and Marino 1. 

 

The most apt comparison is of course Peyton Manning, as he entered the league the closest to Ryan and started from day 1 as a high pick just like him. Ryan shades both, but their Completion % and QB rating are virtually identical. However in 2 less games Ryan racked up 7 more wins and threw 24 less Interceptions. Manning didn't win a playoff game until his 6th season in the league. 

The negatives are that Ryan's YPA of 6.91 is lower than Manning's of 7.32, but he is by no means embarrassed in this category. He threw 19 less TDs and 2000 less yards. Again in 2 less games and whilst being hamstrung by a conservative offense. 

If Matt Ryan continues to improve and wins at least one Superbowl (or loses a couple) he will probably make it to Canton. He's already at an advantage to some of these guys as he has a head start on them after 3 years. 

Views?

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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