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The Return Of Cam Newton: How To Pound The Panthers

The Falcons had to be looking forward to this game after the Texans. After all, it was clear the Texans were going to be a legitimate challenge, while they managed to handle the Panthers earlier in the season with (relative) ease.

Unfortunately, there's still Cam Newton to worry about.

No quarterback in the NFL has been more inconsistent—with the exception of St. Tebow—and more jaw-dropping than Newton. Against Detroit, he threw four picks. Last week, he threw a touchdown against Tampa Bay, avoided a turnover and rushed for three touchdowns. He's about as dynamic a player as there is in the NFL.

Fortunately for the Falcons, he still has weaknesses. He's too willing to pull the ball down and run, which plays into the Falcons' hands due to their inability to rush the passer but excellence against opposing ground games. He also throws picks—14 against 13 touchdowns for the season—and misses receivers at times.

Despite those weaknesses, Newton remains the key to the game. If he plays exceptionally well, he'll put the Falcons' defense on its heels and force the offense to catch up. Given Michael Turner's nagging groin injuries, that may be more easily said than done. So it becomes incumbent upon the defense—sadly, it always seem to be the defense—to shut him down and let the offense work out its many kinks.

After the jump, some thoughts on how to beat the Panthers and a prediction.

Star-divide

  • Run. The Panthers are the proud owners of one of the league's weakest run defenses. Against Carolina earlier this season, all Turner did was rack up a season high 139 yards and average 5.1 yards per carry, his second-highest average of the season. He basically ate their front seven alive.

    The Falcons will have to get a little more creative this time around to take advantage of this glaring weakness. Turner's been a shadow of himself the last two weeks due to a combination of stout front sevens, nagging groin injuries and reduced carries. Two of those can be remedied this week, but that groin injury will likely sap a little bit of his explosiveness. If he's up to it, the Falcons will still give him 20 carries.

    This is the perfect week to get Jacquizz Rodgers involved outside the tackles, giving him a chance to blow by the Panthers and pick up some big gainers. Wear out the defense early with a thunder and lightning attack and it'll be a great day for the Falcons.

    Best of all, the Panthers are down two defensive tackles in Sione Fua and Terrell McClain. This could get ugly.
  • Get after Newton. As a rookie quarterback, Newton's prone to the same kinds of mistakes as every other rookie quarterback. Pressure the kid and he'll toss interceptions, fumble the ball and generally make mistakes. Don't get that pressure and he can tear you a new Falcohole.

    The Falcons have been exceedingly inconsistent in delivering pressure. Their best move at this point, given Newton's mobility, might be to get the linebackers and speedy rushers like Lawrence Sidbury into the backfield. That would force the dreaded dropping Abe into coverage move we all loath, but he and his fellow starting ends have really struggled to generate pressure. Tailor the pass rush to the quarterback, I'm saying.

    If you can't get the rush going, you have to be able to stop him when he takes the ball down and runs. Having 'Spoon as a spy would not be a bad idea.
  • Switch over to the short passing game. There's a growing chorus of fans, pundits and even players—yes, I'm looking at Roddy White—who want the Falcons to stop taking deep strikes until they start working. Ignore the fact that it's a bit of a paradox, there.

    I'm not advocating the wholesale abandonment of a deeper passing game, but I do think the Falcons have had real success on slants and crossing routes shallow and across the middle. Guys like Harry Douglas, Roddy White and Julio Jones will always fight for more yardage and the Falcons are currently doing nothing creative to open up the long game, so why push it?

    Against the Panthers and their troubled front seven, I think it's a smart move to focus on short, accurate passing. Abuse the defense with a heavy dose of Gonzalez, the top three receivers over the middle and Jason Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers in the flats. A methodical approach early will help the Falcons eat through time, wear down the Panthers and hopefully get touchdowns on the board.

I'm sure you have further suggestions, so please share them in the comments.

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prediction?

you promised one so cough it up.

by Tybee2 on Dec 8, 2011 10:02 AM EST reply actions  

Aghh you're right

I’ll go back and add.

I’m predicting 24-13, Falcons.

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by Dave Choate on Dec 8, 2011 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

they gave up 17 points in the GA Dome

maybe a few more points would be given up this week.
It could be a shootout for the first half maybe.

by brotherbrown on Dec 9, 2011 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I think they'll shut them down this week

I think we’re finally going to see angry Falcons.

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by Dave Choate on Dec 9, 2011 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I wanted "Angy Falcons" to show up in Chicago (and stay till Jan)...just saying...

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 9, 2011 4:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Falcons will win

They’re built to beat a team like the Panthers. They’ll get their groove back and play the way they did before the Texans game. I’m sure all the naysayers have the Falcons motivated to do the things they say they’ve been ineffective at or just plain can’t do. Falcons 20-10. I AM THE ETERNAL OPTIMIST!

by Lou7676 on Dec 8, 2011 10:03 AM EST reply actions  

we should be able to win

they have a good offense but their defense is pretty bad according to Advanced NFL Stats. We should be able to stop the run and keep a spy on Cam

by Erihury on Dec 8, 2011 10:19 AM EST reply actions  

This is the perfect week to get Jacquizz Rodgers involved outside the tackles, giving him a chance to blow by the Panthers and pick up some big gainers.

I fully expect Quizz to get 1 carry up the gut

by Erihury on Dec 8, 2011 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

just one?

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Dec 8, 2011 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Depends on how many yards he gets.

If he is stopped for no gain or a loss he’ll get one more. If he gains yards back to the bench he goes.

by mwalex on Dec 8, 2011 1:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I know right...

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 8, 2011 3:18 PM EST up reply actions  

and against 9 men in the box

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 9, 2011 2:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Panthers are favored to win

Beleove it or not. The system ESPN uses (accuscore) puts together all the stats and records on turf, road, grass, etc. And picks a winner. The winner according to them will be the panthers.

by dirtybirds233 on Dec 8, 2011 11:02 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

well they are sometimes wrong

everyone picked us to win last week lol

by Erihury on Dec 8, 2011 11:13 AM EST up reply actions  

Im still nervous

Because of Matts ability to look like Joey Harrington when playing on grass.

by dirtybirds233 on Dec 8, 2011 11:20 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

My only suggestion

is for you to send this article to MM, sounds like a perfect gameplan, which is probably why we won’t see half of it on Sunday.

"People in this country used to look at a successful person and ask what can I do to have that kind of sucess. Now a lot of people look at a successful person and ask what can I do to take what he has."
- Tommy Beam

by Adam_S on Dec 8, 2011 11:55 AM EST reply actions  

I want to see 3 screen passes this week!

I don’t think that is too much to ask… just three… at least…. please…

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Dec 8, 2011 12:05 PM EST reply actions  

that would be 3 too many

for MM

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 9, 2011 2:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Not to disagree with your infinate wisdom Dave...

but i think…

The Return Of Cam Newton: How To Pound The Panthers

Should be…

The Return Of Cam Newton: How To Pull Out A Win Against The Panthers and Try to Look Like They Know What Their Doing In The Process

Note: Not a hit on the players…just saying…

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 8, 2011 12:24 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

I rec'd that

because that is what the team has come to.

by mwalex on Dec 8, 2011 1:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I picked ATL to win

but who knows anymore. CAR’s offense is ranked 6th in DVOA, 15th in passing and 1st in rushing. We’ll just see how good the rush D is again.

Their D DVOA is 32nd, 29th against the pass and 31st against the run. They can cover #3 WR’s but stink against anyone else.

Based on how CAR’s run D looks we’ll rush MT 15 times in the first half for 80 yards and never see him in the second half. Unless it’s rushes up the middle to burn the 12 minutes off the clock.

by mwalex on Dec 8, 2011 1:35 PM EST reply actions  

Amen, brother

Who knows, for sure? Every time you think you have a read on them, they do something unexpected. I mean, who knew that the Falcons, with their offensive tools, would score fewer points than the Jaguars against a Shaub-less team?

I’m not in some poster’s class in stats and fantasy league, but Dave; it seems every week you put out a game plan that generally makes pretty good sense to me, and every week it appears that you are an “outsider” in MM’s eyes. The “mid level pass, spread the field out (dare I say ‘screen’?) offense” thing sounds great to me. But I’m conflicted. I mean, the whole “Jason Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers in the flats” comment kinda floored me when my brain went into temporary infarction when I tried to remember the last time MM sent Quizz or Snell into “the flats.”

I hear you, man, but it would probably help if you kept your ideas to something MM could understand.

by randomaxe on Dec 8, 2011 9:31 PM EST up reply actions  

I got one suggestion......

How’s about we just WIN!!!

Atlanta Superbowls

by Atlanta Superbowls on Dec 8, 2011 4:23 PM EST reply actions  

Now why didn't MM think of that??

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 8, 2011 4:52 PM EST up reply actions  

It's frustrating...

I have a feeling this might be a good game by the Falcons but, living where I do, they get pre-empted by the Aints when the evil sub-sea-level trolls play in the same time slot on Fox. So I have to go to some obscure corner in the sports bar, or try to find a computer feed (which I detest..I mean, why can’t the NFL simply get smart and sell team packages?), or simply settle for Redzone updates.

Anyway, there’s hope for the rest of you that can watch the game…they usually play their best when I miss it. :^)

by randomaxe on Dec 8, 2011 9:44 PM EST reply actions  

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