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Unfettered Optimism About The Falcons Passing Game

Yes, unfettered. I went there.

Amongst all the talk of Jacquizz Rodgers being a sleeper, Michael Turner being ready and willing to run all over the Saints' faces and how Drew Brees is going to destroy the Falcons with his laser-guided rocket arm and nanosecond release because he is actually a robot, there's something we haven't really discussed all that much. That something is the Falcons passing game.

We've lauded Roddy White and Julio Jones, and more than one astute reader has named Harry Douglas their sleeper for the upcoming game. What I want to spend a little time talking about is the likelihood that this is going to become an old-fashioned shootout, because the Falcons are capable and willing to pass all over the New Orleans defense. Yes, even with Mike Mularkey running the offense.

After the jump, three reasons why I believe the Falcons will eat the Saints alive through the air.

Star-divide

Good, you're here. Here's my three thoughts:

  1. Matt Ryan has had success against the Saints. In his short career, Ryan has faced the Saints six times. Sound the small sample size alarm!

    In those six games, Ryan has only had one truly bad game and one middling one. The remaining four have been very good, and lifetime he has a 91.5 quarterback rating against New Orleans.

    Earlier this season, Ryan threw 52 passes for 351 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. It wasn't his finest effort of the season, but it showed that he could have success against a Saints' secondary that's nobody's idea of great. It also doesn't hurt that Julio Jones seems to be much further along the learning curve than he was a few weeks back.
  2. The Saints' defense is truly woeful. Okay, not the entire defense. If they get after the passer like they're capable of, it's going to be a problem.

    It's really more the secondary, which has allowed a decent game from A.J. Feeley (yes, that A.J. Feeley...he went 20/37 for 175 yards and a touchdown), Josh Freeman (584 yards, 3 TDs and no INTS in two games), and Eli Manning (33/47 for 406 yards, 2 TDs and an INT). They struggle to cover big, speedy guys like Julio Jones, and they definitely struggle to cover tight ends like Tony Gonzalez. If their pass rush isn't working and they're not getting turnovers, the secondary is abysmal.
  3. The Falcons are finally clicking. The Jaguars and Panthers actually have decent defenses, but in back-to-back weeks, Ryan & Co. have destroyed them. That's due in no small part to Roddy White and Julio Jones coming on, which I'll freely admit might not be the case every single week.

    Facing a weak secondary, with a ton on the line and confidence in tow, they should be able to make things happen.

    It's not very scientific, but hey, I'm not a scientist.

So that's why I'm optimistic right now. Are you?

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Cautiously optimistic

With all the weapons ATL has on offense, they have the ability to torch the Saints’ secondary. Much like the Packers, the Saints have a very opportunistic D so if our O-line holds up we should be able to limit our mistakes and not throw directly to a CB who is jumping a route. Also, there is the matter of MM actually getting HD and Quizz involved. The Saints obviously will focus on Julio, Roddy, and Gonzo. HD could have a monster game if we actually use him.

by leonw92 on Dec 24, 2011 11:28 AM EST reply actions  

I'm optimistic about this game as well

I know we can pass on them and score 30 something points, but what I do worry about is our defense. If they allow our D to be aggressive they play better and could hold the aints to 20 or so points, if they sit back in zone defenses , Brees will kill us.

Now Gentlemen, get your butts up, and get back on that horse! You have no choice. The expectations are running much higher this year.

by ATLsince1972 on Dec 24, 2011 11:29 AM EST reply actions  

Unfettered, whoa now, steady on

But I do agree, for a running team I feel we’re finally getting into our own through the air. I feel we forced it a little at the start of the year, with the addition of JJ, but now I’m comfortable that we’re at the point where 35-40 attempts per game isn’t an indication that we’re being beat by 21 from the 1st quarter.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Dec 24, 2011 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

Very optimistic

Good article and thanks for that.I think that we have been very focused this week.Have hardly heard a peep from the team.
Turner is doing very good.Saints screwed up and didn’t concentrate on the running game this week cause they thought that Turner was hurt.Oops!
I think Julio will have a break out game and will catch the moon when Ryan grabs that sucker and heaves it down the field ,when he scores instead of the leap he will pass cheese out to all the Falcon Fans.
I think we will be amazed when Ryan drops a pass into the flat and Ja Quizzly Bear goes all he way.It will be a great game.Then all the talking heads will say I always thought they were great.I like the fact that they don’t talk about us much.
Here is another thing to keep in mind.When they say stuff like the Saints have not lost all year at home it makes me think “well its time for a change” statistically speaking of course! Go Falcons.

by JT131 on Dec 24, 2011 11:48 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

EXTREMELY optimistic

We’re not going to lose three in a row to them. Even if we do we won’t lose a playoff game to them. We came out against Carolina and played as if we’d already locked a playoff spot. Well now, excepting a monumental collapse they have locked a spot. I’ve said since the summer that our team is as talented offensively as anybody. They can’t lose this game.

As we celebrate the birth of Tim Tebow tomorrow and head into the playoffs nobody, but nobody mentions the invisible team, the Atlanta Falcons. If our weapons are used properly..Atlanta wins.

A word to the wise ain't necessary - it's the stupid ones that need the advice.

by FrozenFinger on Dec 24, 2011 12:20 PM EST reply actions  

Ryan

IMO it’s all about if Ryan shows up and plays like an elite QB.
Every game Ryan has a good QBR we win!
Against Breese we must score!

by Sbaron55 on Dec 24, 2011 12:48 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Good read

But if they arent good against big WR’s and TE’s in general, I bet this is the game MM decides to finally try 15 screens and tries to use Turner for runs to the edge…

I think this game comes down to the NO blitz packages vs our O-line. If the O-line plays a great game, we will win. If they have a turnstile to Ryan, we lose.

Dont cloud the issue with facts!

by muuzilla on Dec 24, 2011 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

For the most part, this is something I actually don't worry too much about.

Heard this stat just the other day. NO is the top blitzing team in the NFL, they especially like 3rd downs. Matt Ryan (despite the MM no screen pass philosophy) is 2nd in the NFL against, with 33 completions.

by RamblininAlb on Dec 24, 2011 11:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I was going to try my hand at a serious post about why we should abandon the run

but after I wrote it, it was too long – first red flag

then there was a part that blended in a girl – 2nd red flag

and then I saw a call of duty reference = 3rd red flag, and that was axed.

My main point was going to be that we need to keep their defense on their heels with the no huddle, fast paced offense- like we did for two drives against them late in the game to force overtime. We don’t need to make this a grind it out game- we are capable of killing the saints and blowing the whole nfl the fuck away

One day....

by Kashberry on Dec 24, 2011 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

I just hope they worked on hand signals

so they CAN run the no-huddle all night. If MM wants to prove he’s a good OC and Head Coaching material he’d better pull out all the stops, use all our weapons and be unpredictable. I hope Coach Boudreau has been working on the Oline all week. They’re key to this game.

by drmondo667 on Dec 24, 2011 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm optimistic

but cautiously so. If the OL can protect Matt against the blitzes then the O will do well. Ryan is also one of the best QB’s in the league against a pass rush of five or more rushers, according to the NFL network.

NO’s D is terrible against the rush and the pass. They cannot cover #1 or #3 WR’s well at all. The Taints D should get a HEAVY dose of HarryD. They also stink at covering RB’s so I hope the some RB, any RB, get’s some passes thrown his way.

by mwalex on Dec 24, 2011 6:04 PM EST reply actions  

My optimism is nearly unrestrained...

but not completely enfranchised. My biggest concern is MM’s inability to emancipate the offense, his tendancy to raise them to mediocre levels, given their potential. If we could play the entire game with the intensity and unpedictable playcalling evident in the first quarter of the Green Bay game, or with the indomitable will with which we played in the second half of the Carolina game and the first three quarters of the Jags game, my optimism would be liberated.
Unfettered…nice word.

by randomaxe on Dec 25, 2011 2:01 PM EST reply actions  

Nobody is picking us

And it looks like we are in the playoffs with Chicago getting spanked. So nothing to lose, let it all hang out.

by kaminator on Dec 25, 2011 10:44 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

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