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One Falcon To Watch: Matt Ryan

This should be an interesting game for Matt Ryan.

The Falcons' quarterback has had his most polarizing season to date, as he's on pace to throw more interceptions than ever before and struggling through some nightmare games aided by an inept offensive line. But his average yards per pass is higher than a year ago, and he's on pace to break his single season touchdown record, as well.

It's not particularly surprising that asking fifty people about Ryan will produce twenty who think he's elite, twenty five who think he's good but not great and five who think he shouldn't even be the starting quarterback. It's been that kind of year and that kind of career, I suppose.

But Ryan has had a good year, in my estimation, and last week was one of the best games of his career. He's coming into this game red hot, with all his options in the passing game healthy and against an underrated Jaguars secondary that is nonetheless very young. The Jags are stout up front, so at some point this one will be in Ice's hands.

I think he'll rise to the occasion, and that's why he's my Falcon to watch. With Julio Jones and Roddy White having quality matchups, he should be able to find an open man. That's not even counting Tony Gonzalez and Harry Douglas, and it's not accounting for Jacquizz Rodgers. With those weapons at his disposal and a growing comfort level with using them, this is a fine time for Ryan.

I fully expect him to make winning throws against the Jaguars. Do you agree?

Comment 72 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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depends on Oline

Been a falcons fan since the big starter jackets was in style

by turnj35 on Dec 15, 2011 8:20 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

One Falcon to Watch

whoever plays RG?

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Dec 15, 2011 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed

if the jags have a stout front 7 or even 6
This could be problematic for the offensive line.
The texans had a stout run defense and the bears to some extent. As bad as the panthers were suppose to be they shut down the run last week, I think the falcons kinda struggle against strong run defenses, and with the line not able to hold up well…this could be a tough battle at first.

Falcons run defense should help keep them in it, but can’t sleep on the Jags for now.

by brotherbrown on Dec 15, 2011 2:47 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

good choice

can’t wait to see what happens if they open up the playbook, let Ryan run the no huddle show, and if the receivers quit dropping the balls

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 15, 2011 8:21 AM EST reply actions  

It's time

Look at the records! When he’s on and I’m talking QBR, we win! It’s really time for Matt to lead this team CONSISTENTLY!

by Sbaron55 on Dec 15, 2011 8:24 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Matt Ryan wouldn't be my choice this week

More like Michael Turner and Pop-quiz Rodgers.
The Jags have the 4th ranked pass defense in the NFL, that’s pretty damn good.
Ryan struggles against poor pass defenses so…….
The Jags have the 4th ranked defense overall, but they have the 16th ranked run defense.
There you have it, our biggest strength (Turner) versus their biggest weakness (run defense).

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 8:48 AM EST reply actions  

That's a bit misleading

They have the 4th ranked pass defens, but a lot of the players who got them that high have gone on IR in recent weeks

by Mosugo on Dec 15, 2011 9:36 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

True but...

Having a top 5 defense is 100% scheme, your scheme has to work to the point where you’re still rock solid no matter who’s on the field. Despite the number of players placed on I.R. they’re still ranked 4th.

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

It's never...

“100%” scheme…ever (my opinion). The scheme is nothing but scribbles on paper without the personnel to run it and if your key pieces are dropping it will affect your overall performance.

I will agree that if the scheme is executed as designed that the effect of losing key players should be minimized but not eliminated all together. Our own Optimus Grimes is a good example of this. We are still running the schemes as designed (yah zones… :-/ ) but without OG they may still function…just not as effectively.

…and this is how I see it

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

This is all I'm going to say

Under BVG, where would the Falcons’ defense rank if 6 or 7 of the starters went to I.R.?

No NFL team is out there street balling, whether it’s OFF, DEF, or ST the scheme is what decides how successful that team is.
Trust the scheme, watch the players.
…………….^THIS^

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 1:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I meant true to Mosugo....
Having a top 5 defense is 100% scheme

Wow!!! where did we find this guy?

Atlanta Superbowls

by Atlanta Superbowls on Dec 15, 2011 1:16 PM EST up reply actions  

?

Comparing an organized sport to lifting weights…..(smh)

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow!!! where did we find this guy?

What was your mom’s response?

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow

I shouldn’t have said anything about your mother, she told me to keep that a secret.
No I’m kidding, seriousIy I really do apologize.
Let’s try to avoid each other, whatcha say?
This is our 2nd argument, and they seem…to…be…getting…worse.
Also try to avoid comments that include words like “penis” and “homo”, I don’t think you can do that on here.

by mr92687!!! on Dec 15, 2011 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

i guess so...

thats probably best,we just dont agree on anything.

Funny stuff though!

Atlanta Superbowls

by Atlanta Superbowls on Dec 15, 2011 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Website

Everybody go look at the video D-Block on the Falcons website. Dion gets after them and wants to know WHY did the first half against Carolina happen. Listen to the response!

by Sbaron55 on Dec 15, 2011 9:04 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Yeah, he got their attention for sure.

They needed to just hang their heads and say “Prime, there is no excuse”, but they popped off with some silliness. It’s ok they’re young and that’s what young folks do. I really think that meeting with Prime will have an impact tonight. Hands down we have the best young linebacker in the NFL in Spoooooon. We called it here first, I don’t really remember anyone else that was on our radar here at thefalcoholic.com when that draft went down. After the way Spooooon handled himself against Cam Sunday I think he could get into A Rodger’s head also.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Dec 15, 2011 9:34 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

On offense, definitely

But for the game, I disagree. Spoon/Lofton/Mo Pete (depending on which linebacker we use to cover running backs on passing downs) is my one to watch. You can assume if we use stick Spoon on MJD in pass coverage he’ll also be fairly willing to go after him on play action/run plays.

MJD is the key to the whole Jacksonville offense. Therefore my player to watch is whoever matches up with him on passing downs – I assume it’ll be Spoon. On run plays I think we’ll see some Police brutality today, but Spoon’s role in covering screens/short passes will be crucial to keeping the Jags in 3rd and long situations.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Dec 15, 2011 9:08 AM EST reply actions  

This is the week for the no-huddle...

We are at HOME, so noise won’t cause any more 5 yard losses for Delay. Matt can change up the timing at the line so the Jags won’t know WHEN the ball will be snapped, Play Action will add to this confusion. Heck – throw the ball to Turner a couple times, he made some good receptions early in the year – where did that plan go?

With the number of weapons we have, there should be at least two “hot” receivers, and Matt should only need 3 steps to release the ball – that will cool off some blitzes, and allow him time to work.

Or we can just run Turner up the middle twice, and then have Quizz block Defensive Ends…

by Mnemonic on Dec 15, 2011 9:09 AM EST reply actions   2 recs

He was in blocking the last game too

He did have help the last time he was kept in tho. When the hell did this idea get thought up?!? Is this one of those “wrinkles” we’ve been pining away for? God I hope we put up 42 tonight and the Jags snatch MM up.

by aces666high on Dec 15, 2011 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Shake up the running game!

Don’t run Turner on first downs, he hardly gains anything on the first downs and this puts Matt under pressure on 3rd and long when the defense is keyed in on the pass. Run or pass with Jacquizz on first downs and have Turner come in on 2nd downs and 3rd and short. 2nd,3rd and long against Jags pass defense is not going to be easy.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Dec 15, 2011 9:25 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

WHAT!! NO PREDICTABILITY?? ARE YOU MAD??

I jest of course (or do I?)

NOT seeing Turner running on a first down would be a nice change of pace…sigh

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Last game second half.

MM changed it up in the second half with Turner not doing anything in the first half. I guess Turner is struggling because Ovie is out for the year. Ovie was a big part of the running game.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Dec 15, 2011 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually...

Turner is on pace to have the same year he’s always had with us…top 3 in the league and no. 1 or 2 in the NFC for rushing. Ovie helped in both the passing and the rushing but more so in the passing game.

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree.

Turner numbers look good because of the long runs. He leads the league in long runs this year. If you look at Ryan’s splits on downs, he already crossed last years 3rd and long, 2nd and long attempts. Turner on first down has been disaster so far this year except for few long runs. I don’t think you can blame it all on Turner if the OL is not blocking well enough.

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Dec 15, 2011 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

True...

about the OL issues. I was speaking to his Overall yardage gained as he is still putting up the numbers despite Ovie being out and the OL getting blown up allot.

But, I would argue the horrible first down numbers might also stem from the fact that MM continuously insists on running MT on first down, teams are looking for it and stuffing it allot this year…MM is too predictable and we have certainly beat THAT horse to death on this site!!

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Agree on the shaking up the running game!

MM and MS if you are reading this, repeat with me:
" No running Turner on First downs"

It's all about Process...

by Vishnu_falcon on Dec 15, 2011 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Few games ago

Right after Ovie got injured, we had HD in the starting lineup instead of a fullback. I also seem to remember that our offense typically gains more yards in single-back formations as opposed to two backs in the backfield.

That would point to predictability of scheme (two backs = run = stack the box).

by The DW on Dec 15, 2011 7:11 PM EST up reply actions  

just my opinion

I think with last weeks come back win, something “clicked” da falcons now know they cant be stopped. I think we will open up da playbook today and run away with this one

by jgreedy on Dec 15, 2011 9:42 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

This team needs to get their act together fast...

Mike Smith is STILL having chest pains, and I have a pretty good sense of WHY…

by TheAreopagite on Dec 15, 2011 10:12 AM EST reply actions  

do the Falcons

even work on screens? after last week and that pathetic attempt i highly doubt it

by Erihury on Dec 15, 2011 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

Dave,

I totally agree with your post. I do look for Tony Gonzalez to have a big game tonight.

Evil Falcon

by falconplanet on Dec 15, 2011 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

TG might be blanketed

JAX DEF is depleted, but they still have some damn good LBs, Daryl Smith in particular. It might be dangerous to force it to him too much. Our WRs should exploit their matchups against the backup DBs though.

by KMarch on Dec 15, 2011 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Yeah...

we’ve pretty much over-analyzed everything at this point (or have we?).

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

HA!

Rec’d…that made me laugh out loud (good thing I have my own office…lol)!!

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I hope..

tonight is the night we finally play a complete game and get it rolling!! I have a feeling it is..

by diRtybiRds on Dec 15, 2011 12:15 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

last year we played very well on Thursday night...

when we came back to beat the ravens!! Lets hope our falcons woke the hell up last week and now play like they can!!

Now Gentlemen, get your butts up, and get back on that horse! You have no choice. The expectations are running much higher this year.

by ATLsince1972 on Dec 15, 2011 7:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Does anyone else think...

…that Snelling’s days’ might be numbered?

2009: Through 14 games (with two starts) he rushed for 613 on 142 attempts, with 30 catches for 259 yards.
2010: Though 14 games he rushed for 324 on 87 attempts, with 44 catches for 303 yards.
2011: He’s on pace, for the full season, to rush for just over 100 yards on around 40 attempts, with 20-23 catches for 160 yards.

Plus the FO brought in Mike Cox rather than plugging him in at FB (and from what I can remember, though this is just vague observation rather than in-depth analysis, it’s Cox that’s been the primary FB for running plays – though I have seen Snelling on the field more as a pass blocker).

The time I have seen him on the field has mostly been meaningless (at the end of games). Yeah, he made that one awesome play against the Saints when he ran through their D-line, linebackers, secondary, Sean Payton – and the entirety of the Saint’s bench – for a TD… but apart from that he’s been largely invisible.

This loosely brings me round to the fact that I’m watching him, with the corner of my eye, as any playing time he does get is going to be his only chance to prove his worth – as this offseason, like last, I reckon he’ll be looking for a new home.

by ChrisWells on Dec 15, 2011 1:05 PM EST reply actions  

Snelling's a good back but his days were numbered back at the season start....

when he went and worked out for the rams, but he came back home like a run away child.
Hes a one year deal right now i think!

Atlanta Superbowls

by Atlanta Superbowls on Dec 15, 2011 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

thanx for the link

I love prime!!
That was a great video, couldnt stop watching it, even with the pregame for the falcons game tonight on tv right beside me.lol

Now Gentlemen, get your butts up, and get back on that horse! You have no choice. The expectations are running much higher this year.

by ATLsince1972 on Dec 15, 2011 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Dave, what do you mean by average yards per pass?

Cause Ryan’s YPA was higher in 08- 7.93 to 7.25 this year?

Thanks

Dwight AKA falconidae

by falconidae on Dec 15, 2011 2:38 PM EST reply actions  

Agh, I meant higher than a year ago

Good catch.

Sign up for a free account today to join the discussion about all things Atlanta Falcons!

by Dave Choate on Dec 15, 2011 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

34-10 Falcons.

Book it.

I'm on the Twitter: twitter.com/edgrohl

by Duff_Man on Dec 15, 2011 3:11 PM EST via mobile reply actions   1 recs

If that...

is the beer ratio: 34 beers by Falcons fans to 10 by Jags fans per minute during the game…then you are correct sir…lol

"I'd run over my own mother to win the Super Bowl." - Joe Jacoby, formerly of the Redskins
"To win, I'd run over Joe's mom too." - Matt Millen, formerly of the Raiders

"We now have exactly the same situation as we had at the start of the race, only exactly the opposite" - Murray Walker, Sportscaster

by Blood_Talon on Dec 15, 2011 4:18 PM EST up reply actions  

6 High Quality Beers

Gainesville House of Beer $30 – Me (-$30).

Hey, 66Fredo99, I’m going to trying out Gainesville House of Beer instead of Beef O’ Brady’s tonight. If you wear Falcons gear, you get $1 off drafts and $9 Liters. If any other Gainesville, FL Falcons fans are reading this, join me.

by KMarch on Dec 15, 2011 5:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Where is Mike Mularkey and who is our new OC?

Nevermind. Don’t wanna know. Just keep the good times rolling!

by FLA_Falcon on Dec 15, 2011 8:53 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

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