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Around SBN: In Crunch Time, Spurs Don't Change Their Game

Beware A Desperate Team: The Crushing Of The Colts

Without this man, the dynamic of the game changes.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

We're returning to the old on paper standby, because it's rarely more apropos than it is for this game.

Poll a group of Falcons fans and most will tell you the Falcons should win this game. On paper, this is like a fire-breathing dragon made of steel going against a fuzzy bunny. The Colts are a horribly inept offensive team without Peyton Manning, relying on a combination of a rarely effective passing game and an average ground game to do their damage. Heck, even Colts fans are wildly pessimistic about this one.

Of course, that doesn't mean the Falcons and Colts are going to skip playing this game. The Colts still have a vaguely opportunistic defense and are playing desperate football right now. I'm sure they'd like Andrew Luck, but it would be foolish to assume they're going to tank the season for him. This is a proud team with a proud history, one hoping to have Peyton Manning return before the end of the season. If Indianapolis loses, it won't be because they didn't try.

So 'ware the desperate team. They have a nasty habit of surprising you, even if it doesn't seem possible. 

After the jump, I have one big question, two smaller ones and a prediction for the game.

Star-divide

The Big Question

Can the Falcons establish their offense against the Colts?

It shouldn't be an overly difficult proposition, given that the Colts have a shaky defense. They're near the bottom of the league in scoring and yardage for both rushing and passing, and the Saints showed that an electric offense can eviscerate them.

The Falcons have gotten Michael Turner going in recent weeks, but the passing game has been little more than vaguely competent. This would be an excellent game to rev that up with Roddy White healthy and Julio Jones back, and given the fact that the Colts will be passing like crazy themselves, it wouldn't hurt to put some points on the board.

This is the team's best chance to cut back on Turner's workload for the week, against a relatively inferior opponent. I hope they take it.

The Smaller Questions

Question 1: Can the Falcons protect Matt Ryan all game long?

It's not as if the Colts have a very strong pass rush, but the Falcons will be without Sam Baker. I fully expect a snarky comment or two about Baker being awful, but the fact is that Will Svitek is not an upgrade does not fill me with confidence. 

This is an offensive line that has taken strides forward over the last few weeks, and this is not the most intimidating opposition they've faced. But with the starting left tackle gone, this is a shot for Svitek to prove himself and for the line to continue to get better. 

Question 2: Will Curtis Painter sling like crazy? We asked this the other day, but it's worth asking again. 

After all, the Colts have nothing to lose. They pass a lot because it's their best chance to pick up a lot of yardage and make something happen, and if they're effective even a handful of times, it's going to be enough to give the Falcons fits. They need to get after him and shut down Pierre Garcon to put the brakes on, which they're capable of but not entirely assured of doing. 

The Prediction

The Falcons will struggle at times but ultimately walk away with it. 31-17. Yeah, I know. I made that sound worse than I think it will be.

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Blowout. Maybe even shutout.

It all depends on how well our defense plays.

Is that Peyton Manning or is that how Bart Simpson would look if he was a real person?

by dirtybirdy84 on Nov 3, 2011 9:27 AM EDT reply actions  

Games like this scare me,

(hell every game scares me, not sure why I put myself through it) when the other team has seemingly nothing to lose. I hate the “any given Sunday” rap (& the movie was overrated, too) but the Rams showed how teams can sneak up on you, especially on the road. I agree though, while it’ll be a lot closer than it should be for most of the game, we oughta pull away a little in Q4.

"And this here's the TV. Two hours a day, either educational or football, so you don't ruin your appreciation of the finer things." - H.I.

by 4thabirds on Nov 3, 2011 9:39 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

This is a the sort of game I'm dreading

I’d rather go into a game, like the Ravens last year, thinking we are on par if not a little behind than go in thinking we’re miles ahead of the other team. It’s just the typical sort of game where the Falcons make it harder than it should be, and the possibility of losing stays in the game far longer than it should. See 2010 – Browns, Bengals, Seahawks, Rams…basically all of the games to be honest.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Nov 3, 2011 10:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Except the Cards game.

Ah yes, the one game I can remember being able to relax in the 3rd quarter

"And this here's the TV. Two hours a day, either educational or football, so you don't ruin your appreciation of the finer things." - H.I.

by 4thabirds on Nov 3, 2011 10:08 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Ah yes, the Cards game

sighs with joy

I loved that game. Even then, 80 yard touchdown run from memory…ugly. And I still rue the fact that Franks was 5 yards shy of a pick 6 and we didn’t just slam it in for a TD.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Nov 3, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah we're certainly over, over-due for another game like that...

Seems like we get one of those per season. I don’t recall ever seeing a team with as good of a record as we’ve had over the past few years, with as few blowout (and as many close) victories. May be good theater but its bad for the old ticker, let me tell you.

"And this here's the TV. Two hours a day, either educational or football, so you don't ruin your appreciation of the finer things." - H.I.

by 4thabirds on Nov 3, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Did the numbers prior to our bye week

Ryan has the most wins since being drafted, with 38
Brees also has 38.
Big Ben, Rivers, Flacco, Peyton are all up there too. Brady was on 25 from memory, which is insane considering he missed a full year.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Nov 3, 2011 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really?????

We are more desperate than them and better might I add. We are playing for a division tie they have 0 motivating factors to win and 1 very huge reason to lose. They are despondent and uninspired we are hungry and coming alive. Face it folks the colts are running in to a buzz saw this weekend.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 11:13 AM EDT via mobile reply actions   1 recs

I'm sure they are

But an abundance of caution is never a bad thing.

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by Dave Choate on Nov 3, 2011 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Caution on players shoulders not on fans.

I think we have a billion reasons to feel confident this week.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 12:42 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Seahawks had a good reason to fight.

We were still rusty and not really gelling at that point. Seahawks are bad but not Colts bad.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 12:45 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Imagine this.

Peyton can’t come back next year so we pick him up as a QB coach in waiting to become the new OC.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 11:16 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I think my Vols will be itching to offer him HC position by then, so my Birds may have to beat them out.

And I’ll take either

"And this here's the TV. Two hours a day, either educational or football, so you don't ruin your appreciation of the finer things." - H.I.

by 4thabirds on Nov 3, 2011 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Peyton a HC?

Little to soon for that.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 12:46 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Hey now!

They do have that annoying rockytop theme song thing and dreadful uni’s.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 1:01 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Quizz

I’d be interested to see him on some kick and punt returns…..he’s shifty and quick enough to make a lot of people miss I think

by grygrvin on Nov 3, 2011 11:44 AM EDT reply actions  

Ahead of pro bowler Weems

and pre-season stud D. Franks? I really doubt it. Heck, even Douglas would have to be above him on punt duties. I can’t see it. I think what we all really want is him involved in the offence more.

Be sure to check out this week's Best Case/Worst Case article here.

Follow me on Twitter! @HarrisonN17

by Turner_The_Burner on Nov 3, 2011 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah Dude

I Think Quizz is kind extra short. Maybe if he was as fast as Sproles

by Trae FrankSinatra Starz on Nov 3, 2011 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I mean why not say this about any opponent we face?

The Colts still have the best two DEs in the league and they’re playing at home. I think that the falcons will win but not dismissing their team just because they’re 0-8. They still have weapons on offense where we are not that great at defending the pass. Also, we’re still having trouble passing the ball so until I see more balanced offense, this is not a gimme game. Turner and whoever is spelling him will have to come up big against a historically bad run defense.

Atlanta will win a championship....someday

by maxxj3 on Nov 3, 2011 3:00 PM EDT reply actions  

that's debatable

Atlanta will win a championship....someday

by maxxj3 on Nov 3, 2011 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Let's debate.

What do you have to back your claim. I’ll be back soon with some stats.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Nov 3, 2011 5:24 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I think he means this year

the past means nothing- the time is now

Kobe won’t always be the best basketball player, but he is the best right now (lame james is not the best, don’t get too hyped up, we’re still on the Falcons’ blog)

One day....

by Kashberry on Nov 3, 2011 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Allen has the most sacks this year

but it doesn’t make him the best. Kobe and Lebron aren’t even playing “now” Besides, statistically Lebron out-played Kobe last year and the year before

Atlanta will win a championship....someday

by maxxj3 on Nov 3, 2011 10:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

stats don't tell the entire story

Derek Fisher – if you looked at stats, you wouldn’t think it, but that guy’s a Laker Legend.

Lebron is…. well, let’s not go there… we both want to, but let’s keep it Falcons

But on second thought, the NBA players should get a regular job during the lockout and see what its like to work really hard for nothing… let them be humbled… let them truly appreciate all that they have. Bums, all of them. Owners too.. bums.

One day....

by Kashberry on Nov 4, 2011 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

In 4 games, Jason Babin had 7 sacks.

After 7 games, he only has 9. Doesn’t always tell the whole story.

Plus, that Tamba Hali kid looks pretty darn good.

Follow me on Twitter! twitter.com/FalcoholicZippo

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by Caleb Rutherford on Nov 4, 2011 1:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

How did this happen

Follow me on Twitter! twitter.com/FalcoholicZippo

If you're a fan of the Falcons, or if you want to chat it up with some Falcons fans, sign up here, share your opinion, and get to know some great fans of the Falcons!

by Caleb Rutherford on Nov 4, 2011 1:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dave loves pictures...

and these are funny and quite appropriate. I just have to wonder how that horse feels about its swimming gear

One day....

by Kashberry on Nov 3, 2011 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really the only thing we need to take care of

…is actually their running game. Carter, Addai and Brown all have better DYAR and DVOA than Turner and their rushing offense is 10th in DVOA. Except for Carter having troubles being an effective receiver out of the backfield, their RB corps is doing a good job. Much more effective than Painter.

We do have a Top 5 rushing Defense to counter that, but if there is one thing to focus on when they have the ball, it’s Lofton against their backs.

by wiesengrund on Nov 5, 2011 11:33 AM EDT reply actions  

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