Four Critical Matchups In The Falcons-Packers Game
Look, we all know this isn't going to be easy.
The Packers are a tough football team. They eat nails for breakfast and crap iron paperweights. I'm not denying any of that, and as I've said, it's going to be tough for the Falcons to walk off the Georgia Dome turf with a win. It's not impossible, though.
As is my Saturday custom, I've compiled a list of four matchups that could and perhaps will affect the outcome of the game. Each one pits a player against a player in an epic hypothetical deathmatch. Or something very close to it.
We'll spend a lot of tomorrow discussing the Pack during the game, so let's just jump right into the matchups. You'll find them after the jump.
Jordy Nelson vs. Kelvin Hayden/Chris Owens
My assumption is that Kelvin Hayden will get the bulk of the nickel corner snaps, which means he's going to be facing off against Jordy Nelson. Honorable mention to Chris Owens, who will probably get some snaps there.
Nelson doesn't play outside, but he's been arguably the Packers' most dangerous receiver thus far in 2011. In four games to start the season, he's amassed 15 catches, 292 yards and 3 touchdowns. That's 19.5 yards per reception, in case you were wondering.
The problem is that while Nelson has enough talent to play outside, he's going mostly inside against a Falcons defense that is pretty rigid when it comes to lining up its corners. That means Hayden or Owens will have to step up big-time to contain Nelson. They're capable, but this is going to be a challenge.
Tony Gonzalez vs. Charlie Peprah/Morgan Burnett/Any Linebacker
The Packers have a tough defense, and while their secondary may be weak this season, they're still matching two quality cornerbacks up against Roddy White and Julio Jones. It's when you get to Tony Gonzalez that the mismatches really occur.
There's nobody on this roster that can effectively cover Gonzo for four quarters. Charlie Peprah and Morgan Burnett aren't spectacular safeties, and neither is big and physical enough to do the job. While the Packers have quality linebackers up and down the roster, Desmond Bishop is the closest thing they have to a capable cover 'backer.
Gonzo's been geared up all season and an invaluable weapon in the red zone, to boot. I just don't see the Packers putting a lid on him all game, and it's a matchup the Falcons will want to exploit early and often.
Jonathan Babineaux vs. T.J. Lang
The Packers have somewhat of an inconsistent line, one that doesn't always perform exceptionally well as a unit. That said, they have outstanding individual pieces, guys like right guard Josh Sitton and left tackle Chad Clifton. There are two spots they can be exploited.
The first is right tackle, where the Packers will be pressing either rookie Derek Sherrod or equally young tackle Marshall Newhouse into service. If the Falcons lined up John Abraham against either, that would be an enormous mismatch. As it is, Ray Edwards and Kroy Biermann should do well, but neither has truly excelled thus far in 2011.
But I see Babineaux against T.J. Lang as a bigger mismatch. Lang hadn't started a game in his career until this season and is not the most capable pass protector on the team. Assuming Babineaux is healthy enough to play, he'll be healthy enough to push the pocket. A guy like Lang is going to struggle to contain Babs, who is legendarily big, fast and powerful for a defensive tackle.
If the USS Babineaux destroys Lang, the rest of the line should have a great game, too.
Matt Bosher vs. Randall Cobb
Until Bosher starts consistently booming his punts, he's an evergreen candidate here.
Randall Cobb is straight up dangerous on returns with his elusiveness, so you can probably guess that I'm a little wary about this one. I don't really have much more to say.
What are your four most critical matchups?
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About Lang...
The Packers have somewhat of an inconsistent line, one that doesn’t always perform exceptionally well as a unit. That said, they have outstanding individual pieces, guys like right guard Josh Sitton and left tackle Chad Clifton. There are two spots they can be exploited.
The stats may be a bit misleading. Lang has arguably been our best O-lineman this year, and Clifton has arguably been our worst. Bringing pressure from the edge would be a better idea. Our three interior lineman haven’t given up a sack this whole year.
I love Donald Driver. AND RANDALL COBB!
Jay Cutler, the first quarterback to beat a playoff team with a losing record.
I stand corrected!
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There's a reason why
Usually you guys keep in 5 or 6 guys to protect Aaron Rodgers. Some of these guys can double team at least 2 or 3 defensive guys.
by Antonio Grimes on Oct 8, 2011 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions
Not true...
Packers usually put more recievers in the pattern and let the OL and Rodgers himself win at the LOS. Rodgers can beat you w/ his brain by recognizing who is or isn’t coming presnap, w/ his quick release if you get near him or w/ his feet to avoid sacks and make plays outside the pocket! We do VERY little in terms of heavy protection.
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
And also on matchups..
Sam Shields/Charles Woodson on Julio Jones should be pretty entertaining.
I love Donald Driver. AND RANDALL COBB!
Jay Cutler, the first quarterback to beat a playoff team with a losing record.
My 4 critical match ups are
1) Roddy White vs Charles Woodson
2) Dunta Robinson vs Donald Driver
3) Atlanta’s Defensive line vs Green Bay’s O-line
4) Sam Shields vs Julio Jones
Whatever Matt Bosher does
DONT KICK IT TO RANDALL COBB!
by Antonio Grimes on Oct 8, 2011 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions
I hope he doesn't take your advice
literally, and punt it out of bounds 20 yds down the field
Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia
Don't see it...
1) Woodson will match up on Gonzo.
2) Robinson will match up on Nelson, Driver is the #2 WR in name only. Nelson is the the Real #2 WR.
3) A key will be the DL vs Pack OL. The deciding factor here is Rodgers tho. He is very smart and adept at recognizing his matchups on every play.
4) Shields vs Jones is definitely a crucial matchup.
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
Thats not gonna happen unless Nelson lines up on Dunta sides.
Which is another thing I hate. Our CBs being restricted to 1 side. I wanna see Dunta on Jennings, Grimes on Nelson, Hayden on Driver, and a mix of Moore, Franks, and Spoon on Finley. I also hope they watch out for Kuhn in the flat.
true
seeing Dunta play man to man with Jennings or anybody else could be a measuring stick to see if his problems really were due to poor scheming (BVGs favorite zone) or not.
Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia
Dunta
Hasn’t been a top CB, especially in press man coverage for a few years. If he’s singled up on Jennings all game, Jennings will go off! Dunta isn’t nearly the CB he was made out to be when he was drafted. Been over-rated his entire career IMO.
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
Dunta is a special case here
this is probably the only big acquisition in Dimitroff-Smith era that we still debate here. some say he sucks and point at those numerous TDs he gave up (and fell, subsequently), while others blame BVG’s zone coverage.
Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia
Dunta
Was on one of the worst pass D’s in the NFL for a couple years in Houston. And they let him leave… How is it that you could possibly look at that as a good thing when the Falcons signed him? I don’t get it… He played fairly well his first couple years in the league, but then they and he regressed to being among the worst the NFL has seen in a long time. IMO, that can’t be good.
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
Hey guys I posted this a couple days ago but didn't get Alot of replies what do you think???
So there are some pretty good Offensive lineman in Free agency..
Leonard Davis (RG), Reggie wells (LG), Rich Seubert (LG), Ben Hamilton (LG), Levi Jones (LT), Even Damien Woody (RT) has said he will come back for the right price. I’m just curious why we havent Signed one of these Exceptionally Solid Linemen???
by falcons101 on Oct 8, 2011 1:14 PM EDT via iPhone app reply actions
They'd have to learn the offense.
That doesn’t happen overnight.
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by Caleb Rutherford on Oct 8, 2011 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm sure they are still better than Reynolds at this point and hawley at this point..
And your right they wouldn’t be helpful overnight but it could help for the rest of the season to have some added veteran presences..
by falcons101 on Oct 8, 2011 2:56 PM EDT via iPhone app up reply actions
Are they still solid?
Many of those guys are getting up there. There’s probably a reason they haven’t signed anywhere yet.
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Im just wondering this.
What is up with the packer picture on this post?
Always looking for the sad Packer
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Hopefully,
We will see a bunch of them Sunday. Melt the cheese Falcons!!!
by Antonio Grimes on Oct 8, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Because we want pictures of your fans cheering wildly... :-/
April 1974 - Tug McGraw, when asked if he preferred grass or AstroTurf: "I don't know. I never smoked AstroTurf."
Going to be at a sports bar on Sunday night w/ a packer fan friend
and I’m sure the packer fan to Falcons fan ratio will be a… little off.
I’m guessing 1 to 200.
I would LOVE to see them all looking like the guy above.
The most critical component of the game for me is our defensive line vs. their offensive line. If aaron has time, aaron will destroy our soft zone. DESTROY… as in 60-0.
One day....
4 Keys, but I've never seen that action you described involving paperweights
As good as Nelson has been this season, the keys are stopping Jennings and Finley. No team has done it yet this season, and the pass offense hasn’t missed a beat.
Gonzalez against the middle zone. The Packers keep Williams and Shields on the sidelines in man, but they play a zone in the middle of the field that’s been getting torched. It’s not just Gonzalez, but the running backs too (Stewart had a monster game receiving against them in Carolina).
It’s Newhouse against whoever’s lining up against him. He’s a good young player, but his inexperience at right tackle shows. If Abraham’s spinning at him with every move in his arsenal, Newhouse will have trouble stopping him.
Cobb is good, but I don’t think he’s a guy you avoid kicking too. He’s returned one kickoff for a TD, but he also has one fumble.
Good thing
Matt Bosher doesn’t avoid kicking to anyone.
by andrewmaxwell on Oct 8, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Key Matchups?
1- Falcons’ defense versus the Packers’ offense
2- Falcons’ offense versus the Packers’ defense
3- Falcons’ special teams versus the Packers’ special teams
4- Falcons’ coaching staff versus the Packers’ coaching staff
Nothing else matters.
I think...
Key Matchups Areas of Concern…
Smart offensive play calling
Smart defensive play calling
Execution of said play calling
Exploitation of known opponent weaknesses vs. our strengths
April 1974 - Tug McGraw, when asked if he preferred grass or AstroTurf: "I don't know. I never smoked AstroTurf."
We've faced supposed suspect lines in the recent past
Philly last season, Tampa and Seattle both rank in the lower echelon of OL’s this season. I’m not expecting much from them. What I am expecting(praying for) is a possible pick or two. We win only if we’re +2,3 in the turnover category. 2 or 3 will help to cancel out our miserable playcalling. Damn prime time game.
you're right
and that’s how we won the last regular season game. that fumble by Rogers at the goal line turned out to be crucial (although it was almost negated by BVG zone again, when AR had all day to throw to his receiver for a score to tie it).
but TO won’t decide the outcome if MM goes braindead. even if they get picked at their own 35 yd line, but MM goes run-run-pass, we have to punt – and a Bosher punt has the same probability of actually going backwards.
Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia
Bosher,punt,backwards...
cant stop laughing!!
good one
Now Gentlemen, get your butts up, and get back on that horse! You have no choice. The expectations are running much higher this year.
If you're going to include
Tony Gonzalez vs. Charlie Peprah/Morgan Burnett/Any Linebacker
then, you sgould also have your safety and LB vs, Jermichael Finley.
I guarantee you that is a key matchup.
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
Skol is a four-letter word.
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!
I wanted to get Bosher in and didn't have room
But I agree it’s going to be an important one.
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Must use preview button. :\
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
Skol is a four-letter word.
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!

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