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Atlanta Falcons Combine Notebook, 3/3 Edition

Welcome to the third edition of Dave the Falconer's NFL Combine notebook, which takes a bunch of semi-useful drills run by players whose stock is fluctuating wildly and attempts to make sense of them. You may need a hard hat.

If there's one thing the Combine has taught us over the last several days, it's that a player's entire body of work in college can be set aside or completely undone based on a poor performance in one drill. Experts had widely predicted that Joe Haden would be the first cornerback off the board and thought he was virtually a lock to be off the board in the first ten picks, and now they've decided he might last another few picks because of a pedestrian 40 yard dash time. This despite the fact that Haden is clearly the best cover cornerback in the draft, that he kept up with receivers just fine in college and that he's obviously a cut above anybody else. You see, he just doesn't run in a straight line fast enough.

That's especially useful to measure a corner by, of course, because wide receivers always run in a perfectly straight line down the field.

So yeah, the Combine is simultaneously useful to get a look at a prospect's physical tools and extremely useless for predicting someone's future success as a player. Keep that in mind as I move through my notes, after the jump.

Star-divide

  • Taylor Mays isn't a serious contender to be picked by the Falcons, but I really loved the comment from Mocking The Draft on Twitter in the immediate aftermath of Mays' supposedly 4.24 second dash:

    "Taylor Mays runs an unofficial 4.24. Draftniks go nuts. Al Davis dies. The world is overrun by the undead."

    Later, of course, it turned out that Mays hadn't run nearly that fast, and his ability to pivot in coverage is in serious doubt. Nonetheless, it's evidence of how much stock that people put in these drills that people went NUTS when Mays supposedly ran that 4.24. At the end of the day, unless the guy is running like a 5 second dash, it's not making an enormous difference.
  • Devin McCourty was a cornerback I mentioned previously, but after posting a solid time in the 40 yard-dash and some impressive ups, it seems likely he's going to go in the second round. Did I mention we don't have a second round pick? Crap.
  • Brandon Ghee and Chris Cook are similar players, cornerbacks who could be around in the third round and put up pretty good numbers at the Combine. Ghee is a much stronger corner and a surer tackler, but Cook may be the better player in terms of man-to-man coverage. Either would be solid value if they made it to the Falcons in the third. If the team goes pass rushing linebacker or defensive end in the first round, these are two names you'll want to be familiar with.
  • Remember when Donovan Warren was a popular first round pick for the Falcons? Yeah...not so much. He's a very physical cornerback, which would be a nice fit for the team in a lot of ways, but his 40 times in the mid 4.5s suggest he'll be dropping down into the middle rounds. Frankly, I think we have enough fast, small cornerbacks that we could afford to roll the dice on Warren.
  • Carlos Dunlap impressed quite a few scouts with his answers about his checkered past, and that could be enough to bump him up a little bit again. My opinion? There are too many teams who don't really give a damn about character for him to last much past the Falcons, and I'd predict he won't even be there at #19 for us to consider. He's not the safest pick, though, so I'd be inclined to avoid him. 
  • John Skelton is more or less the only quarterback I'd want the Falcons to consider taking, and only if he lasts until near the end of the draft. Skelton has a truly awesome arm and would be a great long-term project as our backup quarterback, with considerably more upside than John Parker Wilson. Unlikely, I know.
  • Dexter McCluster has been billed as a decent replacement for Jerious Norwood in the later rounds, but he doesn't have the home run speed Norwood has. Instead, what he offers is amazing agility and the ability to change direction faster than you can blink. He'd be a nice fit for the Falcons if his sub-par 40 time (4.58 seconds) drops him into the late rounds.
  • With Sean Weatherspoon quickly exiting the Falcons' range by impressing yet again at the Combine, a guy to watch at outside linebacker might be Daryl Washington. He's fast and a capable pass rusher, and might be the next best thing to Weatherspoon if the team is seriously considering an OLB.

So there's some notes on players the Falcons may have interest in. Your thoughts?

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WHAT ABOUT AJ HENDERSON?

He ran a 40 in the high 4.4’s and has an amazing 44 inch vertical. Thats a guy I would be keeping on my radar for the safety position if we can get him in the 4th to 6th rounds maybe.
 I was very impressed with devin mccourty, while watching the combine drills last night. He seemed to have all the tools a good cb would need. would be nice if we could snag him in the 3rd round but I don’t think he’ll fall that far. he’s more likely a second rounder easily!!

by ATLsince1972 on Mar 3, 2010 4:17 PM EST reply actions  

running back that can catch with break awy speed

golden tate should be there in the fourth i say we get him

by mistab50 on Mar 3, 2010 4:22 PM EST reply actions  

Golden Tate = receiver

Founder and Proud Member of the JASON SNELLING AIN'T ALL THAT AND A BAG O' CHIPS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA

by FrankyWren on Mar 3, 2010 5:26 PM EST up reply actions  

size though

5’10 199 4.4 forty came into college as a running back i see potential

by mistab50 on Mar 3, 2010 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, absolutely ...

But the thing is, he really could play WR in the league; in fact, he probably has more potential as a WR than as a RB in the league (from what I’ve read and seen).

He wouldn’t give up a year of eligibility if teams were looking to make him a RB at this point.

Founder and Proud Member of the JASON SNELLING AIN'T ALL THAT AND A BAG O' CHIPS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA

by FrankyWren on Mar 3, 2010 10:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't see

Golden Tate slipping far into second round at worst.
I wish we had a spot for him. I love the guy and watching him over the past three years has been amazing.

Its true. I'm a Falcoholic! I just can't live without Falcohol!

by phoenix falcoholic on Mar 3, 2010 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed

He has a huge upside … can’t help but make the Steve Smith comparison.

Founder and Proud Member of the JASON SNELLING AIN'T ALL THAT AND A BAG O' CHIPS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA

by FrankyWren on Mar 3, 2010 6:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I expect a great player to drop to Atlanta

Only 18 teams draft ahead and they all have specific needs

He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is

by WarWolf on Mar 3, 2010 7:16 PM EST reply actions  

Weatherspoon.

Do want.

"Ryan, under center. Single receiver set, time on his side. Ryan, gonna throw. First professional pass.....CAUGHT!! Jenkins! 30! 25! 20! 15! 10! 5! He lives in Atlanta!!!" -Wes Durham

by Zippo729 on Mar 3, 2010 8:03 PM EST reply actions  

Falcons want to

I’ve heard at least one report that says the Falcons are in love with him.

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by Dave Choate on Mar 3, 2010 11:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Did y'all see

that video on YouTube of him singing? He’s got a TV showing highlights of Falcons and Roddy making some sick play in the back ground. I think it’s meant to be. So it is written so shall it be.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Mar 3, 2010 11:54 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

So what you are saying Dave...

is that McCluster could be a Mr Barry Sanders type of player? I still love watching old games with him and how he could be going full speed ahead and stop on a dime and miscount on the change and give a dollar back!

by muuzilla on Mar 3, 2010 9:57 PM EST reply actions  

Well, I don't think he's got as much speed as Barry

But his agility is fantastic, so in some ways it’s a fair comparison.

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by Dave Choate on Mar 3, 2010 10:20 PM EST up reply actions  

McCluster'll have his homeruns...

…but it’ll come from juking someone out of their jock. I’ll take that. I mean, I’ve seen JN32 caught from behind alot more than I expected. He’s (Norwood’s) fast for 40 but not for 70. I think we could move up.

How many more days, Lord, must I walk through the wilderness?
GO FALCONS!!!

by AnOldBird on Mar 3, 2010 11:13 PM EST up reply actions  

If...

They tendered Norwood they probably wouldn’t try for MC Luster unless they actually do get a taker for Wood.

Rule #1: Double tap.

by Ball Hawk on Mar 3, 2010 11:58 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Whoever We Pick

I hope they can atleast stay healthy. Anyone else concerned that our first 2 picks last year played a combined 2 games for us?

by falcons11 on Mar 4, 2010 2:25 PM EST reply actions  

I'll be much more concerned....

…if they do the same thing this season.

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by Dave Choate on Mar 4, 2010 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

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