FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Ratings, Week 9

Greetings, Falcoholics!  Same as last year, my rankings are based only on Points Scored and Points Allowed per Game.  Warning:  Pregnant women should avoid this provocative, possibly disturbing material.  Press ahead for the numbers, if you dare.

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via i55.tinypic.com

To compute these ratings, all you need is each team's average points scored & points allowed per game.  Now you have two data sets, which conform to what stats folks call a Normal Distribution (or Bell Curve).  Depending where each team's data lies on those curves, they have values between 0 and 1, on offense and defense.  (This is an established, standardized analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the "population" of all league teams.)  Add these offensive & defensive ratings to get a total for each team.  Last, multiply the totals by 50 to obtain Power Rating numbers on a 0-to-100 scale, to make them more readable and intuitive.

Since these ratings are rooted in only two simple stats, don't focus too narrowly on precisely where each team is ranked.  The individual O and D numbers are often more informative than the totals, in fact.  These are no Sagarin Ratings, but hopefully the straightforward nature somewhat makes up for the reduced sophistication.  Enjoy!

Rank

Power Rating

 

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

86.1

 

Titans

5-3-0

28.0

18.8

0.95

0.77

1.72

2

85.2

 

Packers

6-3-0

24.6

15.9

0.78

0.93

1.70

3

79.2

 

Giants

6-2-0

27.0

20.0

0.92

0.67

1.58

4

76.4

 

Jets

6-2-0

22.8

16.3

0.61

0.91

1.53

5

75.2

 

Falcons

6-2-0

24.5

19.3

0.77

0.73

1.50

6

74.7

 

Colts

5-3-0

27.1

21.0

0.92

0.57

1.49

7

73.2

 

Saints

6-3-0

22.3

16.8

0.57

0.89

1.46

8

73.0

 

Raiders

5-4-0

26.1

20.9

0.88

0.58

1.46

9

72.8

 

Steelers

6-2-0

21.8

15.4

0.51

0.94

1.46

10

72.1

 

Chiefs

5-3-0

22.9

18.1

0.63

0.81

1.44

11

69.3

 

Ravens

6-2-0

21.9

17.4

0.53

0.86

1.39

12

69.2

 

Chargers

4-5-0

26.6

21.9

0.90

0.48

1.38

13

63.1

 

Patriots

6-2-0

27.4

23.5

0.93

0.33

1.26

14

60.1

 

Eagles

5-3-0

24.8

22.6

0.79

0.41

1.20

15

58.2

 

Lions

2-6-0

25.4

23.5

0.84

0.33

1.16

16

55.3

 

Bears

5-3-0

18.5

16.6

0.21

0.90

1.11

17

49.4

 

Rams

4-4-0

17.5

17.6

0.14

0.85

0.99

18

47.8

 

Browns

3-5-0

19.0

19.5

0.25

0.71

0.96

19

43.1

 

Vikings

3-5-0

19.5

21.0

0.29

0.57

0.86

20

41.3

 

Redskins

4-4-0

19.4

21.3

0.28

0.55

0.83

21

39.7

 

Texans

4-4-0

24.1

28.3

0.74

0.05

0.79

22

36.5

 

Bengals

2-6-0

20.9

23.8

0.42

0.31

0.73

23

32.5

 

Dolphins

4-4-0

17.9

21.9

0.16

0.48

0.65

24

30.4

 

Buccaneers

5-3-0

19.6

23.8

0.30

0.31

0.61

25

28.4

 

49ers

2-6-0

17.1

22.3

0.12

0.45

0.57

26

24.6

 

Seahawks

4-4-0

16.3

22.6

0.08

0.41

0.49

27

22.5

 

Jaguars

4-4-0

20.6

28.3

0.40

0.05

0.45

28

19.2

 

Cowboys

1-7-0

20.1

29.0

0.35

0.04

0.38

29

18.9

 

Panthers

1-7-0

11.0

23.0

0.00

0.38

0.38

30

17.8

 

Cardinals

3-5-0

19.6

28.1

0.30

0.06

0.36

31

16.6

 

Broncos

2-6-0

19.3

27.9

0.27

0.06

0.33

32

13.0

 

Bills

0-8-0

18.8

29.1

0.23

0.03

0.26

 

 

 

average:

21.6

21.7

 

 

I'd surely appreciate your Comments or Recs, if you would like to see these ratings continued in future weeks.  Though they're not too much trouble to crank out weekly, there's no point unless people read them.  Thank you, gents!

 

Edit added 11/11:

Here's what happens when you change the two stats to Winning % and Point Differential per game.  Not very imaginative, granted, but the rankings don't require as much interpretation by the reader.

Rank

Alt Rating

 

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

W% Rating

PDiff Rating

Total

1

88.4

 

Giants

6-2-0

27.0

20.0

0.89

0.88

1.77

2

87.5

 

Jets

6-2-0

22.8

16.3

0.89

0.86

1.75

3

87.3

 

Steelers

6-2-0

21.8

15.4

0.89

0.86

1.75

4

85.9

 

Packers

6-3-0

24.6

15.9

0.79

0.93

1.72

5

85.0

 

Falcons

6-2-0

24.5

19.3

0.89

0.81

1.70

6

83.4

 

Titans

5-3-0

28.0

18.8

0.73

0.94

1.67

7

83.2

 

Ravens

6-2-0

21.9

17.4

0.89

0.78

1.66

8

81.6

 

Patriots

6-2-0

27.4

23.5

0.89

0.74

1.63

9

80.9

 

Saints

6-3-0

22.3

16.8

0.79

0.82

1.62

10

78.9

 

Colts

5-3-0

27.1

21.0

0.73

0.85

1.58

11

75.9

 

Chiefs

5-3-0

22.9

18.1

0.73

0.79

1.52

12

70.9

 

Raiders

5-4-0

26.1

20.9

0.61

0.81

1.42

13

68.7

 

Eagles

5-3-0

24.8

22.6

0.73

0.64

1.37

14

67.9

 

Bears

5-3-0

18.5

16.6

0.73

0.63

1.36

15

59.0

 

Chargers

4-5-0

26.6

21.9

0.40

0.78

1.18

16

50.0

 

Rams

4-4-0

17.5

17.6

0.50

0.50

1.00

17

49.1

 

Buccaneers

5-3-0

19.6

23.8

0.73

0.25

0.98

18

44.3

 

Redskins

4-4-0

19.4

21.3

0.50

0.38

0.89

19

38.1

 

Dolphins

4-4-0

17.9

21.9

0.50

0.26

0.76

20

37.8

 

Texans

4-4-0

24.1

28.3

0.50

0.25

0.76

21

37.4

 

Browns

3-5-0

19.0

19.5

0.27

0.47

0.75

22

37.1

 

Lions

2-6-0

25.4

23.5

0.11

0.63

0.74

23

34.1

 

Vikings

3-5-0

19.5

21.0

0.27

0.41

0.68

24

32.6

 

Seahawks

4-4-0

16.3

22.6

0.50

0.15

0.65

25

30.5

 

Jaguars

4-4-0

20.6

28.3

0.50

0.11

0.61

26

21.8

 

Bengals

2-6-0

20.9

23.8

0.11

0.32

0.44

27

17.8

 

Cardinals

3-5-0

19.6

28.1

0.27

0.08

0.36

28

15.8

 

49ers

2-6-0

17.1

22.3

0.11

0.20

0.32

29

9.7

 

Broncos

2-6-0

19.3

27.9

0.11

0.08

0.19

30

5.4

 

Cowboys

1-7-0

20.1

29.0

0.03

0.07

0.11

31

3.0

 

Panthers

1-7-0

11.0

23.0

0.03

0.02

0.06

32

2.6

 

Bills

0-8-0

18.8

29.1

0.01

0.04

0.05

 

 

 

 

21.6

21.7

 

Mmmm...  Vanilla...

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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