FanPost

Worst Case Scenario vs Ravens


The Falcons now stand at 6-2 as we take on the Ravens on the road so we are here for officially our 3rd post in our Best Case/Worst Case evaluation of this week’s matchup. Show us some love and rec both of our posts.

This is the 2nd part of Turner_The_Burner's post Best Case Scenario vs. Ravens. Please read his first. See it here

Flipping it to the Ravens

As it has been said here I’m going to play the devils advocate here and speak about where the Ravens can hurt us bad. There is a lot I could write about here but I’ve narrowed it down to 3 so, the worst case scenario for the Falcons – Flacco wins the QB battle, the Raven D stays on form and Turnelling gets shut down.

Flacco wins the QB battle: This week is the first time that the Ravens and the Falcons will play each other since they both drafted their franchise QB’s in the 08 daft. And those two men will always be compared if they play in the league. Now we all know how good Ryan has been for us, only problem is that Flacco has been just as good.

 

The stats this year are as follows:

Season

Player

 

Passing

Rushing

Fumbles

G

GS

Comp

Att

Pct

Yds

Avg

TD

Int

Sck

SckY

Rate

Att

Yds

Avg

TD

FUM

Lost

2010

Matt Ryan

8

8

180

288

62.5

1,949

6.8

13

5

13

80

90.2

28

69

2.5

0

3

3

2010

Joe Flacco

8

8

160

263

60.8

1,917

7.3

12

6

14

90

88.9

26

39

1.5

1

4

2

As you can see they are very similar, Ryan playing very slightly better. They have led both of their teams to a 6-2 record and are both 1st in their respective divisions. In other words Ryan and Flacco are more or less equal. Who ever can have a better day will not only have bragging rights until the next encounter could also turn the tide in what seems to be a very even game.

 

 

The Ravens D stays on form: The Ravens defence may be the most feared in the league behind the Steelers or maybe that’s just me but regardless they are scary. Haloti Ngata, Ray Lewis, Terrell Suggs, Ed Reed and Kelly "Jabba the Hut" Gregg… just to name a few. This is a team with one of the stingiest defences in the league giving up the 9th fewest yards and the 6th fewest points. Compared to the Falcons 5th most offensive yards and 10th most points, this will definitely be a clash of greatness.

 

Do note that the Ravens defence haven’t been as dominant as expected at times, and were tested against the mighty Buffalo Bills, allowing 34 points, 384 yards in the air and 132 yards on the ground. Regardless when compared with teams that the Falcons have also faced they gave up 144 yards to Peyton Hillis compared to Falcons giving up only 28 yards to the human bowling ball, and 49 rushing yards in total. The Ravens also gave up 78 yards to Cedric Benson compared to Falcons 70 yards. So Falcons are a bit better but the comparison of secondary is scary. We gave up 412 yards to Carson Palmer through the air, they gave up 167. Note that Bengals were playing catch up with us and were ahead in the Ravens game. It seems to me that their defence is similar to ours as some games they play amazing and shut down their opponents, and other games they let everything go through. Our secondary isn’t as bad as the stats say but it’s not as good as the Ravens either. They seem to have a slight advantage on defence but it’s all going to depend on who shows up on the day.

 

 

Turnelling gets shut down: We normally talk about Turner doing well will be a big factor in winning and this week is no different. However from what I gather Turner is going to be expected to run well as the Ravens are allowing and average of 104.8 yards per game and our run game is averaging 136.5 yards a game. If he runs like he did in the Steelers game then we are in trouble. He will need to get 75+ yards in this game, preferably more, other wise our offence won’t be able to get going. There is a lot riding on Turner’s shoulders and I think he can produce.

 

It shows that when we have a 100+ yard rusher then we score a lot and we win. I can see this game being very close so any extra boosts from Turnelling would be great and could tip us onto victory. This is a table.

Opponent

Turnelling’s Yards

 Score

Steelers

46

9-15 L

Cardinals

204

7-41 W

Saints

176

27-24 W

49ers

81

14-16 W

Browns

158

20-10 W

Eagles

62

17-31 L

Bengals

125

32-39 W

Buccaneers

122

21-27 W

As you can see when we get over 100 yards we win and we do it well. Our worst two rushing games have also been our losses. It’s going to be a determining factor.

 

 

And that ends another, hopefully insightful, look at the good and the bad possibilities of the coming week. Clearly we are looking for Falcons to do more good then bad but we aren’t naïve. C’mon Falcons lets show them how good we really are.

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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