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The Falcons Must Key On The Run To Stop The Panthers

Unsurprisingly for a team named after a giant cat and inexplicably adorned with teal-and-silver trappings, the Carolina Panthers are going to try to run all over our beloved Falcons this weekend.

"Let them!" you cry, your jowls quivering with righteous indignation. "Box this unseemly lot about the ears!" But no, sir, that would be a mistake. Taking the Panthers too lightly could well be our undoing.

Let's start with quarterback, where Jake Delhomme has been doing his best Jim Hardy impression since collapsing in on himself and forming point of awfulness so dense that not even mediocrity can escape it in the 2008 playoffs. Admittedly it's only two games, but he's looked bad enough that the Carolina coaching staff isn't likely to let him throw all day long. With the passing game somewhat muted, that really leaves the running game to carry that load. That could be very bad news.

The Falcons' run defense looked more stout against the Dolphins than it did at many points last year, and it's clear that young Peria Jerry, not-so-young Jonathan Babineaux and the linebacking corps had plenty to do with that. As functional as the tandem of Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams is, however, DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart completely blow them out of the water. Take a quick look at these stat lines from last year:

  • DeAngelo Williams, 273 carries, 1,515 yards, 18 TDs, 5.5 YPC
  • Jonathan Stewart, 184 carries, 836 yards, 10 TDs, 4.5 YPC
  • Michael Turner, 376 carries, 1,699 yards, 17 TDs, 4.5 YPC
  • Adrian Peterson, 363 carries, 1,760 yards, 10 TDs, 4.8 YPC

What immediately jumps out at me from that list is how unbelievable DeAngelo Williams was last year. In about 100 less carries than both Turner and Peterson, who are widely considered to be two of the best running backs in the league, he piled up almost as many yards, more TDs, and almost a full yard better per carry. Stewart, meanwhile, had numbers that could be roughly doubled and come out about the same as Turner. There's no telling if that actually would've happened, of course, but you get my point.

That point is that this, despite a pretty average first game from Williams, is one of the most potent rushing attacks in the NFL. Given how far the scales are tipping in the direction of this tandem, it's pretty clear that the Falcons will have to aim to shut down the Panthers on the ground and dare Delhomme to beat them, which isn't quite as frightening as it's been in years past. Because they run pretty well in between the tackles, it might be a good time to see what Trey Lewis and Thomas Johnson can do clogging up the middle, or at least try to free up Jerry and Babs to play the run. We absolutely cannot afford to let them run roughshod over our defensive ends, so this may be Jamaal Anderson's time to shine.

This post may be stating the obvious a bit, but I do hope that we don't take the entire team lightly because of what Delhomme's done recently. The Panthers may end up doing poorly this year, but the Falcons really aren't in any position to look past them, especially with that two-headed monster staring us in the face. Here's hoping we shut them down so viciously that we all have high school prom flashbacks.

Leave your strategies for stopping Williams and Stewart.

Poll
What is the top priority for the defense against the Panthers?
Dave's right, it's the running attack
331 votes
Foolish Dave, it's the passing game
21 votes
Hold the palisades!
21 votes

373 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 23 comments |

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They'll definitely be wanting to run

But I see Fox giving Delhomme plenty of opportunity to try to redeem himself. In those cases, here’s hoping our D can take advantage.

You have opinions. Share them.

by Adam Schultz on Sep 16, 2009 9:24 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree

The consensus from the world of football punditry seems to be that the Falcons’ secondary is poor to mediocre. I could easily see Fox being tempted to redeem his QB and exploit our perceived weakness in one fell swoop by going to Steve Smith early and often. And I’m not sure that is a good thing for the Falcons. Jake is certainly struggling but I think it is a mistake to write him off as washed-up just yet. I imagine he’s salivating at the chance to save his career by passing all over the young secondary of a divisional rival.

by Leon07 on Sep 16, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

I totally agree with this. Fox trusts Delhomme and its not like hes never played a good game of football in his life. It only takes one game to redeem yourself.

New Orleans Hornets: The most inconsistent team in the NBA.

by Grayson on Sep 16, 2009 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fox often likes to the opposite of the obvious

For example it use to be quite common for him to run up the middle or throw a screen pass on 3rd and long. So you might see Jake come out guns a blazin. Don’t forget one of the Panthers easiest ways to win is to get Steve Smith involved early and often.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 16, 2009 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Absolutely

Fox wants to run the ball – DeAngelo and Stewart are great. They’ve definitely got to shut down the run first. Second priority is to blanket Steve Smith. None of the other guys scare me, and Delhomme’s gonna throw it to Smith whether he’s open or not:

Smith was the intended receiver on four different interceptions on Sunday. I don’t know when that’s happened last, but it might very well be the first time. He wasn’t great even when the ball came closer to him, catching three of the other nine passes for a total of 21 yards. Ouch.

-from Football Outsiders Quick Reads.

by orang3b on Sep 16, 2009 9:27 AM EDT reply actions  

I pretty sure Stewart is not 100%.

I’m not even sure he’ll play.

I have six locks on my door all in a row. When I go out, I only lock every other one. I figure no matter how long somebody stands there picking the locks, they are always locking three.

Elayne Boosler

by NaGaNole on Sep 16, 2009 9:56 AM EDT reply actions  

He's not 100%

But I haven’t heard any indication that he might not play yet. I’ll keep my eyes open.

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by Dave Choate on Sep 16, 2009 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Those 08' stats you boasted above, was with him playing most the season on a soar toe

He’s excellent at playing through pain, so not being 100% doesn’t mean too much. However, DeAngelo is more illusive and better at making big plays out of nothing… So you’d probably be worse off if Stewart doesn’t play much.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 16, 2009 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's not like Williams would get his carries...

They’d go to Goodsen….

I have six locks on my door all in a row. When I go out, I only lock every other one. I figure no matter how long somebody stands there picking the locks, they are always locking three.

Elayne Boosler

by NaGaNole on Sep 17, 2009 9:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not a chance

Unless they’re way behind or way ahead. The guy has fumble issues to correct before Fox will put him in real situations.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 17, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Get Out Front Early

Yes, I’m a Panthers fan but not a troll…

Following the Panthers for many years, one thing I have learned. You never know what you are going to get. One week they look like the team to beat all and the next you wonder if there should be a division 2 in the NFL.

run, run, run. That is the plan. But Fox has shown recently (Arizona and Philly) that if they get down, even early, they seem to abandon the run which puts Jake and the OL in trouble (not defending Jake).

The best thing you can do is get out to an early 14 point + lead.

Good luck.

by PanthersFan1 on Sep 16, 2009 10:00 AM EDT reply actions  

thanks for stopping by

and that is what I am banking on for the win. The Falcons are big on “fast starts” and if we can get up early, hopefully Jake will feed our defense the ball. If the running game gets going early though, the score could be closer than any of us Falcons fans would like.

I know that our coaching staff isn’t taking the Panthers last performance as an indicator of their talent and will come prepared to face off against a tough Division rival. With this kind of rivalry, the game could always go either way.

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Sep 16, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

That is the answer!!!

The Falcons are young on defense and must rely on the offense to keep them off the field. I believe that as long as our defense can stop the run and make an opposing team one dimensional we can beat anybody.

by Theofratus on Sep 16, 2009 10:04 AM EDT reply actions  

If the Falcons focus on the run and don't get consistent pressure on Delhomme, then they might very well lose

The Panther’s running game torched really good run defenses multiple times last year. And DeAngelo can create 30 yard runs even if your defense does everything right. These ugly games the Panthers have come from teams focusing on pressuring Jake, and causing him to turn the ball over. The Blitz is your best defense.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 16, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is off topic

but has anyone heard when and if Tye Hill will get his shot. Are there any reports about how he’s doing at practice?

by Fear Me on Sep 16, 2009 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

The problem is...

…, and i think someone else hinted at it above, as much as Fox wants to run, he’s surely watching game tape of our run defense and having to come up with other options. It would be unwise of him to watch tape of a team completely shutting down the run and then base his entire game plan on running.

Obviously he’ll run the ball a good amount since he has 2 good backs, but i think it would be incorrect to assume that’s all they are going to do all day long. Having said that, given Delhomme’s recent performances, i’m sure he WISHES he could do that. But when you have a receiver like Smith, no matter how bad your QB is playing, you’ve gotta have him in the gameplan somewhere.

I expect their offensive attack to be a little more balanced than we might think. If our defense plays like they did last week – fast, fierce, and getting great pressure – then it won’t really matter what they do.

What I really like in this game is the opportunities it creates for our defensive line to completely dominate. Not a lot of people are mentioning this, but we faced a couple of really good lines last week and just completely controlled them (yes, we had trouble with Miami’s defensive line, but that was more because they were stacking the box all day to stop Turner, so it was understandable). If we can do that against Miami, I see no reason we can’t do the same against Carolina, and perhaps even more effectively.

by cheshire falcon on Sep 16, 2009 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

I know this is a bit off topic

But any word on Peria Jerry?

New Orleans Hornets: The most inconsistent team in the NBA.

by Grayson on Sep 16, 2009 6:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Fine.

Practiced fully today, per KFFL.

by BigManChili on Sep 16, 2009 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is it true that there are a lot of blue jerseys in the stands when the Panthers come to town?

I heard today that Falcon fan’s get quite annoyed because of the abundance of Panther fans living in ATL or making the trip down I-85. Is this true? Because sometimes it seems like there aren’t that many Panther jerseys in our own stadium.

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 16, 2009 6:50 PM EDT reply actions  

I wouldn't be surprised

I was at the opening kickoff game against Miami and it seemed like 20% of the fans there were Miami supporters. I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if Carolina fans came trying to “outfill” our house.

know what you believe in and why you believe in it

by MentallyMIA on Sep 16, 2009 8:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sounds like you guys have the same problem we do

Wine and cheese PSL owners, selling their tickets to whomever. At least you didn’t have to deal with Philly fans… in a 28 point loss!

on behalf of tha dirty south: soul food, carolina blue, southern hospitality, and tha queen city

by southtunnel on Sep 16, 2009 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

i agree

plan against the run and make delhomme throw the ball. it’s a good gamble with the way he has been playing and our defensive backs could use the challenge because, in week 3 there will be no shortage of throws.

Some people think football is a matter of life and death. I don't like that attitude. I can assure them it is much more serious than that. - Bill Shankly

by armchair quarterback on Sep 16, 2009 8:20 PM EDT reply actions  

DeAngelo / Stewart combo is very good.

I expect the Panthers to run about 70 % of the time

Hope Falcons get some carries to Norwood to compliment Burner as the season progresses

by WarWolf on Sep 18, 2009 9:42 PM EDT reply actions  

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