The Great Debate About TE L.J. Smith
via www.philadelphiaeagles.com
No free agent target for the Falcons has divided this fanbase more than L.J. Smith.
I realize that's not saying much. Thomas Dimitroff has escaped into his underground lair underneath Flowery Branch every time a free agent comes near the place, so it's not like we've had a lot of chances to vent our collective spleen. Still, there's a small percentage of folks who want to see what Smith can do and a very large percentage who think he's doomed to fail. We're a reactionary bunch.
So what exactly is wrong with L.J. Smith, who will be visiting with the team Thursday? I'm starting this post with the opinion that he's worth a gamble at a low price because I don't think that with our myriad defensive needs, our good Comrade needs to be chasing after tight ends in the first day of the draft. I'd really prefer he didn't even bother. So while Smith hasn't exactly lit the world on fire the last six years with the Iggles, he can undeniably catch a few passes.
Let's take a quick gander at his career stats. All done? Okay, what have you noticed? That's right, (insert name here), he's dropped off a cliff a little bit the last two years. During his peak years of 2005 and 2006, Smith hauled in more than 50 passes at an average of about 40 yards a game. I'd call that respectable, but not great. The last two years, he's averaged about 20 yards a game and last year averaged a putrid 8.1 yards per catch. To put that in some perspective, Justin Peelle averaged 10.6, and I don't think any of us saw him doing wonderful things with the football after most of his admittedly scant catches. It wouldn't appear that he's got a whole lot of traction there, even with those admittedly scant stats.
So the signs there aren't great, true. But surely Philadelphia fans will say something nice about a guy who played for them for six years, right? Let's see what Bleeding Green Nation reader foos05 has to say:
Awesome! He can officially be useless somewhere else!
Other comments include how many touchdown passes he's dropped, how he whiffs on blocks and how he spends his off-seasons learning to play the guitar.
Based on the seeming statistical decline, the testimony from Eagles fans and the fact that Smith would almost certainly get on the field often if the Falcons signed him, I'm revising my stance to say only if he comes so cheaply that he makes penny candy look expensive. I remain convinced that the first round in particular is not the place we want to address tight end, but it's still clear the position needs an upgrade over the Ben Hartsock and Peelle tandem.
Is L.J. Smith that upgrade? There doesn't seem to be a whole lot of evidence for that, but I'll let you guys debate it.
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35 comments
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Comments
I agree completely
For cheap, I won’t mind having him. We do need 3 solid TEs after Rader proved he does more good for the opposing team. Hartstock and Peele aren’t phenomenal, but they are far from insignificant.
For the right price, I’d like to see him help us get through another year, but picking up a TE a little later in the draft and letting him grow on the practice squad for a year wouldn’t be too bad of an option.
My opinion of this guy is going to be very dependent on the price – if he is cheap, I’ll be hailing TD’s name (per norm), if he gets picked up way over what I would like to see, I’ll have a nice little “wtf is going on with the management I blindly trust” rant.
by MentallyMIA on Mar 5, 2009 8:07 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Zinger
He didn’t work out so well. But there may be a diamond or two in the seventh-round-rough.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 5, 2009 11:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
we dont have a 7th round pick
thats what we gave Denver for Foxworth
go hard or go home
by TO falcon on Mar 5, 2009 11:41 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Nope
Not that any seventh rounders hung around last year, so no biggie…
by Dave the Falconer on Mar 5, 2009 1:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's see what Eagles fan say about LJ...
Awesome! He can officially be useless somewhere else!
he held so much promise and never came through
Fuck you LJ. Get the fuck out of this town and dont even come back for a cheese steak.
1. If had a dollar for every touchdown pass he’s dropped since he’s been there, I’d be able to pay my short term parking bill in full at the airport.
2. Tired of watching him carry the ball like a loaf of bread.
3. Hope Turner and Ryan are ready for that end blitz when LJ whiffs a block.
4. I’ll be able to laugh, rather in cringe when I read articles about him spending his offseason learning how to play the guitar to woo the ladies
5. Not our problem anymore – Adios stiff!
he will be an amazing TE now just to spite us
He has had the skill set to be an elite TE. Good luck, Atlanta!
_______________
I’m sure we all have our variance of opinions. So its nice to hear it from the source of current teams fans as well.
"Just want the Falcons to win a bowl before I'm gone!"
by Edgecrusher211 on Mar 5, 2009 8:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Where art thou...
Martrez Milner? Oh, on the giants…Anyhow, I think signing Smith’s a bad idea, I’m sure 99% of the readers of this site agree with me. I’d prefer to play with three backs (mughelli, turner & snelling) in the backfield at the same time, rather then have smith on the field. I may actually invent that formation in Madden when I go home from work and see how it plays out…
by Hamburger on Mar 5, 2009 8:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Or Norwood
He obviously could be one of the three as well, my point being that if we are looking for someone to create mismatches with linebackers and defensive backs (the job off a tight end) as well as to do a solid job of blocking, we’re probably better off using our quartet of running backs / full back, to perform the same job, with no additional expense, and most likely better results. I know its not a “bright” idea, but neither is signing LJ Smith, thats the point of my incoherent ramblings…
by Hamburger on Mar 5, 2009 8:49 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't like the idea of that deal going down
and frankly, I really don’t see where the team has the need. Do we need a better long-term solution at the TE position? Sure, but the TE position hasn’t seemed to play a prominant role in our offense and if Smith is taking anything away from his time in Jacksonville, then it probably never will. I think Hartsock and Peele can fill the gap just fine until we find a talented pass-catching TE.
If it goes down as an extremely cheap signing just to add depth, then that’s really not that bad of a thing. More depth really is never a bad thing to have. But if this guy is looking for starter money and expects to play a large role in the offense, then I think we are better served just holding still with what we’ve got.
by Jesse28 on Mar 5, 2009 9:29 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
My four cents ...
Four things:
1. Philly fans are NEVER happy. So … while I respect the viewpts of their fanbase as a whole, I don’t know how much credibility we can assign to their opinions.
2. I agree that he needs to come cheap. But let’s be honest, TD isn’t going to throw a ridiculous contract at this guy. He isn’t A Gates, T Gonzalez, or C Cooley. He’s not even in the same zip code as those guys. So, given his mediocrity in recent years, he might very well come at a discount.
3. McNabb was upset about his departure. In fact, he held a mtg w/ Eagle mgmt re: whether they were planning on bringing in other offensive weapons (in light of Smith’s departure). To me, that says something, namely that the kid has potential.
4. I’ve started to think Dave and Company may be right about not pursuing a TE early in the draft. Our defensive needs are too great right now (to justify it).
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 5, 2009 11:36 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
#3. That never happened. McNabb never did anything in light of LJ’s departure. LJ wasn’t even the starter at TE last year. He hasn’t really started for the Eagles in two years.
by JasonB on Mar 5, 2009 1:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well ...
OK, maybe it wasn’t all about Smith, but he was concerned about the lack of offensive weapons. We’ll never know what was/was not said in that meeting, but the meeting itself took place. I’ll defer to your judgment, since you’ve certainly watched more Eagles games than I have.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 5, 2009 1:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Although ...
This article seems to suggest he did care: http://insidetheiggles.com/2008/02/04/mcnabb-lobbies-for-lj-smith/
"I do [want Smith back]," McNabb said. "He’s a big part of our offense. It was unfortunate that he was hurt in his contract year. He was working very hard to get ready for the season, and then he had the abdominal strain or sports hernia, and the groin injury. That’s tough. He’s got to get down in the three-point stance with those injuries, and he had to be fatigued, too."
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 5, 2009 1:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
my points as well
1. Even if LJ comes cheap, his game is full of flaws. The falcons are primary a running team and he can’t block. Add to the fact he’s loaded with ability but when will he perform?
2. Who says we have to address our tight end needs this year or at the moment?
3. The Falcons have enough tight ends on the roster for pass catching and blocking which can carry them into next year. Then they can set their sites on Jermaine Gresham, now that’s Tight End.
4. I agree and stated in several messages, this draft will be defense! Obviously the organization doesn’t want to get involved with older players with hefty contracts. They want to build a defense of young talent for a long period of time.
"Just want the Falcons to win a bowl before I'm gone!"
by Edgecrusher211 on Mar 5, 2009 12:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I think you hit the nail ...
While TE is a need, it isn’t on that needs to be filled for the Birds to be successful this year. While our existing TE corps isn’t exactly stellar, they’re serviceable.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 5, 2009 12:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Personally I’m a big fan of Justin Peele, he’s a solid blocker and can catch when his number is called. Look, it boils down to this, I say sign L.J. to a 3 year $6 Million contract with $2 Million guaranteed, then dump him in year 3. The only reason I am saying this is because I am terrified of taking Pettigrew in the first round…sorry but I would be severly disappointed if TD calls that name out in round 1. Or don’t add him and take a shot in the 5th round on a flier!
by Chandler12 on Mar 5, 2009 12:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Long time no see
Since the fantasy football league ended, at least. How’s it going?
by Dave the Falconer on Mar 5, 2009 1:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good to be back
Sorry for the hibernation. Things are great and I can’t wait for the draft (as I’m sure all of you as well). I’m liking the players we resigned (Chauncey) and glad we have not overpaid on some (Foxworth) and sad to see Brooking go. It’s all for the best, but I will miss seeing #56 on the field every week. From what I have read you all are doing a great job on here and I’m glad to be back!
Go Falcons!
by Chandler12 on Mar 6, 2009 2:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I really don’t want Pettigrew in the first either. I want defense!
Sean Smith, Clint Sintim, Sammie Lee Hill, Scott McKillop, Steven Gardner…I don’t care how they get those guys…I just want them…
Peele can catch and block and can be valuable for a year until Gresham becomes available.
"Just want the Falcons to win a bowl before I'm gone!"
by Edgecrusher211 on Mar 5, 2009 12:42 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Ugh...
I want Leonard Pope, but he comes with a third-round pick attached.
by joshmassey on Mar 5, 2009 1:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
L.J.
could it be that the reason he droped so many passes is because mcnabb sucks
by andrew783 on Mar 5, 2009 2:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
$$$
Take any amount of money would have to spend on LJ and give it to a decent defensive free agent (Jermain Phillips). Then draft a TE in the middle rounds to compete with Peele. Who knows, maybe we can find a gem.
Granted LJ could be twice as good as Peele, but that ain’t saying much. Neither LJ or Peele are gonna light the world on fire.
Falcon Fans UNITE!
by Blue Falcon on Mar 5, 2009 2:59 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Tight end vs. Tight Budget
Granted……L.J. might be an upgrade at the position but the TE position is very deep in the draft this year with bigger, faster, better blocking TE’s. Let’s not forget that we need to add some veteran leadership to the defensive side of the ball……..enter Peterson from J-ville or lure Cato June, who’s been very servicable, away from our division rival the Buc’s. We can address the Safety position with the first round pick …..enter the kid from Utah or the Bama Boy and hit the TE position in the 2nd round. There’s nothing sexy at all about the CB’s that are available this year but a supporting cast as well as DT depth could be obtained in the later rounds.
by DocBurnett on Mar 5, 2009 10:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I like this plan.
Except I’d wait until the 3rd to draft a TE.
We’d be better off picking an OLB or DT in the 2nd.
Falcon Fans UNITE!
by Blue Falcon on Mar 6, 2009 12:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I like the Falcons
So I would strongly advise against L.J. I mean if you can’t perform during your contract year, what does that tell you about when he’s paid.
by Igglesfan13 on Mar 6, 2009 1:37 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Maybe he's like Bizarro
And only plays well in years where he isn’t faced with a looming contract?
Please don’t take my foolish dreams away from me.
by Dave the Falconer on Mar 6, 2009 2:16 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
To be fair ...
It’s a little difficult to perform when you’re injured.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 6, 2009 9:30 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe its just me,
but I just don’t see the need in the TE position. It doesn’t play a major role i the offense from a production standpoint, outside of blocking, which we have two very capable guys who can do that. Signing another TE would just be a waste of money and drafting one would be a waste of a pick when we have many more pressing need on defense.
I guess I’m just confused as to where this TE firestorm came from.
by Jesse28 on Mar 6, 2009 8:46 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I feel ya
But maybe the reason it doesn’t play a major role … is attributable to a lack of personnel. I might be off, but I thought Pelle’s blocking ability was somewhat limited. To that effect, Hartsock can’t catch the ball for his life. I agree that our existing offense is serviceable, but IMO, we need a TE upgrade in the next year or two.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 6, 2009 9:33 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh most definitely
I would agree with the need to upgrade in a year or two.
by Jesse28 on Mar 6, 2009 1:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a little late with this
But I had to look it up, so forgive me.
Listen, I’m a HUUUGE Football Outsiders fan, and they’ve been killing him for years (one of their writers is an Eagles fan – and just yesterday he made a joke about LJ dropping a baby on the concrete). Some examples:
1) Part of his quote in this year’s book (Pro Football Prospectus 2008) said, “Smith received the franchise tag following the season. If it could, the franchise tag would’ve hired a lawyer and sued for character defamation”. Does that sound like somebody we want??
2) He was badly, BADLY outplayed by Brent Celek the last 2 years in their #‘s (he was basically 15% worse than the average TE and Celek was 20% better than an average TE over that time), and was outplayed by Matt Schobel a couple years before that. The only reason he had that “big year” in 2005 was that the Eagles receivers were TO and some other chumps – and when TO got hurt (he only played 7 games) they just kept chucking him the ball. That year they threw him 114 passes (that’s Gonzalez, Whitten, and Gates territory), but he was STILL below average on a per play basis (by FO’s #’s).
3) Probably the only reason he got the franchise tag in the first place was because Celek had offseason shoulder surgery (before last season). Part of Celek’s quote in PFP’08 was "By the end of the year, Celek could replace Smith in the starting lineup.
4) His catch rate the last several years, working back from last year: 58% 50, 63, 59, 63. I’m sorry, but for a “receiving” Tight End, that just sucks. His Catch Rate should be up near 70, or he should have a huge yards/catch # from running deeper routes. Justin Peele looked better with FO’s #‘s than he did. And Peele’s Catch Rate last year was 65 (granted on only 23 passes). I think I’m pretty much convinced that LJ Smith is NOT an upgrade to the TE position!
5) I know there’s no better FA Tight Ends. But to put it in simple terms – if we’re competing with the Detroit Lions for Free Agents, we’re going after the wrong guys.
Sorry that was so long, but I had to get it off my chest.
by orang3b on Mar 6, 2009 1:39 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I take any criticism from FO seriously
The deeper stats in football are still very much overlooked, but they know their flizflam. If he’s that far below average, maybe we would be better off with Peelle.
by Dave the Falconer on Mar 6, 2009 1:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Dave,
He hasn’t always been that far below average – just the last two years (when he was also dealing with some injuries). But he has never been really that far ABOVE average, either – even in his best seasons.
Also, I forgot to mention one thing. The last 5 years or so, when he’s been “average” at best – the Eagles Offense has almost always been well above average. McNabb, Westbrook, other TE’s, etc.
So if LJ Smith’s the answer – you’re asking the wrong question.
by orang3b on Mar 6, 2009 2:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
This is what I was thinking...
if we’re competing with the Detroit Lions for Free Agents, we’re going after the wrong guys.
Although, this is totally relative to the player in question.
by Jesse28 on Mar 6, 2009 2:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't ever apologize for a post like that ...
That is some VERY good researching.
"He's getting better, but he's not there yet ..."
- Bobby Cox (talking about Boyer)
by FrankyWren on Mar 6, 2009 5:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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