FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 13

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via i37.tinypic.com

Here's this week's tall, frothy tankard of numbers, with which to drown your sorrows.  Have fun!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

89.0

Colts

12-0-0

27.6

16.8

0.865

0.915

1.780

2

83.2

Vikings

10-2-0

29.9

19.4

0.937

0.728

1.665

3

82.5

Patriots

7-5-0

27.3

18.7

0.855

0.794

1.649

4

79.8

Packers

8-4-0

26.9

19.1

0.837

0.759

1.596

5

78.4

Saints

12-0-0

36.7

20.9

0.997

0.570

1.568

6

78.2

Eagles

8-4-0

27.3

19.6

0.851

0.712

1.563

7

77.5

Chargers

9-3-0

28.5

20.2

0.898

0.653

1.551

8

74.2

Cowboys

8-4-0

23.3

17.8

0.623

0.861

1.484

9

72.1

Cardinals

8-4-0

24.8

19.5

0.721

0.720

1.441

10

71.4

Bengals

9-3-0

21.2

15.6

0.473

0.956

1.429

11

71.3

Ravens

6-6-0

22.6

17.9

0.576

0.850

1.426

12

66.4

Jets

6-6-0

20.8

17.3

0.443

0.886

1.329

13

66.3

Steelers

6-6-0

22.7

19.3

0.582

0.744

1.325

14

65.0

Broncos

8-4-0

20.0

16.8

0.390

0.911

1.301

15

57.4

49ers

5-7-0

20.4

19.4

0.419

0.728

1.147

16

52.0

Texans

5-7-0

23.1

22.2

0.611

0.428

1.040

17

50.7

Giants

7-5-0

25.3

23.8

0.751

0.263

1.014

18

46.7

Falcons

6-6-0

23.3

23.3

0.623

0.312

0.935

19

43.7

Redskins

3-9-0

16.7

19.8

0.187

0.687

0.874

20

41.3

Seahawks

5-7-0

20.3

22.3

0.407

0.419

0.826

21

40.1

Dolphins

6-6-0

23.2

24.7

0.617

0.185

0.802

22

37.0

Bears

5-7-0

19.4

22.5

0.349

0.391

0.741

23

36.0

Panthers

5-7-0

17.9

21.8

0.255

0.466

0.721

24

33.5

Jaguars

7-5-0

18.8

22.8

0.306

0.364

0.670

25

32.9

Bills

4-8-0

16.6

21.8

0.183

0.476

0.659

26

25.5

Titans

5-7-0

20.5

26.3

0.425

0.085

0.510

27

16.3

Raiders

4-8-0

11.8

23.5

0.038

0.287

0.325

28

11.2

Chiefs

3-9-0

16.3

27.2

0.171

0.053

0.225

29

11.1

Lions

2-10-0

17.2

29.8

0.213

0.009

0.221

30

9.1

Buccaneers

1-11-0

15.6

27.5

0.139

0.044

0.183

31

7.8

Browns

1-11-0

12.1

25.8

0.042

0.114

0.156

32

6.4

Rams

1-11-0

11.6

26.2

0.035

0.092

0.127

 

 

 

 

means:

21.5

21.5

 

 

 

 

          Our Falcons only dropped 2 spots in the rankings, hooray?  Still no stat-love for our Saints friends, nothing personal guys!  The Eagles moved up 4 slots; Packers, Cardinals and Panthers up 2.  Ravens & Bills were down 3.

          There's your lucky week 13 numbers, friends!  Spreadsheet download is hereKampai!

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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