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A Look At The Falcons Red Zone Performance: Week 12

This post is sponsored by Comcast and their NFL RedZone channel.  If you're looking to check out red zone action as it happens,  then you need Comcast's NFL RedZone. Because if it's not Comcast, your television will explode.


Last week, someone mentioned that they would like to see red zone defensive statistics for the Atlanta Falcons in addition to my weekly roundup, so we'll get to that first.

First of all, according to my laser-like calculations, the Falcons are converting almost 86% of their red zone opportunities, as long as you count field goals. Field goals account for 30% of that total. If we remove those entirely (the extremely masculine view that field goals are for sissies and pinko communists), we'd see the Falcons converting approximately 55% of their chances. While both of those are fairly robust totals, they pale in comparison to teams like the Indianapolis Colts, who convert well over 90% of their chances overall and nearly 70% in the form of touchdowns. It hasn't helped, of course, that our effectiveness inside the 20 has been declining in recent weeks due to injuries and other such infirmaries. And, you know, it is a pretty small sample size.

But you came here for the defense, and I shall deliver. Again, if you account for field goals and factor them in equally with touchdowns, opponents are converting against us at an almost 83% clip, or just slightly worse than the rate at which we're converting against them. They're 3% behind us in a touchdown-only red zone conversion rate, as well, at about 52%.

Can you draw any important conclusions from those numbers? Nothing more than we've ever tried to do with this particular feature, but it's interesting nonetheless. And as for the last week? Somehow we only got in the red zone twice—which might explain the low point total—and converted on a field goal and touchdown. Now if we could only get there a little more often....

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thank for doing the stats

seems like we’re just little bit better in red zone offence/defence compared to our opposition. I think earlier in the season the difference was greater, and still the games were very close. one of the reasons for this, other than red-zone stats, was, in my opinion, the difference in big-yardage plays. I think we’re doing much worse than our opposition in that category, although I don’t have the stats. But then again, that must be the result of poor pass defence/inconsistent offence combo.

by Gemini-RU on Dec 4, 2009 10:30 AM EST reply actions  

Our RZ rankings are almost the same as our points rankings

When you look at RZ scoring % (TDs and FGs), the Falcons rank 10th on offense and 18th on defense. Points per game are quite similar, we’re tied for 8th offensively and 19th defensively.

That’s not true for all teams though. Guess who’s #1 in offensive RZ%? Tampa Bay, which is 28th in scoring PPG. The Cowboys are 25th in defensive RZ% despite only allowing 16.5 PPG (2nd place). Go figure.

by tom slick on Dec 4, 2009 1:57 PM EST reply actions  

exactly why

I am not a stats kinda guy. In a lot of cases you can use them to make your team look better than they actually are and vice verca. I say play the game and see who wins. sometimes the stats are overwelmingly in the losing teams favor.

Life is a garden. Dig it!

by Hardcore Falcon on Dec 4, 2009 2:26 PM EST up reply actions  

"Because if it's not Comcast, your television will explode."

I really, really, really hope this is their slogan. If it’s not, kudos to you, Dave, for making that up. I really appreciate humor like that.

"Ryan, under center. Single receiver set, time on his side. Ryan, gonna throw. First professional pass.....CAUGHT!! Jenkins! 30! 25! 20! 15! 10! 5! He lives in Atlanta!!!"

by Zippo729 on Dec 5, 2009 4:20 AM EST reply actions  

Red Zone does not take into account those clutch 4th quarter times that decide the game.

Falcons goal line stand won the Bears game.

Falcons 4th down TD last week beat the Bucs.

If there was a way to look at key game deciding Red Zone results, I bet Atlanta would look pretty good.

by WarWolf on Dec 5, 2009 3:20 PM EST reply actions  

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