FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 16

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via i37.tinypic.com

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for new readers):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

87.4

Patriots

10-5-0

26.7

16.7

0.838

0.911

1.749

2

83.4

Colts

14-1-0

27.3

18.5

0.865

0.804

1.668

3

82.4

Ravens

8-7-0

24.7

16.5

0.728

0.920

1.647

4

82.0

Packers

10-5-0

28.5

19.3

0.910

0.729

1.639

5

79.0

Chargers

12-3-0

28.7

20.0

0.916

0.663

1.579

6

76.7

Vikings

11-4-0

28.4

20.3

0.906

0.628

1.534

7

76.0

Saints

13-2-0

33.3

21.2

0.988

0.533

1.521

8

74.4

Cowboys

10-5-0

22.5

16.7

0.574

0.914

1.488

9

74.1

Eagles

11-4-0

28.6

20.9

0.912

0.570

1.482

10

71.8

Cardinals

10-5-0

24.5

19.5

0.719

0.716

1.435

11

69.5

Jets

8-7-0

20.7

15.7

0.443

0.948

1.391

12

65.7

Bengals

10-5-0

20.3

16.9

0.413

0.901

1.314

13

63.9

Texans

8-7-0

23.6

20.4

0.656

0.621

1.277

14

62.1

Steelers

8-7-0

22.5

20.0

0.579

0.663

1.242

15

60.6

49ers

7-8-0

20.1

18.3

0.398

0.814

1.212

16

59.3

Broncos

8-7-0

20.1

18.7

0.398

0.788

1.186

17

57.9

Falcons

8-7-0

22.9

21.0

0.604

0.555

1.159

18

51.3

Panthers

7-8-0

19.5

19.9

0.350

0.677

1.027

19

47.4

Giants

8-7-0

26.3

25.5

0.822

0.126

0.948

20

40.4

Dolphins

7-8-0

22.4

24.0

0.569

0.239

0.808

21

36.8

Redskins

4-11-0

16.4

20.9

0.166

0.570

0.736

22

33.9

Titans

7-8-0

22.5

25.9

0.574

0.104

0.678

23

32.0

Bills

5-10-0

15.2

21.3

0.115

0.525

0.640

24

31.4

Bears

6-9-0

19.3

23.5

0.341

0.288

0.629

25

26.1

Jaguars

7-8-0

18.2

23.8

0.265

0.257

0.522

26

20.5

Seahawks

5-10-0

17.8

24.9

0.241

0.170

0.411

27

17.6

Browns

4-11-0

14.8

23.9

0.101

0.251

0.352

28

14.5

Raiders

5-10-0

12.3

23.9

0.039

0.251

0.290

29

13.5

Buccaneers

3-12-0

15.6

25.3

0.131

0.138

0.269

30

12.5

Chiefs

3-12-0

16.7

26.7

0.179

0.072

0.251

31

7.5

Lions

2-13-0

15.9

30.5

0.145

0.006

0.150

32

3.9

Rams

1-14-0

11.3

27.2

0.026

0.053

0.079

 

means:

21.5

21.5

 

The Packers rose 3 spots, Patriots & Browns 2.  Eagles fell 4 slots; Vikings, Giants, Chiefs down 2.  Happy New Year, gents.

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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