via i37.tinypic.com
RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for new readers):
At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats. The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked. The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.
Here's how the ratings are calculated. The first step is to calculate two simple stats: Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team. These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed. Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1. (This isn't something pulled from thin air. It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique. The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.) You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense. Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team. Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive. There you go. Simple, right?
|
Rank |
Power Rating |
W-L-T |
PF/G |
PA/G |
|
Offense Rating |
Defense Rating |
Total |
||
|
1 |
87.4 |
10-5-0 |
26.7 |
16.7 |
0.838 |
0.911 |
1.749 |
|||
|
2 |
83.4 |
14-1-0 |
27.3 |
18.5 |
0.865 |
0.804 |
1.668 |
|||
|
3 |
82.4 |
8-7-0 |
24.7 |
16.5 |
0.728 |
0.920 |
1.647 |
|||
|
4 |
82.0 |
10-5-0 |
28.5 |
19.3 |
0.910 |
0.729 |
1.639 |
|||
|
5 |
79.0 |
12-3-0 |
28.7 |
20.0 |
0.916 |
0.663 |
1.579 |
|||
|
6 |
76.7 |
11-4-0 |
28.4 |
20.3 |
0.906 |
0.628 |
1.534 |
|||
|
7 |
76.0 |
13-2-0 |
33.3 |
21.2 |
0.988 |
0.533 |
1.521 |
|||
|
8 |
74.4 |
10-5-0 |
22.5 |
16.7 |
0.574 |
0.914 |
1.488 |
|||
|
9 |
74.1 |
11-4-0 |
28.6 |
20.9 |
0.912 |
0.570 |
1.482 |
|||
|
10 |
71.8 |
10-5-0 |
24.5 |
19.5 |
0.719 |
0.716 |
1.435 |
|||
|
11 |
69.5 |
8-7-0 |
20.7 |
15.7 |
0.443 |
0.948 |
1.391 |
|||
|
12 |
65.7 |
10-5-0 |
20.3 |
16.9 |
0.413 |
0.901 |
1.314 |
|||
|
13 |
63.9 |
8-7-0 |
23.6 |
20.4 |
0.656 |
0.621 |
1.277 |
|||
|
14 |
62.1 |
8-7-0 |
22.5 |
20.0 |
0.579 |
0.663 |
1.242 |
|||
|
15 |
60.6 |
7-8-0 |
20.1 |
18.3 |
0.398 |
0.814 |
1.212 |
|||
|
16 |
59.3 |
8-7-0 |
20.1 |
18.7 |
0.398 |
0.788 |
1.186 |
|||
|
17 |
57.9 |
8-7-0 |
22.9 |
21.0 |
0.604 |
0.555 |
1.159 |
|||
|
18 |
51.3 |
7-8-0 |
19.5 |
19.9 |
0.350 |
0.677 |
1.027 |
|||
|
19 |
47.4 |
8-7-0 |
26.3 |
25.5 |
0.822 |
0.126 |
0.948 |
|||
|
20 |
40.4 |
7-8-0 |
22.4 |
24.0 |
0.569 |
0.239 |
0.808 |
|||
|
21 |
36.8 |
4-11-0 |
16.4 |
20.9 |
0.166 |
0.570 |
0.736 |
|||
|
22 |
33.9 |
7-8-0 |
22.5 |
25.9 |
0.574 |
0.104 |
0.678 |
|||
|
23 |
32.0 |
5-10-0 |
15.2 |
21.3 |
0.115 |
0.525 |
0.640 |
|||
|
24 |
31.4 |
6-9-0 |
19.3 |
23.5 |
0.341 |
0.288 |
0.629 |
|||
|
25 |
26.1 |
7-8-0 |
18.2 |
23.8 |
0.265 |
0.257 |
0.522 |
|||
|
26 |
20.5 |
5-10-0 |
17.8 |
24.9 |
0.241 |
0.170 |
0.411 |
|||
|
27 |
17.6 |
4-11-0 |
14.8 |
23.9 |
0.101 |
0.251 |
0.352 |
|||
|
28 |
14.5 |
5-10-0 |
12.3 |
23.9 |
0.039 |
0.251 |
0.290 |
|||
|
29 |
13.5 |
3-12-0 |
15.6 |
25.3 |
0.131 |
0.138 |
0.269 |
|||
|
30 |
12.5 |
3-12-0 |
16.7 |
26.7 |
0.179 |
0.072 |
0.251 |
|||
|
31 |
7.5 |
2-13-0 |
15.9 |
30.5 |
0.145 |
0.006 |
0.150 |
|||
|
32 |
3.9 |
1-14-0 |
11.3 |
27.2 |
0.026 |
0.053 |
0.079 |
|||
|
|
means: |
21.5 |
21.5 |
|
The Packers rose 3 spots, Patriots & Browns 2. Eagles fell 4 slots; Vikings, Giants, Chiefs down 2. Happy New Year, gents.
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