A Look Ahead and A Look Back

by Adam Schultz on Dec 16, 2009 10:21 AM EST in Editorial

Included with today's Look Ahead is a look back at the original predictions I made back in September. Oh joy.

New York Jets
Where: Giants Stadium
When: Sunday December 20th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Because New Yorkers couldn’t get enough of us the first go round against the Giants.

Importance: MUST WIN

Notes: Simply put, they've got a great defense and a terrible offense. We will need every key part of our offense to take home a W here.

The Falcons win if: the injury bug takes the day off.

The Jets win if: Sanchez comes to play.

Prediction: Falcons lose, seeing as they're 1-6 on the road.

Buffalo Bills
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday December 27th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: CBS
Why: Heck if I know.

Importance: MUST WIN

Notes: The Bills are the Bills and the Falcons are the Falcons. As this is the Falcons' last home game and we might even be lucky enough to have a certain player back, I think we come out swinging in this one.

The Falcons win if: they can pressure the QB and keep TO in check.

The Bills win if: our defense fails to do the above.

Prediction: Falcons win a close one.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers With a Vengeance
Where: Raymond James Stadium
When: Sunday January 3rd, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: MUST WIN

Notes: Tampa Bay is terrible and Josh Freeman has looked absolutely horrendous lately. However, against our suspect secondary, Freeman looked like the second coming of Aikman. Let's hope that's not the case this time around.

The Falcons win if: the defense plays a solid 60 minutes of football

The Bucs win if: our offense can't keep up with theirs.

Prediction: Falcons win, if only by an eyelash.

Current season record: 6-7

Current season prediction: 8-8

By the time I posted this, we were 2-0 and looking at heading to New England for what was surely going to be an epic battle. Just reading this stuff makes me cringe now.

New England Patriots
Where: Gillette Stadium
When: Sunday September 27th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: To quote the great Nick Saban, "The NFL punishes success." (So does the injury bug, apparently)

Importance: Serious Business. This is a statement game no matter who wins. For the Falcons, a win would be a big "look at us!" We have gone 2-0 for the first time in a good long time and yet we're one of the quietest teams out there. We're ranked high but media squawkers are still waiting for us to prove that we belong atop the rankings with the elites. This is the perfect opportunity. Of course, for New England, a win would say "we're not that bad!" (We hung in there for about two quarters, at least...)

Notes: The Patriots are indeed beatable. The Jets managed to keep them out of the endzone. Do not, however, expect the Pats to play like that against us, especially at Gillete. This one will be a hard fought game and likely an offensive shootout. Both defenses lack a little to be desired. If our D can step up, we could win this one. (Asking our D to step up? Hmm...)

The Falcons win if: Alien and Predator (along with Babs and maybe even Anderson) get adequate pressure on Brady. As Dave the Falconer said to me "If Brady's not lying there in a twisted heap, it hasn't been a good game." Proper pressure on Brady, as the Jets demonstrated Sunday, will help the Falcons go a long way in forcing incompletes and possibly some interceptions. If we manage to create turnovers, we can stack up the points and keep the Patriots from making this one a shootout. Another thing the Falcons have to do is control the ball. If we have the lead with 2:00 to go in the fourth, we must get first downs. If Brady gets the ball back, he will orchestrate a comeback. That's just how he is. (Yea, we didn't get a single sack against Brady, if I remember correctly.)

The Patriots win if: they wake up and realize that they're the Patriots. Their defense isn't going to be stopping every one of our five quadrillion scoring assets of offense. This means we will be able to score. What the Patriots have to do is beat our defense, and the only real way they can do that is through the air. If Brady shakes his funk, his team can make this game a shootout, and the Pats excel at winning shootouts. (They woke up this time, eh?)

Prediction (right): Falcons lose. We keep it close all game long. Brady does his thing and Pats win on a FG. (Got this one right)

San Francisco 49ers
Where: Candlestick Park
When: Sunday October 11th, 2009 @ 4:05pm
Network: FOX
Why: Because the Falcons were once in the NFC West for years and we met the Niners a lot. We still beat them more than %50 of the time, though. (No we didn't. God, I need to fact-check better)

Importance: Meh. We’re not in the West anymore. (But we seem to do well when we go out west. We beat the Raiders in a shutout, we beat the Chargers, and we destroyed the Niners. Who's left?)

Notes: The Niners are now 2-0. Never thought I'd be writing that this year. Bully for Singletary's group. Frank Gore scares me. Glenn Coffee does as well. That defense? Not too worried.

The Falcons win if: they play like they did the against Miami, stuffing the run and pressuring the quarterback. (They played better than the MIA game. This game turned out to be their best performance of the season)

The Niners win if: the Falcons are jet-lagged. (Looked more like the Niners were the ones jetlagged)

Prediction (right): Falcons handle 'em. (Falcons decimated them).

Chicago Bears
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday October 18th, 2009 @ 8:20pm
Network: NBC
Why: Last year's game was the most exciting Falcon win since the NFC Championship in 1998. The NFL is obviously hoping for a repeat. (It almost was a repeat. Thankfully, it was just "almost")

Importance: Pay Attention. A loss here won't doom our season but it will certainly have an impact. Jay Cutler destroyed our defense last year with the Broncos and he looks to do it again this year with the Bears. (Yay, we won!)

Notes: Urlacher's gone but Cutler's looking good. Defense is still iffy though. (Yes.)

Prediction (right): Falcons handle 'em. (Just barely...)

Dallas Cowboys
Where: Cowboys Stadium
When: Sunday October 25th, 2009 @ 4:15pm
Network: FOX
Why: NFC "Powerhouse" meets NFC "Up-and-Comer." In other words, one team with potential faces another team with potential. ("Potential" just doesn't cut it sometimes)

Importance: Pay Attention. Dallas won't take losing to the Giants really well. They're going to win the next few. (They didn't take it very well, did they?)

Notes: Pass rush, pass rush, pass rush! Keep Romo off kilter and the game's in hand. (That worked in the first quarter...)

Prediction (right): Falcons lose a very close one. (Close? HAHAHAHAHAHA... :-( )

New Orleans Saints
Where: Superdome
When: Monday November 2nd, 2009 @ 8:30pm
Network: ESPN
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: Serious Business. If we want the Division, we have to go through Brees and co.

Notes: The New Orleans offense is, in a word, frightening. Our defense needs to play above and beyond what it's done so far this year. This will likely be our toughest game all season. (Nailed this, didn't I?)

Prediction (right): The Falcons lose but go down fighting. Offensive shootout of the year? I think so. (Nailed this one too.)

Washington Redskins
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday November 8th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Why not? The Falcons have only won 5 of the last 19 meetings of these two teams. Expect this year to be different.

Importance: Meh. This could get ugly if our D's on form. (Too bad it wasn't...)

Notes: Jason Campbell should make for some nice prey for the Abe/Biermann tandem. The Redskins look dismal on both sides of the ball. I still don't know why so many talking heads believe Campbell's the future of this franchise. (They sacked him, alot, and even took him out of the game. But they hung in with us and that's depressing).

Prediction (right): Falcons stomp 'em. (Not quite...)

Carolina Panthers Part Deux
Where: Bank of America Stadium
When: Sunday November 15th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: Serious Business, for obvious reasons.

Notes: The Panthers will either be in ruin by this time, or be much improved. I'm expecting the latter.

Prediction (wrong): Falcons squeak by with a win. (The only thing squeaking that day was Turner's ankle... :-( )

New York Giants
Where: Giants Stadium
When: Sunday November 22nd, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: To be the best, you have to beat the best.

Importance: Pay Attention. The Giants’ running game is superb. Hopefully our D can stop it. A great midseason test. (Their running game sucked, but ELI looked like his brother against us...)

Notes: Our rush D will be put to a heavy test. Our pass rush will be up against a big wall. Our secondary will have to account for a lot of threats. Our running and passing games will be up against a stout defense. A win here will be a big statement. (The way the Giants have been, it would have been more a whimper than a statement. Still...ugh)

Prediction (right): The Falcons lose, but manage to hang a bit of points against the G-Men (We "almost" beat them. Again, almost just doesn't count)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday November 29th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: Serious Business. We meet Tampa late in the season this year. A young, growing team, the Bucs could have some rhythm going into this one. (Freeman had his best rhythm of the year against us)

Notes: The Bucs stink, so far. I no longer expect them to be decent by this time. (They weren't but they still almost beat us).

Prediction (right): Falcons stomp 'em. (More like "barely got by them")

Philadelphia Eagles
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday December 6th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Because Eagles and Falcons are natural enemies.

Importance: Serious Business. Lots of history here plus You Know Who returns to the ATL. (And boy did he return)

Notes: McNabb will likely be back under center, but Michael "sack magnet" Vick will be eligible to play. Abe and Biermann will hopefully have a field day with either. The Eagles are consistently tough, and consistently kick our butts on D. With all the weapons we have now, I think the story will end a little differently this time. I’m hoping we take them behind the woodshed. If not, I’d take a regular ol’ win with a side of some stout, brick wall-like Falcons defense. (What defense? :-( )

Prediction (wrong): Falcons steal a win by a touchdown or less. (Yeah, "steal," as in get our butts handed to us)

New Orleans Saints 2: Electric Boogaloo
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday December 13th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: Serious Business. With a probable loss in the Superdome, the Birds will definitely have to win here on their home turf if the division title is to be theirs. (lol Division title? We're lucky to even be hanging with the Saints)

Notes: We have to win. We have to shut down Brees, Bush, Thomas. We have to light up the passing game, rush it down their throats, and leave them begging for mercy (they won’t get any). (We almost did it...again with the almost!)

Prediction (right): Falcons lose this one. New Orleans just looks that good. (Nailed it again)

Importance: Pay Attention. A good showing at a late road game is bound to bolster our playoff stock, should we be talented/lucky enough to have any at this point. (A playoff stock for this team? Hmm...yeah.)

Notes: They beat the Patriots, yes. But they aren't that good. Offense is iffy. Defense is stout. (True...)

Prediction: Falcons win with premier offense. (Or what's left of it...)

Buffalo Bills
Where: Georgia Dome
When: Sunday December 27th, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: CBS
Why: The Bills are expected to be better this year, especially with TO in the fold. If the Pats game is any indication, as long as they take care of their mistakes, Buffalo will be quite the formidable opponent. (Formidable? What was I thinking?)

Importance: Pay Attention for one reason; TO versus our secondary. (Really, I'm crying at this point)

Notes: When stacked against a pretty average Pats pass rush, the Buffalo OL collapsed in key situations. With our strong end rush, I don’t expect Trent Edwards to have much time in the pocket. Still, the Bills looked good against the Pats so, barring any collapses during the early and mid season, this game could be quite entertaining. (The only way this game will be entertaining is if the Falcons are up 30 at the half)

Prediction: Falcons win a close one.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers With a Vengeance
Where: Raymond James Stadium
When: Sunday January 3rd, 2009 @ 1:00pm
Network: FOX
Why: Divisional Game

Importance: Either Meh if we’ve locked a playoff spot and sit our starters or Serious Business if we need a win to take control of the division and/or earn those back-to-back winning seasons. (The former part of that sentence is laughable. The last part is still eerily resonating)

Notes: Tampa Bay will likely be looking for a win here to build momentum going into the offseason. Let's not give it to them. (This is still the same)

Prediction: Falcons win, even if they sit some starters. (What starters? We're put together with duct tape...)

tlozwarlock's old prediction record: 9-2

tlozwarlock's old season prediction: 11-5

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Comments

Offence isn’t terrible, the pass offence is pretty bad but the run offence leads the league in yards per game.

Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Dec 16, 2009 10:44 AM EST reply actions

Okay

Once again. the J E T S suck. We do not lose this game. Bank it!

Life is a garden. Dig it!

by Hardcore Falcon on Dec 16, 2009 12:35 PM EST reply actions

Love your enthusiasm

And I hope you’re right.

You have opinions. We all do. Some of yours may have to do with the Falcons. Sign up today and share them.

by Adam Schultz on Dec 16, 2009 12:36 PM EST up reply actions

I also hope you're right

that would at least one of Tloz predictions go wrong but in our favor.

but seriously, if we DO win this one, I won’t be surprised to see that both Dallas and NYG lose this weekend.

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 17, 2009 5:04 AM EST up reply actions

It's really, really depressing

To see how different your outlook was at the beginning of the season as compared to now. Life, eh?

by Dave Choate on Dec 16, 2009 1:28 PM EST reply actions

The original predictions weren't that bad...

assuming that we didn’t suffer as many injuries as we did. I don’t think you could have ever accounted for or predicted this many injuries. At this point, I just want to see the Falcons win the last three to finally get that back to back winning season and end the curse once and for all!

by Seanster on Dec 16, 2009 3:12 PM EST reply actions

well

we have been in alot of close games Phil was the only game we pretty much had no shot we need to fix the D either thru the draft or F/A. Personally i think BVG needs to go his schemes are so plain either drop into coverage and get no pressure or blitz and still get no pressure and our DBs get beaten down field.

by Erihury on Dec 16, 2009 3:22 PM EST reply actions

BOLD FALCOHOL-INDUCED PREDICTION

DAL vs WAS in week 16…. If Dallas loses that game, we’ll make the playoffs…

"If lessons were learned in defeat, our team is getting a great education." -Murray Warmath

by NaGaNole on Dec 16, 2009 3:25 PM EST reply actions

hoping

the Skins will handle Giants too, and the Eagles D returns to the field when they play Dallas

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 17, 2009 5:08 AM EST up reply actions

Bold prediction from last night's fever dreams

We won two out of three reamaining games giving us another 2 to 3 years with the Cosecutive Monkey jockeying the organization.

The defensive line looked so dominant in these last three games that the front office considered their problems solved. They celebrated by drafting a kicker in the first and third rounds.

Then I woke up screaming. My wife is SO not amused. She may file this week.

How many more days, Lord, must I walk through the wilderness?
GO FALCONS!!!

by AnOldBird on Dec 16, 2009 5:01 PM EST reply actions

I'm glad you woke up

I could vision the rest of your dream:
the team gives contract extension to BVG, and Redman was so good that they decided to trade Ryan for a 6 round pick

Atlanta Falcons fan in Moscow, Russia

by Gemini-RU on Dec 17, 2009 5:16 AM EST up reply actions