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Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 14

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via i37.tinypic.com

Even more fun than a Billy Mays TV commercial, here are this week's numbers for your info-tainment.  Enjoy!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

88.6

Colts

13-0-0

27.6

16.7

0.868

0.903

1.771

2

85.6

Vikings

11-2-0

29.9

18.7

0.938

0.774

1.711

3

83.0

Patriots

8-5-0

26.8

18.0

0.833

0.827

1.659

4

80.6

Ravens

7-6-0

24.5

16.8

0.713

0.900

1.613

5

79.6

Packers

9-4-0

26.5

18.7

0.818

0.774

1.592

6

76.8

Chargers

10-3-0

27.8

19.9

0.877

0.660

1.537

7

76.7

Saints

13-0-0

35.8

21.1

0.995

0.538

1.533

8

72.5

Eagles

9-4-0

28.6

21.0

0.903

0.546

1.449

9

71.4

Cowboys

8-5-0

22.8

17.9

0.596

0.832

1.428

10

70.2

Jets

7-6-0

21.2

16.2

0.481

0.923

1.404

11

66.2

Bengals

9-4-0

20.3

16.7

0.420

0.903

1.323

12

65.8

Cardinals

8-5-0

23.5

19.8

0.649

0.668

1.316

13

63.2

Steelers

6-7-0

21.4

18.8

0.497

0.767

1.264

14

61.4

49ers

6-7-0

20.7

18.6

0.448

0.780

1.227

15

61.2

Broncos

8-5-0

19.7

17.7

0.377

0.847

1.225

16

61.0

Texans

6-7-0

23.9

21.0

0.674

0.546

1.220

17

49.4

Redskins

4-9-0

18.0

19.3

0.268

0.720

0.988

18

47.3

Giants

7-6-0

26.2

25.4

0.807

0.138

0.945

19

45.8

Falcons

6-7-0

23.2

23.5

0.628

0.288

0.916

20

42.7

Dolphins

7-6-0

22.5

23.5

0.574

0.280

0.855

21

37.7

Titans

6-7-0

22.5

24.8

0.580

0.173

0.753

22

37.6

Bills

5-8-0

16.5

20.8

0.189

0.563

0.752

23

36.3

Bears

5-8-0

19.0

22.4

0.331

0.396

0.727

24

35.1

Jaguars

7-6-0

18.1

22.1

0.273

0.429

0.702

25

35.0

Panthers

5-8-0

17.3

21.7

0.229

0.471

0.699

26

33.2

Seahawks

5-8-0

19.2

23.2

0.346

0.317

0.663

27

13.4

Browns

2-11-0

12.2

24.2

0.047

0.220

0.267

28

12.9

Raiders

4-9-0

11.9

24.3

0.043

0.214

0.257

29

12.3

Chiefs

3-10-0

15.8

26.3

0.157

0.090

0.247

30

8.5

Lions

2-11-0

16.1

31.2

0.167

0.004

0.171

31

8.0

Buccaneers

1-12-0

14.6

27.4

0.110

0.051

0.160

32

3.7

Rams

1-12-0

11.2

27.8

0.033

0.041

0.073

 

 

 

 

means:

21.4

21.4

 

 

 

 

The Falcons fell one spot to 19th, but New Orleans fell 2 spots in victory!  Go figure.  Someone must have put a "Voodoo Curse" on the Saints' ratings this week!  The Ravens' lopsided win over mighty Detroit did wonders for their ranking, leapfrogging them over a crowded field by 7 spots.  Not much noteworthy upward movement, otherwise; Titans up by 5, Browns 4.  Falling in the rankings were Seattle, down 6 slots, and Arizona, down 3.

That's it for week 14, gents.  Spreadsheet download hereNa zdraví!

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.

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