via i37.tinypic.com
Even more fun than a Billy Mays TV commercial, here are this week's numbers for your info-tainment. Enjoy!
RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):
At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats. The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked. The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.
Here's how the ratings are calculated. The first step is to calculate two simple stats: Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team. These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed. Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1. (This isn't something pulled from thin air. It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique. The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.) You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense. Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team. Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive. There you go. Simple, right?
|
Rank |
Power Rating |
W-L-T |
PF/G |
PA/G |
|
Offense Rating |
Defense Rating |
Total |
||
|
1 |
88.6 |
13-0-0 |
27.6 |
16.7 |
0.868 |
0.903 |
1.771 |
|||
|
2 |
85.6 |
11-2-0 |
29.9 |
18.7 |
0.938 |
0.774 |
1.711 |
|||
|
3 |
83.0 |
8-5-0 |
26.8 |
18.0 |
0.833 |
0.827 |
1.659 |
|||
|
4 |
80.6 |
7-6-0 |
24.5 |
16.8 |
0.713 |
0.900 |
1.613 |
|||
|
5 |
79.6 |
9-4-0 |
26.5 |
18.7 |
0.818 |
0.774 |
1.592 |
|||
|
6 |
76.8 |
10-3-0 |
27.8 |
19.9 |
0.877 |
0.660 |
1.537 |
|||
|
7 |
76.7 |
13-0-0 |
35.8 |
21.1 |
0.995 |
0.538 |
1.533 |
|||
|
8 |
72.5 |
9-4-0 |
28.6 |
21.0 |
0.903 |
0.546 |
1.449 |
|||
|
9 |
71.4 |
8-5-0 |
22.8 |
17.9 |
0.596 |
0.832 |
1.428 |
|||
|
10 |
70.2 |
7-6-0 |
21.2 |
16.2 |
0.481 |
0.923 |
1.404 |
|||
|
11 |
66.2 |
9-4-0 |
20.3 |
16.7 |
0.420 |
0.903 |
1.323 |
|||
|
12 |
65.8 |
8-5-0 |
23.5 |
19.8 |
0.649 |
0.668 |
1.316 |
|||
|
13 |
63.2 |
6-7-0 |
21.4 |
18.8 |
0.497 |
0.767 |
1.264 |
|||
|
14 |
61.4 |
6-7-0 |
20.7 |
18.6 |
0.448 |
0.780 |
1.227 |
|||
|
15 |
61.2 |
8-5-0 |
19.7 |
17.7 |
0.377 |
0.847 |
1.225 |
|||
|
16 |
61.0 |
6-7-0 |
23.9 |
21.0 |
0.674 |
0.546 |
1.220 |
|||
|
17 |
49.4 |
4-9-0 |
18.0 |
19.3 |
0.268 |
0.720 |
0.988 |
|||
|
18 |
47.3 |
7-6-0 |
26.2 |
25.4 |
0.807 |
0.138 |
0.945 |
|||
|
19 |
45.8 |
6-7-0 |
23.2 |
23.5 |
0.628 |
0.288 |
0.916 |
|||
|
20 |
42.7 |
7-6-0 |
22.5 |
23.5 |
0.574 |
0.280 |
0.855 |
|||
|
21 |
37.7 |
6-7-0 |
22.5 |
24.8 |
0.580 |
0.173 |
0.753 |
|||
|
22 |
37.6 |
5-8-0 |
16.5 |
20.8 |
0.189 |
0.563 |
0.752 |
|||
|
23 |
36.3 |
5-8-0 |
19.0 |
22.4 |
0.331 |
0.396 |
0.727 |
|||
|
24 |
35.1 |
7-6-0 |
18.1 |
22.1 |
0.273 |
0.429 |
0.702 |
|||
|
25 |
35.0 |
5-8-0 |
17.3 |
21.7 |
0.229 |
0.471 |
0.699 |
|||
|
26 |
33.2 |
5-8-0 |
19.2 |
23.2 |
0.346 |
0.317 |
0.663 |
|||
|
27 |
13.4 |
2-11-0 |
12.2 |
24.2 |
0.047 |
0.220 |
0.267 |
|||
|
28 |
12.9 |
4-9-0 |
11.9 |
24.3 |
0.043 |
0.214 |
0.257 |
|||
|
29 |
12.3 |
3-10-0 |
15.8 |
26.3 |
0.157 |
0.090 |
0.247 |
|||
|
30 |
8.5 |
2-11-0 |
16.1 |
31.2 |
0.167 |
0.004 |
0.171 |
|||
|
31 |
8.0 |
1-12-0 |
14.6 |
27.4 |
0.110 |
0.051 |
0.160 |
|||
|
32 |
3.7 |
1-12-0 |
11.2 |
27.8 |
0.033 |
0.041 |
0.073 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
means: |
21.4 |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
The Falcons fell one spot to 19th, but New Orleans fell 2 spots in victory! Go figure. Someone must have put a "Voodoo Curse" on the Saints' ratings this week! The Ravens' lopsided win over mighty Detroit did wonders for their ranking, leapfrogging them over a crowded field by 7 spots. Not much noteworthy upward movement, otherwise; Titans up by 5, Browns 4. Falling in the rankings were Seattle, down 6 slots, and Arizona, down 3.
That's it for week 14, gents. Spreadsheet download here. Na zdraví!



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