FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 12


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via i37.tinypic.com

Submitted for your approval, here is this week's venture into the Twilight Zone of floating, spinning football numbers.  Enjoy!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

88.1

Colts

11-0-0

27.6

16.7

0.857

0.904

1.761

2

87.6

Vikings

10-1-0

31.1

18.5

0.953

0.799

1.751

3

83.7

Patriots

7-4-0

27.9

18.4

0.868

0.806

1.673

4

82.5

Saints

11-0-0

37.0

20.1

0.997

0.653

1.649

5

77.7

Chargers

8-3-0

28.4

19.9

0.884

0.671

1.555

6

76.6

Packers

7-4-0

26.9

19.5

0.826

0.706

1.532

7

76.3

Cowboys

8-3-0

23.2

16.5

0.613

0.912

1.526

8

75.6

Ravens

6-5-0

23.4

17.1

0.625

0.886

1.512

9

70.1

Bengals

8-3-0

21.0

15.8

0.463

0.940

1.402

10

70.0

Eagles

7-4-0

26.6

20.7

0.814

0.587

1.401

11

68.6

Cardinals

7-4-0

24.3

19.7

0.684

0.688

1.372

12

68.1

Steelers

6-5-0

22.5

18.5

0.570

0.792

1.362

13

65.3

Jets

5-6-0

20.9

17.7

0.456

0.850

1.306

14

58.3

49ers

5-6-0

20.7

19.4

0.444

0.722

1.166

15

57.0

Broncos

7-4-0

17.8

17.2

0.258

0.881

1.139

16

56.6

Falcons

6-5-0

24.7

22.3

0.712

0.421

1.133

17

53.9

Texans

5-6-0

23.5

22.1

0.637

0.440

1.078

18

49.4

Giants

6-5-0

24.7

23.7

0.712

0.276

0.988

19

46.4

Redskins

3-8-0

15.5

18.6

0.144

0.785

0.928

20

39.6

Dolphins

5-6-0

23.3

25.0

0.619

0.174

0.793

21

39.3

Seahawks

4-7-0

20.3

22.7

0.412

0.373

0.786

22

32.9

Bills

4-7-0

16.9

22.0

0.209

0.450

0.659

23

32.3

Bears

4-7-0

19.6

23.7

0.370

0.276

0.646

24

30.8

Jaguars

6-5-0

18.4

23.2

0.289

0.328

0.617

25

29.6

Panthers

4-7-0

18.1

23.3

0.273

0.319

0.592

26

27.5

Titans

5-6-0

20.8

26.3

0.450

0.099

0.549

27

16.4

Chiefs

3-8-0

16.6

25.6

0.196

0.133

0.328

28

16.4

Raiders

3-8-0

10.5

23.5

0.026

0.301

0.328

29

12.5

Lions

2-9-0

17.5

30.5

0.242

0.008

0.250

30

10.8

Buccaneers

1-10-0

16.5

28.5

0.187

0.029

0.215

31

9.2

Browns

1-10-0

11.1

25.4

0.034

0.149

0.183

32

5.7

Rams

1-10-0

11.8

27.0

0.045

0.069

0.114

 

 

means:

21.5

21.5

 

          The Saints' impressive victory over the Pats just missed elevating them to 3rd place here, one more TD would have done it.  Falcons were unchanged, ranking-wise.

          The only team rising or falling more than 3 places was the 49ers, up from 18th to 14th.  Packers, Bengals, Bills were up 3; Ravens, Texans, Giants down 3.

          There's your week 12 numbers, spreadsheet download is hereSkaal!

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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