FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 11

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via i37.tinypic.com

For your amusement, here are this week's numbers.  Enjoy!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

(spreadsheet)

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

91.2

Patriots

7-3-0

29.0

16.4

0.900

0.924

1.824

2

88.4

Colts

10-0-0

26.9

15.7

0.820

0.948

1.768

3

84.0

Vikings

9-1-0

30.6

19.3

0.941

0.740

1.681

4

81.5

Saints

10-0-0

36.9

20.4

0.996

0.634

1.630

5

76.6

Ravens

5-5-0

23.7

17.1

0.639

0.893

1.532

6

73.5

Cowboys

7-3-0

23.1

17.5

0.599

0.871

1.470

7

72.2

Chargers

7-3-0

26.9

20.5

0.820

0.624

1.444

8

72.0

Eagles

6-4-0

26.6

20.4

0.806

0.634

1.440

9

71.5

Packers

6-4-0

26.2

20.3

0.786

0.645

1.431

10

71.2

Cardinals

7-3-0

25.0

19.7

0.720

0.703

1.423

11

70.6

Steelers

6-4-0

23.1

18.4

0.599

0.813

1.412

12

70.0

Bengals

7-3-0

21.5

16.7

0.489

0.911

1.400

13

62.4

Jets

4-6-0

21.3

18.9

0.475

0.774

1.249

14

59.9

Texans

5-5-0

23.2

20.8

0.606

0.593

1.199

15

55.7

Giants

6-4-0

26.6

23.5

0.806

0.309

1.115

16

55.5

Falcons

5-5-0

25.2

22.8

0.732

0.379

1.110

17

51.4

Broncos

6-4-0

17.0

18.3

0.208

0.820

1.027

18

50.6

49ers

4-6-0

20.8

21.0

0.440

0.572

1.012

19

48.1

Redskins

3-7-0

14.6

17.8

0.109

0.853

0.962

20

45.0

Dolphins

5-5-0

24.2

24.4

0.671

0.228

0.900

21

41.8

Bears

4-6-0

20.6

22.5

0.426

0.410

0.836

22

34.4

Jaguars

6-4-0

19.9

23.5

0.379

0.309

0.688

23

34.4

Seahawks

3-7-0

19.6

23.3

0.359

0.328

0.687

24

30.6

Panthers

4-6-0

19.3

23.9

0.340

0.271

0.611

25

26.0

Bills

3-7-0

15.5

22.8

0.141

0.379

0.519

26

25.6

Titans

4-6-0

20.9

27.2

0.447

0.066

0.513

27

23.7

Chiefs

3-7-0

16.9

23.9

0.203

0.271

0.474

28

17.4

Raiders

3-7-0

10.8

23.4

0.029

0.318

0.347

29

13.9

Lions

2-8-0

18.1

30.1

0.267

0.011

0.278

30

9.8

Buccaneers

1-9-0

16.4

29.4

0.179

0.018

0.197

31

7.1

Browns

1-9-0

11.5

26.3

0.038

0.104

0.141

32

5.4

Rams

1-9-0

11.3

27.0

0.035

0.073

0.108

 

means:

21.7

21.7

 

          Surprising to see the Ravens still high in the ratings, though their O and D numbers are pretty solid.  I wish our Falcons were up there too at 5-5, but their D rating has plunged alarmingly.  Vikings and Saints have both improved some mediocre numbers lately, and crept up near the top.

          The Chargers' handy victory over Denver moved them up 8 slots; seven teams moved up by two places.  The Steelers & Bengals both deservedly fell 4 spots, Broncos & Seahawks 3.

          That's it for Week 11, I hope youse guys found a pearl of wisdom or two in there somewhere.  Spreadsheet download is hereProst!

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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