via i37.tinypic.com
For your amusement, here are this week's numbers. Enjoy!
RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):
At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats. The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked. The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.
Here's how the ratings are calculated. The first step is to calculate two simple stats: Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team. These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed. Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1. (This isn't something pulled from thin air. It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique. The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.) You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense. Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team. Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive. There you go. Simple, right?
(spreadsheet)
|
Rank |
Power Rating |
W-L-T |
PF/G |
PA/G |
|
Offense Rating |
Defense Rating |
Total |
||
|
1 |
91.2 |
7-3-0 |
29.0 |
16.4 |
0.900 |
0.924 |
1.824 |
|||
|
2 |
88.4 |
10-0-0 |
26.9 |
15.7 |
0.820 |
0.948 |
1.768 |
|||
|
3 |
84.0 |
9-1-0 |
30.6 |
19.3 |
0.941 |
0.740 |
1.681 |
|||
|
4 |
81.5 |
10-0-0 |
36.9 |
20.4 |
0.996 |
0.634 |
1.630 |
|||
|
5 |
76.6 |
5-5-0 |
23.7 |
17.1 |
0.639 |
0.893 |
1.532 |
|||
|
6 |
73.5 |
7-3-0 |
23.1 |
17.5 |
0.599 |
0.871 |
1.470 |
|||
|
7 |
72.2 |
7-3-0 |
26.9 |
20.5 |
0.820 |
0.624 |
1.444 |
|||
|
8 |
72.0 |
6-4-0 |
26.6 |
20.4 |
0.806 |
0.634 |
1.440 |
|||
|
9 |
71.5 |
6-4-0 |
26.2 |
20.3 |
0.786 |
0.645 |
1.431 |
|||
|
10 |
71.2 |
7-3-0 |
25.0 |
19.7 |
0.720 |
0.703 |
1.423 |
|||
|
11 |
70.6 |
6-4-0 |
23.1 |
18.4 |
0.599 |
0.813 |
1.412 |
|||
|
12 |
70.0 |
7-3-0 |
21.5 |
16.7 |
0.489 |
0.911 |
1.400 |
|||
|
13 |
62.4 |
4-6-0 |
21.3 |
18.9 |
0.475 |
0.774 |
1.249 |
|||
|
14 |
59.9 |
5-5-0 |
23.2 |
20.8 |
0.606 |
0.593 |
1.199 |
|||
|
15 |
55.7 |
6-4-0 |
26.6 |
23.5 |
0.806 |
0.309 |
1.115 |
|||
|
16 |
55.5 |
5-5-0 |
25.2 |
22.8 |
0.732 |
0.379 |
1.110 |
|||
|
17 |
51.4 |
6-4-0 |
17.0 |
18.3 |
0.208 |
0.820 |
1.027 |
|||
|
18 |
50.6 |
4-6-0 |
20.8 |
21.0 |
0.440 |
0.572 |
1.012 |
|||
|
19 |
48.1 |
3-7-0 |
14.6 |
17.8 |
0.109 |
0.853 |
0.962 |
|||
|
20 |
45.0 |
5-5-0 |
24.2 |
24.4 |
0.671 |
0.228 |
0.900 |
|||
|
21 |
41.8 |
4-6-0 |
20.6 |
22.5 |
0.426 |
0.410 |
0.836 |
|||
|
22 |
34.4 |
6-4-0 |
19.9 |
23.5 |
0.379 |
0.309 |
0.688 |
|||
|
23 |
34.4 |
3-7-0 |
19.6 |
23.3 |
0.359 |
0.328 |
0.687 |
|||
|
24 |
30.6 |
4-6-0 |
19.3 |
23.9 |
0.340 |
0.271 |
0.611 |
|||
|
25 |
26.0 |
3-7-0 |
15.5 |
22.8 |
0.141 |
0.379 |
0.519 |
|||
|
26 |
25.6 |
4-6-0 |
20.9 |
27.2 |
0.447 |
0.066 |
0.513 |
|||
|
27 |
23.7 |
3-7-0 |
16.9 |
23.9 |
0.203 |
0.271 |
0.474 |
|||
|
28 |
17.4 |
3-7-0 |
10.8 |
23.4 |
0.029 |
0.318 |
0.347 |
|||
|
29 |
13.9 |
2-8-0 |
18.1 |
30.1 |
0.267 |
0.011 |
0.278 |
|||
|
30 |
9.8 |
1-9-0 |
16.4 |
29.4 |
0.179 |
0.018 |
0.197 |
|||
|
31 |
7.1 |
1-9-0 |
11.5 |
26.3 |
0.038 |
0.104 |
0.141 |
|||
|
32 |
5.4 |
1-9-0 |
11.3 |
27.0 |
0.035 |
0.073 |
0.108 |
|||
|
|
means: |
21.7 |
21.7 |
|
Surprising to see the Ravens still high in the ratings, though their O and D numbers are pretty solid. I wish our Falcons were up there too at 5-5, but their D rating has plunged alarmingly. Vikings and Saints have both improved some mediocre numbers lately, and crept up near the top.
The Chargers' handy victory over Denver moved them up 8 slots; seven teams moved up by two places. The Steelers & Bengals both deservedly fell 4 spots, Broncos & Seahawks 3.
That's it for Week 11, I hope youse guys found a pearl of wisdom or two in there somewhere. Spreadsheet download is here. Prost!



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