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Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 11

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via i37.tinypic.com

For your amusement, here are this week's numbers.  Enjoy!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

(spreadsheet)

Rank

Power Rating

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

91.2

Patriots

7-3-0

29.0

16.4

0.900

0.924

1.824

2

88.4

Colts

10-0-0

26.9

15.7

0.820

0.948

1.768

3

84.0

Vikings

9-1-0

30.6

19.3

0.941

0.740

1.681

4

81.5

Saints

10-0-0

36.9

20.4

0.996

0.634

1.630

5

76.6

Ravens

5-5-0

23.7

17.1

0.639

0.893

1.532

6

73.5

Cowboys

7-3-0

23.1

17.5

0.599

0.871

1.470

7

72.2

Chargers

7-3-0

26.9

20.5

0.820

0.624

1.444

8

72.0

Eagles

6-4-0

26.6

20.4

0.806

0.634

1.440

9

71.5

Packers

6-4-0

26.2

20.3

0.786

0.645

1.431

10

71.2

Cardinals

7-3-0

25.0

19.7

0.720

0.703

1.423

11

70.6

Steelers

6-4-0

23.1

18.4

0.599

0.813

1.412

12

70.0

Bengals

7-3-0

21.5

16.7

0.489

0.911

1.400

13

62.4

Jets

4-6-0

21.3

18.9

0.475

0.774

1.249

14

59.9

Texans

5-5-0

23.2

20.8

0.606

0.593

1.199

15

55.7

Giants

6-4-0

26.6

23.5

0.806

0.309

1.115

16

55.5

Falcons

5-5-0

25.2

22.8

0.732

0.379

1.110

17

51.4

Broncos

6-4-0

17.0

18.3

0.208

0.820

1.027

18

50.6

49ers

4-6-0

20.8

21.0

0.440

0.572

1.012

19

48.1

Redskins

3-7-0

14.6

17.8

0.109

0.853

0.962

20

45.0

Dolphins

5-5-0

24.2

24.4

0.671

0.228

0.900

21

41.8

Bears

4-6-0

20.6

22.5

0.426

0.410

0.836

22

34.4

Jaguars

6-4-0

19.9

23.5

0.379

0.309

0.688

23

34.4

Seahawks

3-7-0

19.6

23.3

0.359

0.328

0.687

24

30.6

Panthers

4-6-0

19.3

23.9

0.340

0.271

0.611

25

26.0

Bills

3-7-0

15.5

22.8

0.141

0.379

0.519

26

25.6

Titans

4-6-0

20.9

27.2

0.447

0.066

0.513

27

23.7

Chiefs

3-7-0

16.9

23.9

0.203

0.271

0.474

28

17.4

Raiders

3-7-0

10.8

23.4

0.029

0.318

0.347

29

13.9

Lions

2-8-0

18.1

30.1

0.267

0.011

0.278

30

9.8

Buccaneers

1-9-0

16.4

29.4

0.179

0.018

0.197

31

7.1

Browns

1-9-0

11.5

26.3

0.038

0.104

0.141

32

5.4

Rams

1-9-0

11.3

27.0

0.035

0.073

0.108

 

means:

21.7

21.7

 

          Surprising to see the Ravens still high in the ratings, though their O and D numbers are pretty solid.  I wish our Falcons were up there too at 5-5, but their D rating has plunged alarmingly.  Vikings and Saints have both improved some mediocre numbers lately, and crept up near the top.

          The Chargers' handy victory over Denver moved them up 8 slots; seven teams moved up by two places.  The Steelers & Bengals both deservedly fell 4 spots, Broncos & Seahawks 3.

          That's it for Week 11, I hope youse guys found a pearl of wisdom or two in there somewhere.  Spreadsheet download is hereProst!

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.

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