FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 10

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via i37.tinypic.com

Bummed about the Panthers game?  Do as Professor Frink does when HE's feeling blue!  Immerse yourself in warm, soothing data.  Ahhh...

RATINGS COMPUTATION (must-read for newbies):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't meant to be a perfect reflection of the real world; don't focus too narrowly on exactly where each team's totals are ranked.  The two components (O and D ratings) are often more revealing than the totals, don't overlook those.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the ‘population' of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale, making them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

 

Team

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

90.1

Colts

9-0-0

28.0

15.8

0.856

0.946

1.802

2

89.9

Patriots

6-3-0

28.8

16.7

0.883

0.914

1.798

3

79.3

Ravens

5-4-0

24.7

17.1

0.692

0.894

1.585

4

77.7

Vikings

8-1-0

30.1

20.4

0.922

0.633

1.555

5

74.5

Cowboys

6-3-0

24.9

18.8

0.705

0.786

1.491

6

73.6

Saints

9-0-0

36.8

21.9

0.994

0.479

1.473

7

73.2

Steelers

6-3-0

23.0

17.4

0.587

0.876

1.463

8

72.4

Bengals

7-2-0

22.0

16.3

0.521

0.928

1.448

9

72.1

Packers

5-4-0

25.8

19.9

0.754

0.688

1.442

10

72.1

Eagles

5-4-0

26.9

20.4

0.809

0.633

1.442

11

69.9

Jets

4-5-0

22.1

17.6

0.528

0.870

1.398

12

68.4

Cardinals

6-3-0

25.4

20.4

0.736

0.633

1.369

13

61.5

Texans

5-4-0

23.9

20.9

0.644

0.586

1.231

14

60.4

Broncos

6-3-0

18.6

16.8

0.299

0.910

1.209

15

60.1

Chargers

6-3-0

26.3

22.4

0.783

0.419

1.201

16

60.0

Falcons

5-4-0

24.6

21.6

0.685

0.515

1.200

17

57.5

Giants

5-4-0

25.8

22.7

0.754

0.395

1.149

18

54.7

49ers

4-5-0

20.4

20.0

0.417

0.677

1.094

19

46.0

Redskins

3-6-0

15.6

19.0

0.151

0.768

0.919

20

45.3

Seahawks

3-6-0

20.8

22.0

0.439

0.466

0.905

21

43.1

Bears

4-5-0

20.7

22.3

0.432

0.431

0.862

22

41.6

Dolphins

4-5-0

24.2

25.2

0.665

0.168

0.833

23

31.7

Panthers

4-5-0

19.6

23.9

0.360

0.275

0.634

24

31.1

Jaguars

5-4-0

20.1

24.4

0.395

0.227

0.622

25

24.4

Titans

3-6-0

21.0

28.3

0.454

0.035

0.489

26

23.9

Bills

3-6-0

15.6

23.3

0.151

0.327

0.478

27

21.7

Chiefs

2-7-0

15.8

23.9

0.160

0.275

0.435

28

13.9

Raiders

2-7-0

9.8

24.1

0.023

0.255

0.277

29

13.5

Buccaneers

1-8-0

17.4

28.4

0.238

0.033

0.270

30

9.9

Browns

1-8-0

8.7

25.0

0.014

0.184

0.198

31

9.2

Lions

1-8-0

15.9

29.3

0.165

0.019

0.183

32

4.5

Rams

1-8-0

11.1

27.7

0.038

0.052

0.089

 

 

means

21.7

21.7

 

          The Ravens' shutout of the lowly Browns worked wonders for them here, who knew they were "better" than the Saints?  What a revelation!  Colts were (fittingly?) back at #1 this week.  Jets appear to be the best darn mediocre team around, these ratings absolutely love them this year.  Only a handful of teams moved in the rankings much this week.  Our Falcons fell 4 spots, exceeded only by the Eagles, down 7.  Climbers were led by the Vikings, up 5 slots, Ravens up 4.

          There's our Fun With Numbers for Week 10.  I hope you reaped a nugget or two of insight, and take something good away from an otherwise forgettable Falcons weekend.  Download the spreadsheet here, if you wish.  Salud!

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

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