FanPost

Professor Frink’s Power Rankings, Week 7


33cvqlk_medium

via i37.tinypic.com

Fresh from the Gamble-Tron 2000, the Week 7 ratings await your perusal.  Enjoy!

RATINGS COMPUTATION (for the uninitiated):

          At its heart, this is a VERY simple method of calculating ratings, using only two stats.  The results aren't supposed to be a perfect reflection of the real world, don't take them too seriously.  It's interesting, though, that such a crude algorithm can be as accurate as I've seen it be over the last few years.

          Here's how the ratings are calculated.  The first step is to calculate two simple stats:  Points For per Game, and Points Against per Game, for each team.  These two leaguewide data sets for offense & defense both conform to a "Bell Curve", or Normal Distribution, that can be graphed.  Depending on where each team lies on that graph, they have a value between 0 and 1.  (This isn't something pulled from thin air.  It's a very common, standardized statistical analysis technique.  The purpose is to more accurately measure each team's position within the population of all league teams.)  You now have every team rated from 0 to 1, on offense and on defense.  Add those two numbers and you've got a total rating for each team.  Last, multiply by 50 to convert the ratings onto a 0-to-100 scale to make them more readable and intuitive.  There you go.  Simple, right?

Rank

Power Rating

W-L-T

PF/G

PA/G

 

Offense Rating

Defense Rating

Total

1

91.9

Colts

6-0-0

29.8

12.8

0.884

0.953

1.837

2

88.0

Patriots

5-2-0

28.3

14.0

0.834

0.926

1.760

3

81.6

Packers

4-2-0

26.8

16.0

0.776

0.856

1.631

4

75.9

Saints

6-0-0

39.7

21.2

0.996

0.522

1.518

5

75.4

Broncos

6-0-0

22.2

11.0

0.530

0.979

1.509

6

72.5

Eagles

4-2-0

27.2

19.3

0.790

0.660

1.450

7

70.2

Jets

4-3-0

21.7

14.9

0.504

0.900

1.404

8

69.8

Giants

5-2-0

27.9

20.4

0.818

0.579

1.397

9

69.8

Vikings

6-1-0

29.4

21.1

0.872

0.524

1.396

10

69.2

Cowboys

4-2-0

26.5

19.8

0.761

0.624

1.384

11

67.4

Steelers

5-2-0

23.9

18.4

0.626

0.722

1.348

12

66.3

Bengals

5-2-0

23.3

18.3

0.594

0.731

1.325

13

65.9

Falcons

4-2-0

24.0

19.0

0.634

0.683

1.318

14

65.7

Ravens

3-3-0

28.2

21.7

0.830

0.483

1.313

15

64.9

Cardinals

4-2-0

22.7

18.2

0.559

0.739

1.298

16

56.2

Seahawks

2-4-0

19.7

18.2

0.386

0.739

1.124

17

55.8

49ers

3-3-0

22.2

20.3

0.530

0.586

1.116

18

54.9

Chargers

3-3-0

26.8

23.8

0.776

0.322

1.097

19

52.0

Texans

4-3-0

23.9

22.6

0.626

0.414

1.040

20

44.9

Redskins

2-5-0

13.7

17.6

0.123

0.775

0.898

21

43.9

Dolphins

2-4-0

24.3

25.3

0.652

0.225

0.878

22

42.1

Bills

3-4-0

16.1

19.7

0.210

0.632

0.843

23

40.1

Bears

3-3-0

21.5

24.0

0.491

0.310

0.801

24

34.1

Jaguars

3-3-0

20.0

24.5

0.404

0.277

0.681

25

24.5

Panthers

2-4-0

15.7

24.2

0.191

0.299

0.490

26

18.1

Chiefs

1-6-0

15.0

25.9

0.165

0.196

0.361

27

14.2

Lions

1-5-0

17.2

31.3

0.256

0.027

0.283

28

13.0

Browns

1-6-0

10.3

25.6

0.048

0.212

0.260

29

12.9

Raiders

2-5-0

8.9

25.3

0.031

0.228

0.259

30

9.7

Buccaneers

0-7-0

13.7

29.0

0.123

0.071

0.194

31

7.2

Titans

0-6-0

14.0

33.0

0.132

0.012

0.144

32

3.7

Rams

0-7-0

8.6

30.1

0.028

0.046

0.073

 

means =

21.7

21.5

 

 

 

Means may not match until all teams have played the same number of games.

          What's up with the (cough) beloved Saints?  Despite winning, they fell to 4th place!  How can this be, you ask?  The Saints are a textbook example of how this algorithm skews the numbers.  Despite being about as good as an offense can be, the defense is the very embodiment of "average" (by the numbers at least).  This effectively puts a cap on their power rating of about 75 or so.  The Broncos are a mirror image of the Saints, with the emphasis on defense in their case.  Note the teams above them all have a more favorable balance of O and D.

          Teams on the rise were led by the Jets (the turd in this week's punchbowl) and Bengals, up 7 slots.  Falling furthest were the Falcons (groan) and Bears, down 9 slots.

          Hope y'all enjoy, you heah?  Your Falcoholic feedback is welcome.  You can download the spreadsheet here.  Cheers!

<em>This FanPost was written by one of The Falcoholic's talented readers. It does not necessarily reflect the views of The Falcoholic.</em>

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join The Falcoholic

You must be a member of The Falcoholic to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Falcoholic. You should read them.

Join The Falcoholic

You must be a member of The Falcoholic to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Falcoholic. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker